Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | FC Tokyo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
100%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Suita City Football Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Gamba Osaka and Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 5' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Ibuki Fujita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' A stunning finish from Hiroto Iwabuchi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 15' Makoto Mitsuta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 25' Gamba Osaka has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 35' With 3 assists to his name this season, Ataru Esaka is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 36' A stunning finish from Hiroto Iwabuchi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 41' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 45' Makoto Mitsuta has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Another substitution for Fagiano Okayama FC to replace Hiroto Iwabuchi by Lucao on 46 minute.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Suita City Football Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 61' Kazunari Ichimi makes way for Takaya Kimura at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 62' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Takahiro Yanagi has done his job and it is now time for Masaya Matsumoto to step up.
- 63' Fagiano Okayama FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 68' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Dani Poyatos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 69' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Yoshitake Suzuki trudges off to be replaced by Kota Kudo on 69 minutes.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Yuta Kamiya.
- 83' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 83 minutes.
- 88' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 89' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Takaya Kimura makes it 0-3.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Ryunosuke Sato. He receives a card.
- 90' Kanji Okunuki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Deniz Hummet on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fagiano Okayama FC players.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 46'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Issam Jebali 62'
- 51
- 3
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 78'
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↓ Kanji Okunuki 90'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 62'
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 78'
- 8
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 46'
- 2
- 15
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↑ 90'
- 18
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 69'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Takaya Kimura 61'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 24
- 39
- 41
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 46'
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 62'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 69'
- 98
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 61'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 14
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F.Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.52
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.59
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
61%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Gamba Osaka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
3 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.