Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Yokohama F.Marinos — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Yokohama F.Marinos 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Albirex Niigata | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Oct | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Sep | FC Tokyo | H | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–6 | L |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
100%
Clean Sheets
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
Yokohama F.Marinos this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Yokohama F.Marinos
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Yokohama F·Marinos.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 17' Yokohama F.Marinos player sees a card in front of him.
- 20' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kento Nishiya on 20 minutes.
- 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Yokohama F·Marinos needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 26' Magnificent from Wataru Harada! That is 7 goals in 279 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 31' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anderson Lopes, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 33' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 38' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' Ryuta Koike is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Yokohama F·Marinos so far.
- 47' What a strike from Takuma Nishimura! The score is 1-1.
- 52' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Yokohama F·Marinos backline.
- 55' Keisuke Sakaiya is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daichi Suzuki at the 55 minute mark.
- 59' The supporters are chanting for Kenta Inoue. He replaces Elber on 59 minute.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. John Hutchinson will be considering his options from the bench.
- 69' A tactical swap from Yokohama F.Marinos — Jun Amano on, Riku Yamane off on 69 minutes.
- 74' Yokohama F·Marinos started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
- 78' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Cayman Togashi trudges off to be replaced by Jaja Silva on 78 minutes.
- 80' Magnificent from Anderson Lopes! That is 96 goals in 381 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 82' The whistle greets Kento Nishiya as he departs to be replaced by Tsubasa Terayama.
- 87' The Yokohama F.Marinos bench stirs into life. Takuma Nishimura is withdrawn and Asahi Uenaka gets his opportunity.
- The points are shared — Sagan Tosu FC 1-2 Yokohama F·Marinos. Honours even.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↓ Jaja Silva 78'
-
6
Akito Fukuta ↓ Ryohei Watanabe 55'
- 77
- 28
- 4
- 71
- 8
- 42
-
47
Daichi Suzuki ↓ Keisuke Sakaiya 55'
- 33
Bench
-
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 78'
- 31
- 2
-
37
Tsubasa Terayama ↑ 82'
-
32
Keisuke Sakaiya ↑ 55'
-
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 55'
-
25
Ryohei Watanabe ↑ 55'
Coach
Naoyuki Iwata
Yokohama F.Marinos Lineups
Starting XI
-
7
Elber ↓ Kenta Inoue 59'
-
11
Yan Santos ↓ Kota Mizunuma 87'
- 2
-
9
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Asahi Uenaka 87'
- 4
- 21
- 13
- 6
- 10
-
28
Riku Yamane ↓ Jun Amano 69'
-
39
Taiki Watanabe ↓ Eduardo 59'
Bench
-
5
Eduardo ↑ 59'
-
20
Jun Amano ↑ 69'
-
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 87'
-
17
Kenta Inoue ↑ 59'
-
14
Asahi Uenaka ↑ 87'
- 31
- 45
Coach
John Hutchinson
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erik | 3 |
| Marcos Junior | 2 |
| Yan Santos | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 2 |
| Daizen Maeda | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Yokohama F.Marinos Form
2024-11-09
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Yokohama F.Marinos
W
2024-10-30
Yokohama F.Marinos
0–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
D
2024-10-18
Yokohama F.Marinos
0–0
Albirex Niigata
D
2024-10-05
Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
Yokohama F.Marinos
L
2024-09-28
Yokohama F.Marinos
1–3
FC Tokyo
L
2024-09-22
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6–2
Yokohama F.Marinos
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Yokohama F.Marinos xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Yokohama F.Marinos win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Yokohama F.Marinos
61%
Sagan Tosu FC or Yokohama F.Marinos
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.8%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Yokohama F.Marinos covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Yokohama F.Marinos keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

