Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tōkyō, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Tōkyō

Fri 31 May 2024 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Yoichi Naganuma 35' Y

Y 44' Kuryu Matsuki

Kosuke Yamazaki 59' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs FC Tokyo — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.4 goals FC Tōkyō

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō 2023-09-23 FC Tōkyō 3–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2023-04-01 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-06-26 Sagan Tosu FC 5–0 FC Tōkyō 2022-05-08 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Sagan Tosu FC

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 May	FC Tōkyō	H	0–1	L
18 May	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
15 May	Kawasaki Frontale	H	5–2	W
11 May	Júbilo Iwata	A	3–0	W
06 May	Shonan Bellmare	A	1–2	L
03 May	Tokyo Verdy	H	0–2	L

FC Tōkyō

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 May	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–0	W
26 May	Gamba Osaka	H	0–1	L
19 May	Yokohama F·Marinos	H	1–1	D
15 May	Nagoya Grampus	A	1–3	L
11 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–3	D
06 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/–

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō

Motoki Nagakura	5 G	2 A
Marcelo Ryan	3 G	2 A
Soma Anzai	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo is underway.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Hotaka Nakamura, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
11' Yasuki Kimoto doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
16' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
21' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and FC Tokyo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
26' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Tokyo's shape.
31' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Yoichi Naganuma on 35 minutes.
40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
44' That looks like a foul for a card for Kuryu Matsuki.
49' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
54' It looks surprising Sagan Tosu FC does not make any changes. Takahiro Ko has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
59' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a card in front of him.
64' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Diego Oliveira made 444 appearances and scored 87 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
65' Hotaka Nakamura is ready to make an impact after coming on for Teruhito Nakagawa at the 65 minute mark.
70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
73' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Yusuke Maruhashi has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Horigome to step up.
75' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Kota Tawaratsumida is withdrawn and Jaja Silva gets his opportunity.
76' FC Tokyo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Diego Oliveira is hanging Kuryu Matsuki on the field on 76 minute.
81' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
83' The crowd applauds Taichi Kikuchi as he leaves the pitch. Fumiya Kitajima steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
87' Atsushi Kawata gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Ayumu Yokoyama and will look to change the dynamic.
88' The FC Tokyo manager makes a substitution. Ryotaro Araki departs to be replaced by Riki Harakawa.
Full Time. FC Tokyo beats Sagan Tosu FC

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 83'
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 83'
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 87'
21
Yuki Horigome ↑ 73'
31
Masahiro Okamoto
18
Shota Hino
36
Fumiya Kitajima ↑ 83'

Coach Kenta Kawai

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

49
Kashif Bangunagande
39
Teruhito Nakagawa ↓ Hotaka Nakamura 65'
8
Takahiro Ko
37
Kei Koizumi
4
Yasuki Kimoto
41
Taishi Nozawa
71
Ryotaro Araki ↓ Riki Harakawa 88'
44
Henrique Trevisan
7
Kuryu Matsuki ↓ Diego Oliveira 76'
33
Kota Tawaratsumida ↓ Jaja Silva 75'
38
Soma Anzai ↓ Shuhei Tokumoto 87'

Bench

3
Masato Morishige
9
Diego Oliveira ↑ 76'
40
Riki Harakawa ↑ 88'
13
Go Hatano
2
Hotaka Nakamura ↑ 65'
70
Jaja Silva ↑ 75'
43
Shuhei Tokumoto ↑ 87'

Coach Peter Cklamovski

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kaisei Ishii	2
Fuchi Honda	2
Ryoya Morishita	2
Yuki Kakita	2
Diego	1
Leandro	1
Atsushi Kawata	1
Yuto Uchida	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-18 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2024-05-15 Sagan Tosu FC 5–2 Kawasaki Frontale W 2024-05-11 Júbilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L

FC Tokyo Form

2024-05-31 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 FC Tōkyō W 2024-05-26 FC Tōkyō 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2024-05-19 FC Tōkyō 1–1 Yokohama F·Marinos D 2024-05-15 Nagoya Grampus 3–1 FC Tōkyō L 2024-05-11 FC Tōkyō 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-05-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Tōkyō W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.38 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 FC Tokyo xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC40% Draw29% FC Tokyo31%

Actual: FC Tokyo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Tokyo

60%

Sagan Tosu FC or FC Tokyo

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw48% FC Tokyo23%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 0

10%

1 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.4%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	FC Tokyo covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	21%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	17%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.