Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Yokohama F.Marinos

1 – 1

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Fri 15 Sep 2023 · 10:30 UTC Nissan Stadium 7,771 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 87' Yoichi Naganuma

Kaina Yoshio 90' 1–1

Y 58' Yoichi Naganuma

Katsuya Nagato 72' Y

Y 90' Il-kyu Park

Overview

Match Preview

Yokohama F.Marinos vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Nissan Stadium.

Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Masuya Ueda
Assistant 1 Naoya Okawa

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Yokohama F.Marinos 14 games · Avg 2.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 1–3 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-07-16 Sagan Tosu FC 2–2 Yokohama F.Marinos 2022-03-18 Yokohama F.Marinos 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2021-08-25 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Yokohama F.Marinos

Recent Form

Yokohama F.Marinos

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
02 Sep	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–2	L
26 Aug	Yokohama FC	A	1–4	L
19 Aug	FC Tokyo	H	2–1	W
12 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	2–1	W
06 Aug	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	0–0	D

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Sep	Yokohama F.Marinos	A	1–1	D
02 Sep	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	0–2	L
26 Aug	Gamba Osaka	H	1–1	D
19 Aug	Kashima Antlers	A	1–2	L
12 Aug	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–1	D
06 Aug	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Yokohama F.Marinos

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Yokohama F·Marinos gets underway.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yuki Horigome is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
10' Yokohama F·Marinos is showing some good football. However, Yokohama F·Marinos are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' It’s high time Kevin Muscat made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
25' Yokohama F·Marinos are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
30' Yokohama F·Marinos are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
35' Katsuya Nagato, a Japan , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
40' Elber needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
50' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
58' Yoichi Naganuma is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
63' So Kawahara is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
64' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Tae-Hee Nam is withdrawn and Takuma Nishimura gets his opportunity.
67' The crowd applauds Jun Nishikawa as he leaves the pitch. Cayman Togashi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
72' Poor challenge from Katsuya Nagato. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
77' Takuya Kida gets the nod from Yokohama F.Marinos. He replaces Riku Yamane and will look to change the dynamic.
82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
83' Kaina Yoshio has so much to prove this time. He replaces Katsuya Nagato on 83 minute.
84' The crowd applauds Yuto Iwasaki as he leaves the pitch. Ayumu Yokoyama steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
87' What composure from Yoichi Naganuma! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
90' The deadlock is broken! Kaina Yoshio gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
90' Il-kyu Park catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
90' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Taichi Kikuchi departs to be replaced by Akito Fukuta.
will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups

4-2-1-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kevin Muscat

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 67'
6
Akito Fukuta ↑ 90'
14
Naoyuki Fujita
31
Masahiro Okamoto
27
Yoshiki Narahara ↑ 67'
32
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 84'
38
Shota Hino ↑ 84'

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erik	3
Kota Mizunuma	2
Daizen Maeda	2
Marcos Junior	2
Yan Santos	2
Leo Ceara	2
Yoichi Naganuma	1
Riki Harakawa	1

Head to Head

Yokohama F.Marinos Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Kashiwa Reysol 2–0 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-08-26 Yokohama FC 4–1 Yokohama F.Marinos L 2023-08-19 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 FC Tokyo W 2023-08-12 Yokohama F.Marinos 2–1 Gamba Osaka W 2023-08-06 Urawa Red Diamonds 0–0 Yokohama F.Marinos D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2023-09-15 Yokohama F.Marinos 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-09-02 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-08-26 Sagan Tosu FC 1–1 Gamba Osaka D 2023-08-19 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2023-08-12 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2023-08-06 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Avispa Fukuoka L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.5 Yokohama F.Marinos xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Yokohama F.Marinos50% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Yokohama F.Marinos or Draw

77%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

50%

Yokohama F.Marinos or Sagan Tosu FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Yokohama F.Marinos33% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.2%

0 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

8.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Yokohama F.Marinos

Handicap	Yokohama F.Marinos covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	23%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.