Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
62%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 10 G | 4 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 3 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 3 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Albirex Niigata get us underway at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- 2' Sanfrecce Hiroshima is taking the lead after the goal scored by Shunki Higashi on 2.
- 7' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 12' Albirex Niigata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 17' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Albirex Niigata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 22' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Mutsuki Kato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 27' Albirex Niigata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
- 32' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 37' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 42' Kosuke Kinoshita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 272 appearances.
- 47' Both keepers have barely been tested. Albirex Niigata and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 48' Against the run of play, Kosuke Kinoshita has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sanfrecce Hiroshima needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' The 30-year-old Naoto Arai has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' Another substitution for Albirex Niigata to replace Keisuke Kasai by Takuya Shimamura on 59 minute.
- 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Fitzgerald.
- 71' It is a substitution in Sanfrecce Hiroshima team. Kosuke Kinoshita is replaced by Mutsuki Kato on 71 minute.
- 72' Kakeru Funaki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuto Horigome at the 72 minute mark.
- 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eiji Shirai, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 79' Sanfrecce Hiroshima ring the changes. Hayato Araki has done his job and it is now time for Naoto Arai to step up.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuhiko Chiba argues furiously but the card stands.
- 84' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Jin Okumura is replaced by Ken Yamura on 84 minute.
- 89' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 90' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Valere Germain on, Ryo Germain off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Kento Hashimoto 71'
- 35
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kakeru Funaki 72'
- 8
- 50
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Ken Yamura 84'
- 46
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Yuji Hoshi 59'
- 1
Bench
-
77
Kakeru Funaki ↑ 72'
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 59'
- 18
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↑ 59'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 71'
- 15
- 33
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 84'
- 21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Valere Germain 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Naoki Maeda 90'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Mutsuki Kato 71'
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Naoto Arai 79'
- 14
- 15
- 39
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
- 18
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 90'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 79'
- 32
- 21
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 71'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 71'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Araki | 1 |
| Yoshiaki Takagi | 1 |
| Pieros Sotiriou | 1 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 1 |
| Miguel Silveira | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-07-05
Kyōto Sanga FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-29
Albirex Niigata
0–4
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-06-25
Kawasaki Frontale
3–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-21
Avispa Fukuoka
3–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-15
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-06-22
Yokohama FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-06-14
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

