Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Albirex Niigata vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.
- Albirex Niigata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Jun | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–3 | L |
| 15 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Jul | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | Yokohama FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Albirex Niigata host Sanfrecce Hiroshima — let the battle begin!
- 2' What composure from Shunki Higashi! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 7' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuji Ono is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Albirex Niigata.
- 12' The 25-year-old Hiroto Uemura has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 17' Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 444 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 22' Sanfrecce Hiroshima are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 27' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 32' It looks surprising Albirex Niigata does not make any changes. Shuto Nakano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 37' Kosuke Kinoshita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sanfrecce Hiroshima so far.
- 42' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sota Nakamura made 342 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 47' Sanfrecce Hiroshima fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 48' GOAL! Kosuke Kinoshita fires home to make it 0-2!
- 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yotaro Nakajima suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 59' Albirex Niigata ring the changes. Keisuke Kasai has done his job and it is now time for Takuya Shimamura to step up.
- 64' A quiet spell here at Denka Big Swan Stadium. Albirex Niigata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Michael Fitzgerald.
- 71' Mutsuki Kato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosuke Kinoshita at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' Time for substitution for Albirex Niigata. Yuto Horigome is replaced by Kakeru Funaki.
- 77' Albirex Niigata is showing some good football. However, Albirex Niigata are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 79' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Naoto Arai comes on to replace Hayato Araki.
- 82' Albirex Niigata player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Ken Yamura. He replaces Jin Okumura on 84 minute.
- 89' Mutsuki Kato is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Albirex Niigata tonight.
- 90' Time for substitution for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Ryo Germain is replaced by Valere Germain.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Albirex Niigata Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
-
99
Yuji Ono ↓ Kento Hashimoto 71'
- 35
-
31
Yuto Horigome ↓ Kakeru Funaki 72'
- 8
- 50
- 41
-
30
Jin Okumura ↓ Ken Yamura 84'
- 46
-
22
Taiki Arai ↓ Yuji Hoshi 59'
- 1
Bench
-
77
Kakeru Funaki ↑ 72'
-
19
Yuji Hoshi ↑ 59'
- 18
-
28
Takuya Shimamura ↑ 59'
-
42
Kento Hashimoto ↑ 71'
- 15
- 33
-
9
Ken Yamura ↑ 84'
- 21
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Valere Germain 90'
- 19
- 1
- 6
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Naoki Maeda 90'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Mutsuki Kato 71'
- 33
-
4
Hayato Araki ↓ Naoto Arai 79'
- 14
- 15
- 39
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 90'
- 18
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↑ 90'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 79'
- 32
- 21
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↑ 71'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↑ 71'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 1 |
| Kaito Taniguchi | 1 |
| Miguel Silveira | 1 |
| Shunki Higashi | 1 |
| Kosuke Kinoshita | 1 |
| Naoto Arai | 1 |
| Tsukasa Shiotani | 1 |
| Shunsuke Mito | 1 |
Head to Head
Albirex Niigata Form
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-07-05
Kyōto Sanga FC
2–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-29
Albirex Niigata
0–4
FC Machida Zelvia
L
2025-06-25
Kawasaki Frontale
3–1
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-21
Avispa Fukuoka
3–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2025-06-15
Albirex Niigata
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-02
Vissel Kobe
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2025-06-22
Yokohama FC
0–4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-06-14
Kashima Antlers
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Albirex Niigata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
72%
Albirex Niigata or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.1%
0 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata
| Handicap | Albirex Niigata covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 23% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

