Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | FC Tōkyō | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Gamba Osaka and Fagiano Okayama FC has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' GOAL! Hiroto Iwabuchi scores on 10. Assisted by Ibuki Fujita
- 15' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Gamba Osaka started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 36' The Japan Hiroto Iwabuchi breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 0-2!
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Makoto Mitsuta.
- 46' Another change for Fagiano Okayama FC made on 46 minute. Hiroto Iwabuchi leaves to be changed by Lucao.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Gamba Osaka in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 61' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Takaya Kimura on 61 minute.
- 62' Fagiano Okayama FC ring the changes. Takahiro Yanagi has done his job and it is now time for Masaya Matsumoto to step up.
- 63' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yugo Tatsuta on 63 minutes.
- 68' Gamba Osaka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fagiano Okayama FC backline.
- 69' Yoshitake Suzuki makes way for Kota Kudo at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Eiji Miyamoto made 110 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ataru Esaka departs to be replaced by Yuta Kamiya.
- 83' Ryunosuke Sato has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 437 appearances.
- 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 89' Takaya Kimura makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Fagiano Okayama FC are in front.
- 90' Fagiano Okayama FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' A tactical swap from Gamba Osaka — Kanji Okunuki on, Deniz Hummet off on 90 minutes.
- The points are shared — Gamba Osaka 0-3 Fagiano Okayama FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 46'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Issam Jebali 62'
- 51
- 3
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 78'
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↓ Kanji Okunuki 90'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 62'
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 78'
- 8
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 46'
- 2
- 15
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↑ 90'
- 18
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 69'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Takaya Kimura 61'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 24
- 39
- 41
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 46'
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 62'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 69'
- 98
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 61'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 14
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F·Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.52
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.59
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
61%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Gamba Osaka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
3 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.