FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2024

FC Tokyo

3 – 3

Full Time

Kashiwa Reysol

Sat 11 May 2024 · 08:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Diego

Y 45' Hiroki Sekine

Go Hatano 45' R

Y 62' Matheus Savio

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Kashiwa Reysol 18 games · 20 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

FC Tokyo 24 games · Avg 3.0 goals Kashiwa Reysol

Last 5 meetings

2024-05-11 FC Tokyo 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol 2023-07-01 FC Tokyo 1–0 Kashiwa Reysol 2023-02-26 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 FC Tokyo 2022-08-27 Kashiwa Reysol 3–6 FC Tokyo 2022-05-21 FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol

Recent Form

FC Tokyo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	Kashiwa Reysol	H	3–3	D
06 May	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
03 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	2–1	W
27 Apr	Albirex Niigata	A	3–1	W
21 Apr	FC Machida Zelvia	H	1–2	L
13 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	A	2–2	D

Kashiwa Reysol

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 May	FC Tokyo	A	3–3	D
06 May	Kashima Antlers	H	1–2	L
03 May	FC Machida Zelvia	A	0–2	L
28 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–1	D
12 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	1–0	W
07 Apr	Tokyo Verdy	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Tokyo		Kashiwa Reysol
#12	Position	#17
37	Points	20
18	Played	18
13 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 11
55	Scored	24
42	Conceded	25
+13	GD	-1
2.06	PPG	1.11
72%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

46% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Kashiwa Reysol this season

FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Kashiwa Reysol are 17th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kashiwa Reysol

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' FC Tōkyō have kicked off against Kashiwa Reysol. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
2' Matheus Savio puts Kashiwa Reysol on the lead.
6' GOAL! Teruhito Nakagawa fires home to make it 0-2!
11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
16' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kosuke Shirai, as he is very good at scoring at Ajinomoto Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
21' FC Tōkyō are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Kashiwa Reysol's shape.
26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kuryu Matsuki made 437 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
30' Diego was booked on 30.
32' Diego Oliveira does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Tokyo surge ahead!
37' Kuryu Matsuki doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
45' That looks like a foul for a card for Hiroki Sekine.
45' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Tsuyoshi Kodama on, Teruhito Nakagawa off on 45 minutes.
46' Magnificent from Tomoya Inukai! That is 18 goals in 447 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
46' It is a substitution in Kashiwa Reysol team. Takumi Tsuchiya is replaced by Sachiro Toshima on 46 minute.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
56' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Kashiwa Reysol are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
58' Goal! Takuya Shimamura scores his 4 goal in 369 matches.
62' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Savio is booked for Kashiwa Reysol — card on 62.
67' Kashiwa Reysol fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
72' FC Tokyo ring the changes. Kota Tawaratsumida has done his job and it is now time for Yuto Nagatomo to step up.
75' The whistle greets Hiroki Sekine as he departs to be replaced by Naoki Kawaguchi.
78' The Kashiwa Reysol manager makes a substitution. Diego departs to be replaced by Yugo Tatsuta.
83' A quiet spell here at Ajinomoto Stadium. Kashiwa Reysol seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
88' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Kashiwa Reysol's compact .
89' Kashiwa Reysol make a change. Takuya Shimamura trudges off to be replaced by Kazuki Kumasawa on 89 minutes.
90' Kashif Bangunagande makes way for Jaja Silva at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Tokyo.
Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Tokyo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Peter Cklamovski

Kashiwa Reysol Lineups

Starting XI

10
Matheus Savio
13
Tomoya Inukai
4
Taiyo Koga
19
Mao Hosoya
14
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Kosuke Kinoshita 46'
29
Takuya Shimamura ↓ Kazuki Kumasawa 89'
46
Kenta Matsumoto
3
Diego ↓ Yugo Tatsuta 78'
34
Takumi Tsuchiya ↓ Sachiro Toshima 46'
32
Hiroki Sekine ↓ Naoki Kawaguchi 75'
33
Eiji Shirai

Bench

50
Yugo Tatsuta ↑ 78'
15
Kosuke Kinoshita ↑ 46'
31
Tatsuya Morita
25
Fumiya Unoki
24
Naoki Kawaguchi ↑ 75'
28
Sachiro Toshima ↑ 46'
48
Kazuki Kumasawa ↑ 89'

Coach Masami Ihara

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adailton	7
Diego Oliveira	4
Kuryu Matsuki	3
Mao Hosoya	3
Cristiano	2
Douglas	2
Takuma Ominami	2
Ryunosuke Sato	2

Head to Head

FC Tokyo Form

2024-05-11 FC Tokyo 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-05-06 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 FC Tokyo W 2024-05-03 FC Tokyo 2–1 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2024-04-27 Albirex Niigata 1–3 FC Tokyo W 2024-04-21 FC Tokyo 1–2 FC Machida Zelvia L 2024-04-13 Tokyo Verdy 2–2 FC Tokyo D

Kashiwa Reysol Form

2024-05-11 FC Tokyo 3–3 Kashiwa Reysol D 2024-05-06 Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Kashima Antlers L 2024-05-03 FC Machida Zelvia 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-12 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Urawa Red Diamonds W 2024-04-07 Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 FC Tokyo xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.55 Kashiwa Reysol xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Tokyo53% Draw22% Kashiwa Reysol25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw

75%

Draw or Kashiwa Reysol

47%

FC Tokyo or Kashiwa Reysol

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Tokyo40% Draw38% Kashiwa Reysol22%

Actual: FC Tokyo win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

8.5%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 0

4.5%

3 – 0

4.2%

4 – 1

3.6%

2 – 3

3.4%

0 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap	FC Tokyo covers	Push	Kashiwa Reysol covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	20%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Kashiwa Reysol keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.