Sunday , 16 August 2026

EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
2 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 22:30 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 54' Micael
Erick 66' Y
Renato Kayzer 69' Y
Renzo Lopez 87' Y
Lucas Halter 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 23 34
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 22 30
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 Gremio FBPA 22 26
14 EC Vitoria 22 26
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Santos FC 22 23
17 Mirassol FC 21 23
18 CR Vasco da Gama 22 23
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 22 11

Head-to-Head

2
2
6
EC Vitoria 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
12 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
27 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria SE Palmeiras
#14 Position #1
26 Points 48
22 Played 23
7 / 5 / 10 W / D / L 14 / 6 / 3
22 Scored 40
33 Conceded 19
-11 GD +21
1.18 PPG 2.09
32% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

EC Vitoria are 14th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/9
46-60
1/1
61-75
4/1
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: SE Palmeiras gets underway.
  • 5' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitória and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 20' SE Palmeiras have won 583 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Raul Caceres has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 9 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitória side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 31' EC Vitoria make a change. Raul Caceres trudges off to be replaced by Claudinho on 31 minutes.
  • 34' Magnificent from Renato Kayzer! That is 36 goals in 253 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' EC Vitória currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 49' The energy levels are beginning to show. Abel Ferreira might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Micael.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vitor Roque suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' Another substitution for SE Palmeiras to replace Allan by Joaquin Piquerez on 64 minute.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Erick makes it 0-2.
  • 66' Poor challenge from Erick. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 66' Vitor Roque is ready to make an impact after coming on for Thalys at the 66 minute mark.
  • 69' Renato Kayzer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
  • 70' The deadlock is broken! Joaquin Piquerez gets on the scoresheet on 70 minutes.
  • 73' A change in the EC Vitoria ranks — Erick exits the field as Ruben Ramos enters on 73.
  • 74' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Ronald is withdrawn and Fabricio gets his opportunity.
  • 79' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
  • 80' Carlos Eduardo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Osvaldo at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SE Palmeiras winning 100% of all matches.
  • 86' Against the run of play, Jose Manuel Lopez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 87' Poor challenge from Renzo Lopez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Lucas Halter on 90 minutes earns him a card. EC Vitoria will be frustrated.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabio Carille

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deyverson 2
Deyverson 2
Erick 1
Luan 1
Renato Kayzer 1
Edu Dracena 1
Jose Manuel Lopez 1
Bruno Henrique 1

Head to Head

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

EC Vitoria Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-26 Mirassol FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-24 EC Vitoria 2–2 SC Recife D 2025-07-20 EC Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-17 Botafogo FR 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-12 SC Internacional 1–0 EC Vitoria L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro W 2025-07-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-07-05 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Chelsea FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.14 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria27% Draw26% SE Palmeiras47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
53%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
EC Vitoria or SE Palmeiras
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria18% Draw43% SE Palmeiras39%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.5%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 3
6%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.