Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Yokohama F.Marinos

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 15 Sep 2023 · 10:30 UTC Nissan Stadium 7,771 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 87' Yoichi Naganuma

Kaina Yoshio 90' 1–1

Y 58' Yoichi Naganuma

Katsuya Nagato 72' Y

Y 90' Il-kyu Park

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.

Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Masuya Ueda
Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F.Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos

Recent Form

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
02 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	Yokohama FC	A	1–4	L
19 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
06 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

57% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

3/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/3

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

Kaina Tanimura	6 G	1 A
Miidera Shin	2 G
Taisei Inoue	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Yokohama F.Marinos have kicked off against Sagan Tosu FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Yokohama F.Marinos are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
10' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' Yokohama F.Marinos are deployed in a 4-2-1-3 today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
20' Both keepers have barely been tested. Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yuki Saneto suffering a number of foals already.
30' Eduardo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Yokohama F.Marinos and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
58' Poor challenge from Yoichi Naganuma. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
64' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Tae-Hee Nam is withdrawn and Takuma Nishimura gets his opportunity.
67' Cayman Togashi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jun Nishikawa on 67 minute.
72' Katsuya Nagato was booked on 72.
77' Takuya Kida is ready to make an impact after coming on for Riku Yamane at the 77 minute mark.
82' Over 82 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
83' Kaina Yoshio gets the nod from Yokohama F.Marinos. He replaces Katsuya Nagato and will look to change the dynamic.
84' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama on 84 minute.
87' What a strike from Yoichi Naganuma! The score is 0-1.
90' Kaina Yoshio makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Yokohama F.Marinos are in front.
90' Il-kyu Park was booked on 90.
90' Akito Fukuta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taichi Kikuchi at the 90 minute mark.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kevin Muscat

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 67'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 90'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
31
Masahiro Okamoto
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 67'
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 84'
38
Shota Hino ↑ 84'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Fuchi Honda	1
Hugo Vieira	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-08-26 Yokohama FC 4–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-08-19 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 FC Tokyo W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2023-08-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Yokohama F.Marinos D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F.Marinos50% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Yokohama F.Marinos or Draw

77%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Yokohama F.Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F.Marinos33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F.Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F.Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.