Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
EC Vitoria
2 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 3 Aug 2025 · 22:30 UTC Barradao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 54' Micael
Erick 66' Y
Renato Kayzer 69' Y
Renzo Lopez 87' Y
Lucas Halter 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Barradao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
2
5
EC Vitoria 9 games · Avg 3.4 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

EC Vitoria
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
26 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–1 D
24 Jul SC Recife H 2–2 D
20 Jul RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
17 Jul Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
12 Jul SC Internacional A 0–1 L
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Aug EC Vitoria A 2–2 D
27 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

EC Vitoria SE Palmeiras
#13 Position #1
22 Points 41
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
21 Scored 30
25 Conceded 13
-4 GD +17
1.29 PPG 2.28
35% Win % 67%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SE Palmeiras get us underway at Barradao.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and SE Palmeiras are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' With 2 assists to his name this season, Erick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for EC Vitoria.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' Marcos Rocha, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. EC Vitoria is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 31' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Claudinho on, Raul Caceres off on 31 minutes.
  • 34' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Renato Kayzer makes it 1-0.
  • 39' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Micael on 54 minutes.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His EC Vitoria side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 64 minute. Allan leaves to be changed by Joaquin Piquerez.
  • 65' Erick adds to his 1 season tally! EC Vitoria lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 66' Erick catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
  • 66' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Thalys is replaced by Vitor Roque.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Renato Kayzer.
  • 70' Brilliant from the ! Joaquin Piquerez makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 70.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Erick as he leaves the pitch. Ruben Ramos steps in for EC Vitoria.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Fabricio. He replaces Ronald on 74 minute.
  • 79' EC Vitoria are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
  • 80' EC Vitoria make a change. Osvaldo trudges off to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo on 80 minutes.
  • 85' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 86' A stunning finish from Jose Manuel Lopez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 87' The referee calls foul for Renzo Lopez. He receives a card.
  • 90' Lucas Halter has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Fabio Carille

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Deyverson 2
Deyverson 2
Osvaldo 1
Dudu 1
Matheuzinho 1
Erick 1
Dudu 1
Renato Kayzer 1

Head to Head

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras 2018-12-02 SE Palmeiras 3–2 EC Vitoria 2018-08-19 EC Vitoria 0–3 SE Palmeiras

EC Vitoria Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-26 Mirassol FC 1–1 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-24 EC Vitoria 2–2 SC Recife D 2025-07-20 EC Vitoria 1–0 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-17 Botafogo FR 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-07-12 SC Internacional 1–0 EC Vitoria L

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro W 2025-07-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-07-05 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Chelsea FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.16 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria28% Draw26% SE Palmeiras46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
55%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
72%
EC Vitoria or SE Palmeiras
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria19% Draw44% SE Palmeiras37%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
8.3%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
5.2%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.