Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Fagiano Okayama FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 09:55 UTC City Light Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ataru Esaka 65' Y

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
1
Fagiano Okayama FC 5 games · Avg 2.0 goals Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–1 L
28 Jun Kashima Antlers A 2–1 W
21 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–0 W
15 Jun Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
01 Jun Shonan Bellmare A 1–1 D
25 May FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D
31 May Kawasaki Frontale H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Fagiano Okayama FC Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#6 Position #4
26 Points 30
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
41 Scored 41
46 Conceded 33
-5 GD +8
1.44 PPG 1.67
44% Win % 56%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Lucao 1 G 1 A
Noah Browne 1 G
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fagiano Okayama FC is hosting Sanfrecce Hiroshima for another epic battle.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Kota Kudo, a Japan defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Fagiano Okayama FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 25' Shunki Higashi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Ibuki Fujita is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Fagiano Okayama FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Valere Germain as he leaves the pitch. Kosuke Kinoshita steps in for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' The whistle greets Takaya Kimura as he departs to be replaced by Werik.
  • 59' Ryo Germain has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 64' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 65' That is a card for Fagiano Okayama FC. Ataru Esaka will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daichi Tagami is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
  • 72' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sho Sasaki is replaced by Shunki Higashi.
  • 77' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Naoki Maeda on, Naoto Arai off on 82 minutes.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Ryo Takeuchi comes on to replace Yuta Kamiya.
  • Fagiano Okayama FC will have plenty to reflect on. Sanfrecce Hiroshima were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC32% Draw26% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Fagiano Okayama FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Fagiano Okayama FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fagiano Okayama FC23% Draw43% Sanfrecce Hiroshima34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Fagiano Okayama FC

Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.