EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 34 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | SC Recife | H | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Jul | Botafogo FR | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Jul | SC Internacional | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug | EC Vitoria | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #2 |
| 38 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 35 | Scored | 62 |
| 51 | Conceded | 23 |
| -16 | GD | +39 |
| 1.12 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 29% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 5 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SE Palmeiras kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Fabio Carille might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Brazil international Allan has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Micael has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' EC Vitória are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. EC Vitória must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 31' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Raul Caceres has done his job and it is now time for Claudinho to step up.
- 34' Brilliant from the ! Renato Kayzer makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 34.
- 39' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 44' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 49' Lucas Arcanjo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 54' Micael picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 59' The travelling SE Palmeiras supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Allan is replaced by Joaquin Piquerez.
- 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Erick makes it 0-2.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Erick. He receives a card.
- 66' SE Palmeiras make a change. Thalys trudges off to be replaced by Vitor Roque on 66 minutes.
- 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Renato Kayzer.
- 70' Joaquin Piquerez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 73' Fresh legs for EC Vitoria! Ruben Ramos comes on to replace Erick.
- 74' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Ronald by Fabricio on 74 minute.
- 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joao Pedro Pepe made 330 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 80' EC Vitoria make a change. Osvaldo trudges off to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo on 80 minutes.
- 85' Lucas Halter needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 31 Yellow cards this season.
- 86' Brilliant from the ! Jose Manuel Lopez makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 86.
- 87' The referee shows EC Vitoria player a card on 87.
- 90' Lucas Halter catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- It finishes all square. EC Vitória and SE Palmeiras share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 6
- 79
- 27
- 5
- 11
- 3
- 8
- 44
- 1
- 66
Bench
- 17
- 77
- 28
- 23
- 43
- 20
- 31
- 12
- 16
- 2
- 76
- –
Coach
Fabio Carille
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 2
- 14
-
6
Vanderlan ↓ Ramon Sosa 64'
- 42
- 32
- 13
- 31
- 43
-
39
Thalys ↓ Vitor Roque 66'
-
40
Allan ↓ Joaquin Piquerez 64'
Bench
- 21
- 15
- 7
-
30
Lucas Evangelista ↑ 80'
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 64'
-
22
Joaquin Piquerez ↑ 64'
-
9
Vitor Roque ↑ 66'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 64'
- 4
- 55
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
| Erick | 1 |
| Luan | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
| Edu Dracena | 1 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 1 |
| Bruno Henrique | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.07
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 56% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
52%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
74%
EC Vitoria or SE Palmeiras
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
9%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 23% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

