Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 10:00 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–2 L
05 Jul Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–2 L
29 Jun FC Machida Zelvia H 0–4 L
25 Jun Kawasaki Frontale A 1–3 L
21 Jun Avispa Fukuoka A 2–3 L
15 Jun Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
02 Jul Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
28 Jun Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
22 Jun Yokohama FC A 4–0 W
14 Jun Kashima Antlers A 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima has kicked off!
  • 2' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shunki Higashi on 2.
  • 7' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 7 minutes.
  • 12' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
  • 17' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' It looks like no one’s ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Kasai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Albirex Niigata is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 48' Goal! Kosuke Kinoshita scores his 27 goal in 263 matches.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Mutsuki Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 59' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Keisuke Kasai is replaced by Takuya Shimamura on 59 minute.
  • 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Michael Fitzgerald gets a card.
  • 71' Another change for Sanfrecce Hiroshima made on 71 minute. Kosuke Kinoshita leaves to be changed by Mutsuki Kato.
  • 72' Another change for Albirex Niigata made on 72 minute. Yuto Horigome leaves to be changed by Kakeru Funaki.
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 79' Naoto Arai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hayato Araki on 79 minute.
  • 82' It’s a booking for Albirex Niigata player. Kazuhiko Chiba gets a card.
  • 84' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Jin Okumura departs to be replaced by Ken Yamura.
  • 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shuto Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 90' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Ryo Germain departs to be replaced by Valere Germain.
  • The final score is 0-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata28% Draw31% Sanfrecce Hiroshima41%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata19% Draw52% Sanfrecce Hiroshima29%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.