Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at City Light Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Fagiano Okayama FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' Svend Brodersen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 273 appearances.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fagiano Okayama FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fagiano Okayama FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' The travelling Sanfrecce Hiroshima supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Kosuke Kinoshita has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valere Germain on 46 minute.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' Werik is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takaya Kimura at the 54 minute mark.
- 59' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' Fagiano Okayama FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 65' The referee has no hesitation. Ataru Esaka is booked for Fagiano Okayama FC — card on 65.
- 70' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 72' Shunki Higashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sho Sasaki on 72 minute.
- 77' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Sanfrecce Hiroshima seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 82' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima bench stirs into life. Naoto Arai is withdrawn and Naoki Maeda gets his opportunity.
- 86' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Yuta Kamiya by Ryo Takeuchi on 86 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Rui Sueyoshi 86'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 86'
- 15
- 39
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Werik 54'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 72'
Bench
- 77
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 86'
- 28
-
98
Werik ↑ 54'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 54'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
- 5
-
17
Rui Sueyoshi ↑ 86'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Mutsuki Kato 54'
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Shunki Higashi 72'
- 1
- 6
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Naoki Maeda 82'
- 15
- 35
- 39
Bench
- 18
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 72'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 82'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↑ 46'
- 32
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 54'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F.Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-06-01
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-06-22
Yokohama FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-06-14
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-05-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Kawasaki Frontale
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.