Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at City Light Stadium.
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jun | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Fagiano Okayama FC | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 41 |
| 46 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 44% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fagiano Okayama FC launch into their encounter with Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 5' Yugo Tatsuta is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 10' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 15' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Naoki Maeda, as he is very good at scoring at City Light Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Fagiano Okayama FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' The crowd applauds Valere Germain as he leaves the pitch. Kosuke Kinoshita steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
- 51' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 54' Takaya Kimura makes way for Werik at the 54 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 59' Mutsuki Kato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 22 goals in his last 369 appearances.
- 64' A quiet spell here at City Light Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Ataru Esaka argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 72' Shunki Higashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sho Sasaki on 72 minute.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 82' Another substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima to replace Naoto Arai by Naoki Maeda on 82 minute.
- 86' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Yuta Kamiya exits the field as Ryo Takeuchi enters on 86.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima players.
Lineups
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
- 18
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Rui Sueyoshi 86'
- 24
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↓ Ryo Takeuchi 86'
- 15
- 39
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Werik 54'
-
99
Lucao ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 72'
Bench
- 77
-
7
Ryo Takeuchi ↑ 86'
- 28
-
98
Werik ↑ 54'
-
26
Haruka Motoyama ↑ 54'
- 4
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 72'
- 5
-
17
Rui Sueyoshi ↑ 86'
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
- 98
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Mutsuki Kato 54'
-
19
Sho Sasaki ↓ Shunki Higashi 72'
- 1
- 6
- 33
- 4
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Naoki Maeda 82'
- 15
- 35
- 39
Bench
- 18
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 72'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 82'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
14
Satoshi Tanaka ↑ 46'
- 32
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 54'
- 26
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Gaucho | 1 |
| Ryunosuke Sato | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
2025-06-01
Shonan Bellmare
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-05-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–2
FC Machida Zelvia
D
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-06-22
Yokohama FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-06-14
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-05-31
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Kawasaki Frontale
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC
| Handicap | Fagiano Okayama FC covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.