Thursday , 2 July 2026

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul San Jose Earthquakes H 4–1 W
05 Jul FC Dallas A 2–1 W
28 Jun New York Red Bulls A 2–2 D
26 Jun Houston Dynamo H 3–1 W
15 Jun San Diego FC H 2–4 L
01 Jun Seattle Sounders FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Minnesota United FC A 1–4 L
06 Jul New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
29 Jun Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
26 Jun FC Dallas A 4–2 W
14 Jun Portland Timbers A 1–1 D
31 May St. Louis City A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Minnesota United FC San Jose Earthquakes
#23 Position #17
22 Points 32
15 Played 15
6 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 10 / 2 / 3
18 Scored 34
22 Conceded 15
-4 GD +19
1.47 PPG 2.13
40% Win % 67%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season

Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Minnesota United FC47% Draw23% San Jose Earthquakes30%
Actual: Minnesota United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Minnesota United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
53%
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Minnesota United FC30% Draw42% San Jose Earthquakes28%
Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC

Handicap Minnesota United FC covers Push San Jose Earthquakes covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 18% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 17% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.