Saturday , 14 November 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyōto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Albirex Niigata get us underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
  • 2' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shunki Higashi on 2.
  • 7' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 12' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 22' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Mutsuki Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 27' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
  • 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 42' Kosuke Kinoshita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 272 appearances.
  • 47' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 48' Against the run of play, Kosuke Kinoshita has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 58' The 30-year-old Naoto Arai has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Keisuke Kasai by Takuya Shimamura on 59 minute.
  • 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Fitzgerald.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Kosuke Kinoshita is replaced by Mutsuki Kato on 71 minute.
  • 72' Kakeru Funaki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuto Horigome at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiji Shirai, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 79' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Hayato Araki has done his job and it is now time for Naoto Arai to step up.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuhiko Chiba argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Jin Okumura is replaced by Ken Yamura on 84 minute.
  • 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Valere Germain on, Ryo Germain off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata28% Draw31% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw52% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.