Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Fagiano Okayama FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima has kicked off!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 68 games and scored 65 goals.
- 10' Sanfrecce Hiroshima come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryo Germain, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Takaya Kimura has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' Keisuke Osako, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 46' A change in the Sanfrecce Hiroshima ranks — Valere Germain exits the field as Kosuke Kinoshita enters on 46.
- 51' Sota Nakamura has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
- 54' Werik has so much to prove this time. He replaces Takaya Kimura on 54 minute.
- 59' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 64' Lucao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sanfrecce Hiroshima tonight.
- 65' Ataru Esaka has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
- 70' It is a cagey affair so far. Fagiano Okayama FC in their trying to find a way past Sanfrecce Hiroshima's compact .
- 72' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shunki Higashi on, Sho Sasaki off on 72 minutes.
- 77' Yotaro Nakajima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 347 appearances.
- 82' Naoki Maeda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Naoto Arai on 82 minute.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Takeuchi. He replaces Yuta Kamiya on 86 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Rui Sueyoshi 86'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 86'
- 15
- 39
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Werik 54'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 72'
Bench
- 77
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 86'
- 28
-
98
Werik ↑ 54'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 54'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
- 5
-
17
Rui Sueyoshi ↑ 86'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Mutsuki Kato 54'
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Shunki Higashi 72'
- 1
- 6
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Naoki Maeda 82'
- 15
- 35
- 39
Bench
- 18
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 72'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 82'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↑ 46'
- 32
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 54'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kota Kawano | 3 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Sebastien Haller | 1 |
| Hayao Kawabe | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-06-01
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-06-22
Yokohama FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-06-14
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-05-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Kawasaki Frontale
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.