Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gamba Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Suita City Football Stadium.
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Jul | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jun | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | FC Tokyo | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jun | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Gamba Osaka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 28 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 61 | Scored | 41 |
| 53 | Conceded | 46 |
| +8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Gamba Osaka are 5th (28 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 2 G | 1 A |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G | |
| Asahi Uenaka | 1 G | |
| Welton | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Gamba Osaka gets underway.
- 5' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Goal! Hiroto Iwabuchi scores his 3 goal in 60 matches.
- 15' Eiji Miyamoto has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 110 appearances.
- 20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Gamba Osaka and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 25' Yoshitake Suzuki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gamba Osaka must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 36' Hiroto Iwabuchi does the damage! The net is bulging and Fagiano Okayama FC surge ahead!
- 41' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' Gamba Osaka player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' A change in the Fagiano Okayama FC ranks — Hiroto Iwabuchi exits the field as Lucao enters on 46.
- 51' Welton is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 61' It is a substitution in Fagiano Okayama FC team. Kazunari Ichimi is replaced by Takaya Kimura on 61 minute.
- 62' Takahiro Yanagi makes way for Masaya Matsumoto at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 63' Yugo Tatsuta was booked on 63.
- 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 69' Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kota Kudo is hanging Yoshitake Suzuki on the field on 69 minute.
- 74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Gamba Osaka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 78' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Yuta Kamiya comes on to replace Ataru Esaka.
- 83' Gamba Osaka is showing some good football. However, Gamba Osaka are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 88' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 89' Magnificent from Takaya Kimura! That is 7 goals in 60 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryunosuke Sato.
- 90' It is a substitution in Gamba Osaka team. Deniz Hummet is replaced by Kanji Okunuki on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Fagiano Okayama FC players.
Lineups
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 5
-
10
Shu Kurata ↓ Ryoya Yamashita 46'
- 20
- 4
- 22
-
16
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Issam Jebali 62'
- 51
- 3
-
97
Welton ↓ Juan Alano 78'
-
23
Deniz Hummet ↓ Kanji Okunuki 90'
Bench
-
11
Issam Jebali ↑ 62'
-
47
Juan Alano ↑ 78'
- 8
-
17
Ryoya Yamashita ↑ 46'
- 2
- 15
- 27
-
44
Kanji Okunuki ↑ 90'
- 18
Coach
Dani Poyatos
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
- 88
-
43
Yoshitake Suzuki ↓ Kota Kudo 69'
- 18
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Takaya Kimura 61'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Yuta Kamiya 78'
- 24
- 39
- 41
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↓ Lucao 46'
Bench
- 77
-
28
Masaya Matsumoto ↑ 62'
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 78'
-
15
Kota Kudo ↑ 69'
- 98
- 50
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↑ 61'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 46'
- 14
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hiroto Iwabuchi | 2 |
| Issam Jebali | 1 |
| Takeru Kishimoto | 1 |
| Ataru Esaka | 1 |
| Takahiro Yanagi | 1 |
| Kazunari Ichimi | 1 |
| Takaya Kimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-08-10
Gamba Osaka
0–3
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-07-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
L
2025-06-28
Kashima Antlers
1–2
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-21
Yokohama F.Marinos
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-06-15
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Avispa Fukuoka
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.52
Gamba Osaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.59
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 5.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 4.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
Double Chance
Gamba Osaka or Draw
61%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
61%
Gamba Osaka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fagiano Okayama FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–3 not predicted0 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
5%
1 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
3 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Gamba Osaka
| Handicap | Gamba Osaka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 16% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

