Thursday , 17 September 2026

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 23 Aug 2026 · 01:30 UTC PayPal Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Timo Werner pen 4' 1–0
1–1 10' Joaquin Pereyra
1–2 40' Kelvin Yeboah
1–3 44' Kelvin Yeboah
1–4 65' Marcus Caldeira
1–5 86' Mauricio Gonzalez

Overview

Match Preview

San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FCMLS at PayPal Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jair Marrufo
6 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Minnesota United FC H 1–5 L
20 Aug Los Angeles Galaxy A 0–1 L
16 Aug St. Louis City H 1–3 L
01 Aug FC Cincinnati A 2–4 L
26 Jul Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
23 Jul Orlando City SC H 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug San Jose Earthquakes A 5–1 W
19 Aug Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
16 Aug Real Salt Lake A 1–1 D
02 Aug San Diego FC H 1–1 D
26 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 0–0 D
23 Jul Sporting Kansas City A 1–2 L

Season Stats

San Jose Earthquakes Minnesota United FC
#19 Position #27
41 Points 29
25 Played 25
12 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 10
44 Scored 37
36 Conceded 43
+8 GD -6
1.64 PPG 1.16
48% Win % 28%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
24% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

San Jose Earthquakes are 19th (41 pts). Minnesota United FC are 27th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
11/7
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
6/6
61-75
4/2
76+
7/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
2/8
31-45
6/1
46-60
3/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

San Jose Earthquakes
Preston Judd 12 G 3 A
Timo Werner 6 G 4 A
Ousseni Bouda 6 G 1 A
Minnesota United FC
Kelvin Yeboah 13 G 2 A
Anthony Markanich 7 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.54 San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.21 Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
San Jose Earthquakes26% Draw23% Minnesota United FC51%
Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
49%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
74%
San Jose Earthquakes or Minnesota United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
San Jose Earthquakes22% Draw39% Minnesota United FC39%
Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 3
6.2%
2 – 1
6%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
0 – 0
3.6%
1 – 4
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes

Handicap San Jose Earthquakes covers Push Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 20% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
12%
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.