Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
- San Jose Earthquakes 15 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | San Diego FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Minnesota United FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 06 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jun | FC Dallas | A | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Jun | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #17 |
| 22 | Points | 32 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 6 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 34 |
| 22 | Conceded | 15 |
| -4 | GD | +19 |
| 1.47 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 40% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
33%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts). San Jose Earthquakes are 17th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/–
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Minnesota United FC launch into their encounter with San Jose Earthquakes.
- 2' Tani Oluwaseyi puts Minnesota United FC on the lead.
- 7' A quiet spell here at Allianz Field. San Jose Earthquakes seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 9' The referee has no hesitation. Ian Harkes is booked for San Jose Earthquakes — card on 9.
- 14' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 19' San Jose Earthquakes are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 24' Both keepers have barely been tested. Minnesota United FC and San Jose Earthquakes are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Julian Gressel made 283 appearances and scored 30 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Nick Lima has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benjamin Kikanovic on 30 minute.
- 35' Kelvin Yeboah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 141 appearances.
- 38' It’s a booking for San Jose Earthquakes player. Rodrigues gets a card.
- 42' Brilliant from the ! Kelvin Yeboah makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 42.
- 46' The San Jose Earthquakes manager makes a substitution. Dave Romney departs to be replaced by Reid Roberts.
- 50' Anthony Markanich makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Minnesota United FC are in front.
- 55' Minnesota United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Ian Harkes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 62' Carlos Harvey is replacing Jefferson Diaz for the Minnesota United FC side.
- 64' Reid Roberts is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
- 65' Controversy at the stadium! Daniel Munie argues furiously but the card stands.
- 69' Bruno Wilson is replacing Daniel Munie for the San Jose Earthquakes side.
- 70' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Wilson gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
- 73' Preston Judd gets the nod from San Jose Earthquakes. He replaces Vitor Costa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' A change in the Minnesota United FC ranks — Julian Gressel exits the field as Bongokuhle Hlongwane enters on 78.
- 79' The San Jose Earthquakes manager makes a substitution. Rodrigues departs to be replaced by Jamar Ricketts.
- 84' Cristian Arango has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
- 85' Morris Duggan gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Joaquin Pereyra and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Darius Randell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kelvin Yeboah at the 90 minute mark.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Minnesota United FC players.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↓ Morris Duggan 85'
- 20
- 15
- 24
- 97
- 5
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Darius Randell 90'
- 13
- 14
-
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 62'
Bench
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 62'
- 27
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↑ 62'
- 30
- 1
-
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↑ 78'
-
23
Morris Duggan ↑ 85'
- 19
-
98
Darius Randell ↑ 90'
Coach
Eric Ramsay
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 42
-
94
Vitor Costa ↓ Preston Judd 73'
- 6
- 17
-
26
Rodrigues ↓ Jamar Ricketts 79'
-
28
Benjamin Kikanovic ↓ Nick Lima 30'
-
12
Dave Romney ↓ Reid Roberts 46'
-
11
Ousseni Bouda ↓ Niko Tsakiris 69'
-
5
Daniel Munie ↓ Bruno Wilson 69'
- 34
Bench
-
24
Nick Lima ↑ 30'
- 36
-
4
Bruno Wilson ↑ 69'
-
30
Niko Tsakiris ↑ 69'
-
19
Preston Judd ↑ 73'
-
2
Jamar Ricketts ↑ 79'
- 25
-
18
Reid Roberts ↑ 46'
- 20
Coach
Bruce Arena
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 3 |
| Danny Hoesen | 3 |
| Kevin Molino | 3 |
| Benjamin Kikanovic | 3 |
| Danny Hoesen | 3 |
| Magnus Eriksson | 3 |
| Kelvin Yeboah | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-07-13
Minnesota United FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-07-05
FC Dallas
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-06-28
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-06-15
Minnesota United FC
2–4
San Diego FC
L
2025-06-01
Seattle Sounders FC
2–3
Minnesota United FC
W
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2025-07-13
Minnesota United FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2025-07-06
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2025-06-29
San Jose Earthquakes
1–1
Los Angeles Galaxy
D
2025-06-26
FC Dallas
2–4
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
2025-05-31
St. Louis City
2–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
San Jose Earthquakes xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or San Jose Earthquakes
53%
Minnesota United FC or San Jose Earthquakes
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | San Jose Earthquakes covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

