Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
1 – 0
Full Time
Mon 9 Aug 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug FC Tokyo H 1–0 W
24 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–3 D
17 Jul Nagoya Grampus H 3–1 W
03 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–1 D
23 Jun Yokohama F.Marinos A 0–2 L
30 May Vissel Kobe A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–1 L
21 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC A 3–3 D
11 Jul Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
27 Jun Ōita FC Trinita H 3–0 W
23 Jun Tokushima Vortis A 1–0 W
19 Jun Yokohama FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
85% Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
7/1
46-60
8/1
61-75
10/–
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tokyo
Motoki Nagakura 8 G 3 A
Marcelo Ryan 5 G 2 A
Dani Gomez 5 G
Soma Anzai 5 G
Teruhito Nakagawa 4 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host FC Tokyo — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 7' Sagan Tosu FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Keiya Sento on 7.
  • 12' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 17' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 22' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 27' FC Tokyo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 31' The referee shows FC Tokyo player a Yellow card on 31.
  • 36' Japan international Tsuyoshi Watanabe has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Yojiro Takahagi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 450 games and scored 428 goals.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. FC Tokyo seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Kensuke Nagai. He replaces Diego Oliveira on 56 minute.
  • 57' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 57 minute. Taichi Fukui leaves to be changed by Hwang Seokho.
  • 59' Hwang Seokho has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 59.
  • 64' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 66' Keigo Higashi makes way for Ryoma Watanabe at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
  • 69' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Noriyoshi Sakai trudges off to be replaced by Keita Yamashita on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 84' Ryunosuke Sagara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yoshihiro Nakano at the 84 minute mark.
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats FC Tokyo

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.6 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 FC Tokyo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC51% Draw26% FC Tokyo23%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
77%
Draw or FC Tokyo
49%
Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC34% Draw46% FC Tokyo20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.4%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push FC Tokyo covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.