FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Machida Zelvia vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Machida GION Stadium.
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Mar | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Mar | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–4 | L |
| 02 Mar | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 4–0 | W |
| 24 Feb | Albirex Niigata | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
44%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Machida Zelvia kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Kazuki Fujimoto puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 10' Wataru Harada was booked on 10.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Machida Zelvia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 34' What a strike from Marcelo Ryan! The score is 1-1.
- 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 44' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Junya Suzuki.
- 46' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Junya Suzuki departs to be replaced by Gen Shoji.
- 51' It’s gonna be a card for Yoichi Naganuma.
- 54' Sensational shot from Se-hun Oh. FC Machida Zelvia is back in the lead.
- 57' GOAL! Se-hun Oh scores on 57. Assisted by Yu Hirakawa
- 62' Cayman Togashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 64' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Vinicius Araujo is hanging Marcelo Ryan on the field on 64 minute.
- 68' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Taichi Kikuchi is replaced by Ayumu Yokoyama.
- 70' The whistle greets Kazuki Fujimoto as he departs to be replaced by Masayuki Okuyama.
- 75' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keiya Sento made 302 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Hokuto Shimoda is replacing Kai Shibato for the FC Machida Zelvia side.
- 83' It’s high time Go Kuroda made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 85' Kosuke Yamazaki is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Shota Fujio on 88 minute.
- Full Time. FC Machida Zelvia beats Sagan Tosu FC
Lineups
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
45
Kai Shibato ↓ Hokuto Shimoda 78'
- 5
- 8
- 22
- 9
-
6
Junya Suzuki ↓ Gen Shoji 46'
- 26
- 7
- 14
- 90
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 78'
- 41
-
3
Gen Shoji ↑ 46'
- 15
- 42
-
2
Masayuki Okuyama ↑ 70'
Coach
Go Kuroda
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 64'
- 16
- 88
- 71
- 21
-
23
Taichi Kikuchi ↓ Ayumu Yokoyama 68'
- 42
- 2
- 5
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 64'
- 19
- 3
-
22
Cayman Togashi ↑ 46'
-
28
Yusuke Maruhashi ↑ 68'
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↑ 68'
- 12
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Se-hun Oh | 2 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 1 |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 |
| Tsubasa Terayama | 1 |
| Daichi Suzuki | 1 |
| Ibrahim Dresevic | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
2024-03-30
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-03-16
Sagan Tosu FC
0–2
Cerezo Osaka FC
L
2024-03-09
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4–0
Sagan Tosu FC
L
2024-03-02
Sagan Tosu FC
4–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
2024-02-24
Sagan Tosu FC
1–2
Albirex Niigata
L
2023-12-03
Sagan Tosu FC
0–1
Kawasaki Frontale
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1
FC Machida Zelvia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Machida Zelvia to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
FC Machida Zelvia or Draw
85%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
37%
FC Machida Zelvia or Sagan Tosu FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Machida Zelvia
| Handicap | FC Machida Zelvia covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 19% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.