EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Nov | CA Paranaense | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Nov | SC Recife | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Liverpool FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | América FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #2 |
| 38 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 35 | Scored | 62 |
| 51 | Conceded | 23 |
| -16 | GD | +39 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' EC Vitoria are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' Alerrandro catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 15.
- 16' It’s gonna be a card for Richard Rios.
- 20' Richard Rios makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and SE Palmeiras are in front.
- 25' Willian Oliveira is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Vitoria tonight.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 32' Mateus Goncalves gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Dudu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 37' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 42' A quiet spell here at Barradao. EC Vitoria seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 45' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Camutanga on 53 minutes.
- 57' Poor challenge from Gabriel Menino. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Luis Guilherme. He replaces Estevao on 61 minute.
- 62' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Endrick is replaced by Lazaro on 62 minute.
- 66' The supporters are chanting for Fabinho. He replaces Raphael Veiga on 66 minute.
- 67' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Luiz Adriano on, Alerrandro off on 67 minutes.
- 68' It is a substitution in EC Vitoria team. Osvaldo is replaced by Iury on 68 minute.
- 73' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 78' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 83' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Mayke is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 85.
- 86' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Jose Hugo comes on to replace Lucas Esteves.
- 90' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Kaiky Marques is replacing Rony for the SE Palmeiras side.
- Another three points for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
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Bench
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Coach
Leo Condé
SE Palmeiras Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
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Rony ↓ Kaiky Marques 90'
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Raphael Veiga ↓ Fabinho 66'
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Estevao ↓ Luis Guilherme 61'
Bench
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Lazaro ↑ 62'
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Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 66'
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Kaiky Marques ↑ 90'
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Fabinho ↑ 66'
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Luis Guilherme ↑ 61'
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Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Matheuzinho | 1 |
| Mauricio | 1 |
| Dudu | 1 |
| Jhon Arias | 1 |
| Ramon Sosa | 1 |
| Yago Felipe | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.71
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
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10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
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55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
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76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
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89% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
42%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
83%
EC Vitoria or SE Palmeiras
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
12.8%
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 3
7.4%
1 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 1
3.6%
0 – 4
3.3%
2 – 2
3.2%
1 – 4
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +1 | 39% | 25% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

