Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
FC Machida Zelvia
3 – 1
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 06:00 UTC Machida GION Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 10' Wataru Harada
Junya Suzuki 45' Y
Y 51' Yoichi Naganuma
Y 85' Kosuke Yamazaki

Overview

Match Preview

FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyōto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tōkyō Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

1
1
FC Machida Zelvia 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

FC Machida Zelvia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Sagan Tosu FC H 3–1 W
16 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–1 W
09 Mar Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 1–0 W
24 Feb Gamba Osaka H 1–1 D
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
16 Mar Cerezo Osaka FC H 0–2 L
09 Mar Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–4 L
02 Mar Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 4–0 W
24 Feb Albirex Niigata H 1–2 L
03 Dec Kawasaki Frontale H 0–1 L

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Machida Zelvia
Yuki Soma 3 G 3 A
Koki Ogawa 3 G
Hotaka Nakamura 2 G 1 A
Tete Yengi 2 G 1 A
Takuma Nishimura 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Machida Zelvia and Sagan Tosu FC get this one started.
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kazuki Fujimoto makes it 1-0.
  • 10' A moment of madness from Wataru Harada on 10 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. So Kawahara made 279 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' The deadlock is broken! Marcelo Ryan gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Machida GION Stadium. FC Machida Zelvia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Junya Suzuki.
  • 46' Junya Suzuki makes way for Gen Shoji at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Machida Zelvia.
  • 51' That looks like a foul for a card for Yoichi Naganuma.
  • 54' Se-hun Oh does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Machida Zelvia surge ahead!
  • 57' What a moment for Se-hun Oh! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 62' The 25-year-old Kotaro Hayashi has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 64' Vinicius Araujo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcelo Ryan at the 64 minute mark.
  • 68' Ayumu Yokoyama gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Taichi Kikuchi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 70' Masayuki Okuyama gets the nod from FC Machida Zelvia. He replaces Kazuki Fujimoto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 78' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Hokuto Shimoda on, Kai Shibato off on 78 minutes.
  • 83' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Machida Zelvia side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kosuke Yamazaki on 85.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Shota Fujio is replaced by Kentaro Moriya.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

FC Machida Zelvia Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Go Kuroda

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Se-hun Oh 2
Marcelo Ryan 1
Kazuki Fujimoto 1
Tsubasa Terayama 1
Daichi Suzuki 1
Ibrahim Dresevic 1

Head to Head

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC

FC Machida Zelvia Form

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-03-16 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-03-09 FC Machida Zelvia 1–0 Kashima Antlers W 2024-03-02 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-02-24 FC Machida Zelvia 1–1 Gamba Osaka D

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-03-30 FC Machida Zelvia 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-16 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2024-03-09 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-03-02 Sagan Tosu FC 4–0 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo W 2024-02-24 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Albirex Niigata L 2023-12-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Kawasaki Frontale L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Machida Zelvia to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Machida Zelvia63% Draw21% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: FC Machida Zelvia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
85%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
37%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sagan Tosu FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Machida Zelvia45% Draw41% Sagan Tosu FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia

Handicap FC Machida Zelvia covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.