San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at PayPal Park.
- San Jose Earthquakes 18 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Sporting Kansas City | A | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | Real Salt Lake | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Oct | St. Louis City | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | Real Salt Lake | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| San Jose Earthquakes | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #25 |
| 33 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 37 | Scored | 20 |
| 24 | Conceded | 25 |
| +13 | GD | -5 |
| 1.83 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 56% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
69%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
San Jose Earthquakes this season
San Jose Earthquakes this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
San Jose Earthquakes are 18th (33 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
0-15
7/6
16-30
3/4
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/6
61-75
4/1
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
San Jose Earthquakes
| Preston Judd | 11 G | 2 A |
| Ousseni Bouda | 5 G | 1 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and San Jose Earthquakes launch into their encounter with Minnesota United FC.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' A quiet spell here at PayPal Park. Minnesota United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' Kelvin Yeboah does the damage! The net is bulging and Minnesota United FC surge ahead!
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' Cristian Espinoza has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 45' Poor challenge from Hassani Dotson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 50' Bongokuhle Hlongwane needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dave Romney is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Minnesota United FC.
- 60' San Jose Earthquakes is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' San Jose Earthquakes player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Sang-bin Jeong. He replaces Kelvin Yeboah on 65 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for San Jose Earthquakes. Jamar Ricketts is replaced by Vitor Costa.
- 75' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' The San Jose Earthquakes manager makes a substitution. Beau Leroux departs to be replaced by Preston Judd.
- 84' Supporters expect more eagerness from Beau Leroux, as he is very good at scoring at PayPal Park with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 87' It is a substitution in Minnesota United FC team. Anthony Markanich is replaced by Nicolas Romero on 87 minute.
- 90' Another substitution for San Jose Earthquakes to replace Rodrigues by Niko Tsakiris on 90 minute.
- Minnesota United FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
San Jose Earthquakes Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 42
-
6
Ian Harkes ↓ Mark-Anthony Kaye 70'
- 17
- 10
-
26
Rodrigues ↓ Niko Tsakiris 90'
- 4
- 12
- 7
-
2
Jamar Ricketts ↓ Vitor Costa 70'
-
34
Beau Leroux ↓ Preston Judd 79'
Bench
- 24
-
14
Mark-Anthony Kaye ↑ 70'
-
94
Vitor Costa ↑ 70'
- 36
-
30
Niko Tsakiris ↑ 90'
-
11
Ousseni Bouda ↑ 70'
-
19
Preston Judd ↑ 79'
- 5
- 25
Coach
Bruce Arena
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Robin Lod ↓ Joaquin Pereyra 79'
- 20
- 15
- 31
- 97
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 65'
- 13
- 21
-
14
Tani Oluwaseyi ↓ Owen Gene 79'
- 23
-
28
Jefferson Diaz ↓ Carlos Harvey 65'
Bench
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↑ 79'
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 65'
-
5
Nicolas Romero ↑ 87'
-
30
Owen Gene ↑ 79'
- 1
-
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 65'
- 2
- 19
- 22
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Magnus Eriksson | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 3 |
| Danny Hoesen | 3 |
| Kevin Molino | 3 |
| Benjamin Kikanovic | 3 |
| Danny Hoesen | 3 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
Head to Head
San Jose Earthquakes Form
2025-03-09
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2025-03-02
Sporting Kansas City
1–2
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-02-23
San Jose Earthquakes
4–0
Real Salt Lake
W
2024-10-20
Los Angeles FC
3–1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2024-10-06
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2024-10-03
San Jose Earthquakes
3–2
FC Dallas
W
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-03-09
San Jose Earthquakes
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-03-02
Minnesota United FC
1–0
Montreal Impact FC
W
2025-02-22
Los Angeles FC
1–0
Minnesota United FC
L
2024-10-20
Minnesota United FC
4–1
St. Louis City
W
2024-10-05
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2024-10-03
Real Salt Lake
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.44
San Jose Earthquakes xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
San Jose Earthquakes or Minnesota United FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
San Jose Earthquakes or Draw
70%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
58%
San Jose Earthquakes or Minnesota United FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Minnesota United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 0
11.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — San Jose Earthquakes
| Handicap | San Jose Earthquakes covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
San Jose Earthquakes keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.