Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
FC Machida Zelvia
3 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Machida GION Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 10' Wataru Harada
Junya Suzuki 45' Y
Y 51' Yoichi Naganuma
Y 85' Kosuke Yamazaki

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 3–1 W
16 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
09 Mar Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–0 W
24 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
54% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
6/1
76+
9/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
Takuma Nishimura 5 G
Koki Ogawa 4 G
Yuki Soma 3 G 4 A
Tete Yengi 3 G 1 A
Hiroki Mochizuki 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Machida Zelvia is hosting Sagan Tosu FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kazuki Fujimoto makes it 1-0.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for Wataru Harada. He receives a card.
  • 15' Shota Fujio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 8 Yellow cards this season.
  • 20' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' Vinicius Araujo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 31 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' Wataru Harada is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 34' GOAL! Marcelo Ryan scores on 34. Assisted by Taichi Kikuchi
  • 39' FC Machida Zelvia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 44' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 45' Junya Suzuki has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 46' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 46 minute. Junya Suzuki leaves to be changed by Gen Shoji.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Yoichi Naganuma is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — card on 51.
  • 54' The South Korea forward Se-hun Oh breaks the deadlock on 54 minutes. 2-1!
  • 57' What a moment for Se-hun Oh! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 62' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Kosei Tani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 64' Vinicius Araujo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcelo Ryan on 64 minute.
  • 68' Ayumu Yokoyama is ready to make an impact after coming on for Taichi Kikuchi at the 68 minute mark.
  • 70' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Kazuki Fujimoto by Masayuki Okuyama on 70 minute.
  • 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Kai Shibato is replaced by Hokuto Shimoda.
  • 83' FC Machida Zelvia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 85' A moment of madness from Kosuke Yamazaki on 85 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 88' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kentaro Moriya is hanging Shota Fujio on the field on 88 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Se-hun Oh 2
Tsubasa Terayama 1
Daichi Suzuki 1
Ibrahim Dresevic 1
Marcelo Ryan 1
Kazuki Fujimoto 1

Head to Head

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-03-09 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-02-24 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Gamba Osaka D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Machida Zelvia to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Machida Zelvia63% Draw21% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
85%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
37%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sagan Tosu FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Machida Zelvia45% Draw41% Sagan Tosu FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.