Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2023
Sat 1 Apr 2023 · 06:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium 8,548 HT 45' · FT 45'
Atsushi Kawata 90' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC TōkyōJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Tanimoto
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Ryosuke Murai
8 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 8.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
18 Mar Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
12 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Nagoya Grampus H 1–0 W
25 Feb Gamba Osaka A 1–1 D
18 Feb Shonan Bellmare H 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
18 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
12 Mar Yokohama FC H 3–1 W
04 Mar Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–2 L
26 Feb Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
18 Feb Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
/1
16-30
/2
31-45
8/
46-60
2/
61-75
4/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tōkyō is underway.
  • 5' The travelling FC Tōkyō supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' So Kawahara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Junya Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 437 appearances.
  • 30' It’s high time Albert Puig made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Diego Oliveira is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tōkyō that had 437 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 45' FC Tōkyō come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Tsubasa Terayama is replaced by Kota Tawaratsumida on 46 minute.
  • 51' Masaya Tashiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuto Iwasaki and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuto Iwasaki departs to be replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama.
  • 64' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 67' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yoshiki Narahara is withdrawn and Jun Nishikawa gets his opportunity.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Pedro Perotti. He replaces Diego Oliveira on 71 minute.
  • 72' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Koki Tsukagawa is replaced by Takuya Aoki on 72 minute.
  • 77' Akito Fukuta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Tōkyō tonight.
  • 82' Masaya Tashiro is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
  • 82' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Junya Suzuki is hanging Adailton on the field on 82 minute.
  • 83' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Masaya Tashiro.
  • 84' Ryonosuke Kabayama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kiriya Sakamoto at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' Adailton, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 90' Atsushi Kawata has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 FC Tōkyō xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw29% FC Tōkyō20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
80%
Draw or FC Tōkyō
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tōkyō
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC32% Draw53% FC Tōkyō15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.5%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push FC Tōkyō covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 25% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
47%
FC Tōkyō keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.