Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Kashiwa Reysol

1 – 0

Full Time

Kashima Antlers

Sun 9 Apr 2023 · 10:00 UTC Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium 11,421 HT 45' · FT 45'

Mao Hosoya 32' 1–0

Keiya Sento 45' Y

Yugo Tatsuta 56' Y

Y 58' Gen Shoji

Takumi Tsuchiya 82' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Kashiwa Reysol vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.

Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
Assistant 2 Hiroyoshi Iwata

8 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Kashiwa Reysol 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals Kashima Antlers

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-09 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kashima Antlers 2022-07-02 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima Antlers 2022-03-06 Kashima Antlers 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2021-07-11 Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Kashima Antlers 2021-04-07 Kashima Antlers 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	1–0	W
31 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–3	L
19 Mar	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–1	L
12 Mar	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–3	L
04 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	A	0–1	L
26 Feb	FC Tōkyō	H	1–1	D

Kashima Antlers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
01 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–2	L
18 Mar	Yokohama F·Marinos	A	1–2	L
12 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
04 Mar	Yokohama FC	A	3–1	W
25 Feb	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Kashiwa Reysol		Kashima Antlers
#17	Position	#11
20	Points	45
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	15 / 0 / 3
24	Scored	40
25	Conceded	20
-1	GD	+20
1.11	PPG	2.50
39%	Win %	83%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

61% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

3/3

46-60

–/3

61-75

2/2

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Kashima Antlers

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/–

76+

6/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Kashiwa Reysol launch into their encounter with Kashima Antlers.
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Keigo Tsunemoto is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Kashiwa Reysol.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daiki Iwamasa will be considering his options from the bench.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Kashiwa Reysol side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
25' Kei Chinen has been relatively quiet despite scoring 39 goals in his last 439 appearances.
30' named a 4-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
32' Magnificent from Mao Hosoya! That is 46 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
35' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 35 minute. Shoma Doi leaves to be changed by Ryotaro Araki.
36' Ryotaro Araki is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shoma Doi at the 36 minute mark.
41' Kashima Antlers has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Keiya Sento on 45 minutes.
46' Fresh legs for Kashima Antlers! Yuta Higuchi comes on to replace Diego Pituca.
51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Kashiwa Reysol that had 411 games and scored 345 goals.
56' Yugo Tatsuta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 56.
58' Yugo Tatsuta is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
60' A moment of madness from Gen Shoji on 60 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Kashima Antlers will be frustrated.
65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Naomichi Ueda suffering a number of foals already.
68' The whistle greets Tomoya Fujii as he departs to be replaced by Shu Morooka.
69' Another change for Kashima Antlers made on 69 minute. Tomoya Fujii leaves to be changed by Shu Morooka.
74' Yuki Kakita is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yuma Suzuki at the 74 minute mark.
75' The Kashima Antlers manager makes a substitution. Yuma Suzuki departs to be replaced by Yuki Kakita.
80' A change in the Kashiwa Reysol ranks — Keiya Sento exits the field as Tomoya Koyamatsu enters on 80.
81' The Kashiwa Reysol bench stirs into life. Keiya Sento is withdrawn and Tomoya Koyamatsu gets his opportunity.
82' Takumi Tsuchiya has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
82' The crowd applauds Keiya Shiihashi as he leaves the pitch. Tomoki Takamine steps in for Kashiwa Reysol.
83' Another substitution for Kashiwa Reysol to replace Keiya Shiihashi by Tomoki Takamine on 83 minute.
83' Controversy at the stadium! Takumi Tsuchiya argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
Full Time. Kashiwa Reysol beats Kashima Antlers

Lineups

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nelsinho

Kashima Antlers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

31
Yuya Oki
5
Ikuma Sekigawa
14
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 46'
22
Rikuto Hirose ↑ 46'
10
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 35'
37
Yuki Kakita ↑ 74'
36
Shu Morooka ↑ 68'

Coach Daiki Iwamasa

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Leo Ceara	4
Shoma Doi	3
Yuma Suzuki	3
Yusuke Segawa	3
Michael Olunga	3
Yuma Suzuki	2
Cristiano	2
Mao Hosoya	2

Head to Head

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2023-04-09 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2023-03-31 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2023-03-19 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-03-12 Kashiwa Reysol 0–3 Nagoya Grampus L 2023-03-04 Avispa Fukuoka 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tōkyō D

Kashima Antlers Form

2023-04-09 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Kashima Antlers L 2023-04-01 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima L 2023-03-18 Yokohama F·Marinos 2–1 Kashima Antlers L 2023-03-12 Kashima Antlers 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2023-03-04 Yokohama FC 1–3 Kashima Antlers W 2023-02-25 Kashima Antlers 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.88 Kashiwa Reysol xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.35 Kashima Antlers xG

I would bet for: Kashiwa Reysol or Kashima Antlers 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol31% Draw29% Kashima Antlers40%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes44% 0% No56%

Avg goals/match: 2.23

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

Kashiwa Reysol or Draw

60%

Draw or Kashima Antlers

69%

Kashiwa Reysol or Kashima Antlers

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Kashiwa Reysol17% Draw51% Kashima Antlers32%

Actual: Kashiwa Reysol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 1

13.3%

0 – 0

12.9%

0 – 2

9.4%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

5.4%

0 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

1 – 3

3.9%

2 – 2

3.8%

2 – 3

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Kashiwa Reysol

Handicap	Kashiwa Reysol covers	Push	Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	15%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	24%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	14%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

27% ✗

Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.