Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga FC — J. League at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
- Kyoto Sanga FC 18 games · 23 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Tōkyō | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Jul | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Kyoto Sanga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 30 | Points | 23 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 41 | Scored | 32 |
| 33 | Conceded | 39 |
| +8 | GD | -7 |
| 1.67 | PPG | 1.28 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Kyoto Sanga FC this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts). Kyoto Sanga FC are 8th (23 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
5/–
61-75
3/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kyoto Sanga FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/6
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga FC.
- 5' Shuto Nakano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Kyoto Sanga FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keisuke Osako made 335 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sanfrecce Hiroshima must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Fresh legs for Sanfrecce Hiroshima! Kosuke Kinoshita comes on to replace Naoki Maeda.
- 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Leo Gomes has so much to prove this time. He replaces Shohei Takeda on 56 minute.
- 61' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Mutsuki Kato departs to be replaced by Valere Germain.
- 63' Sho Sasaki has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
- 67' Papagaio picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 72' Taiki Hirato makes way for Marco Tulio at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Kyoto Sanga FC.
- 76' The Kyoto Sanga FC manager makes a substitution. Shimpei Fukuoka departs to be replaced by Ryuma Nakano.
- 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
- 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marco Tulio.
- 86' The whistle greets Ryo Germain as he departs to be replaced by Hayao Kawabe.
- 88' Magnificent from Papagaio! That is 31 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' A moment of madness from Gakuji Ota on 90 minutes earns him a card. Kyoto Sanga FC will be frustrated.
- 90' Hayato Araki gets the nod from Sanfrecce Hiroshima. He replaces Yotaro Nakajima and will look to change the dynamic.
- It finishes all square. Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kyoto Sanga FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Ryo Germain ↓ Hayao Kawabe 86'
- 19
- 1
- 3
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↓ Naoto Arai 90'
-
41
Naoki Maeda ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
- 33
- 14
- 15
-
35
Yotaro Nakajima ↓ Hayato Araki 90'
-
51
Mutsuki Kato ↓ Valere Germain 61'
Bench
- 10
-
98
Valere Germain ↑ 61'
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 86'
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
-
4
Hayato Araki ↑ 90'
-
13
Naoto Arai ↑ 90'
- 26
- 37
- 45
Coach
Michael Skibbe
Kyoto Sanga FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 14
-
39
Taiki Hirato ↓ Marco Tulio 72'
- 50
- 24
-
16
Shohei Takeda ↓ Leo Gomes 56'
- 44
-
10
Shimpei Fukuoka ↓ Ryuma Nakano 76'
- 26
-
27
Fuki Yamada ↓ Masaya Okugawa 46'
- 22
Bench
-
29
Masaya Okugawa ↑ 46'
-
25
Leo Gomes ↑ 56'
-
11
Marco Tulio ↑ 72'
-
2
Shinnosuke Fukuda ↑ 56'
- 18
- 21
-
48
Ryuma Nakano ↑ 76'
- 5
- 93
Coach
Kwi-Jea Cho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoto Arai | 3 |
| Takumu Kawamura | 2 |
| Yusuke Chajima | 2 |
| Yuta Toyokawa | 2 |
| Taishi Matsumoto | 2 |
| Papagaio | 2 |
| Genki Omae | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-09-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–1
Kyoto Sanga FC
D
2025-08-31
Cerezo Osaka FC
1–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
D
2025-08-23
Tokyo Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
Kyoto Sanga FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.78
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Kyoto Sanga FC xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyoto Sanga FC 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw
70%
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC
56%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Kyoto Sanga FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Handicap | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers | Push | Kyoto Sanga FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Kyoto Sanga FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

