SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

5 – 1

Full Time

EC Vitoria

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs EC Vitoria — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
EC Vitoria 22 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	23	48
2	CR Flamengo	21	42
3	CA Paranaense	23	41
4	Fluminense FC	23	38
5	EC Bahia	23	34
6	Cruzeiro EC	22	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	32
8	SC Corinthians Paulista	22	32
9	Coritiba FBC	23	31
10	Botafogo FR	21	30
11	CA Mineiro	21	29
12	Sao Paulo FC	22	27
13	EC Vitoria	22	26
14	Gremio FBPA	21	25
15	SC Internacional	22	23
16	Mirassol FC	21	23
17	Santos FC	21	22
18	CR Vasco da Gama	21	22
19	Clube do Remo	22	22
20	Chapecoense AF	22	11

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 10 games · Avg 3.5 goals EC Vitoria

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria 2025-08-03 EC Vitoria 2–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-07-27 SE Palmeiras 0–2 EC Vitoria 2024-04-14 EC Vitoria 0–1 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W
26 Nov	Gremio FBPA	A	2–3	L
23 Nov	Fluminense FC	H	0–0	D

EC Vitoria

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–5	L
28 Jan	Clube do Remo	H	2–0	W
07 Dec	Sao Paulo FC	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	RB Bragantino	A	0–4	L
29 Nov	Mirassol FC	H	2–0	W
23 Nov	SC Recife	A	3–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		EC Vitoria
#1	Position	#13
48	Points	26
23	Played	22
14 / 6 / 3	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 10
40	Scored	22
19	Conceded	33
+21	GD	-11
2.09	PPG	1.18
61%	Win %	32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/3

61-75

5/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

EC Vitoria

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

1/9

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/1

76+

3/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	6 G	3 A
Ramon Sosa	4 G	2 A
Allan	4 G	2 A
Mauricio	4 G	1 A
Jhon Arias	4 G	1 A

EC Vitoria

Carlos Rene	5 G	1 A
Renato Kayzer	4 G	1 A
Gabriel Baralhas	2 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . SE Palmeiras are looking to make home advantage count against EC Vitoria.
It finishes all square. SE Palmeiras and EC Vitoria share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

EC Vitoria Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Deyverson	2
Deyverson	2
Richard Rios	1
Osvaldo	1
Dudu	1
Matheuzinho	1
Mauricio	1
Dudu	1

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D

EC Vitoria Form

2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria L 2026-01-28 EC Vitoria 2–0 Clube do Remo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-12-03 RB Bragantino 4–0 EC Vitoria L 2025-11-29 EC Vitoria 2–0 Mirassol FC W 2025-11-23 SC Recife 1–3 EC Vitoria W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.63 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.8 EC Vitoria xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras69% Draw18% EC Vitoria13%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

87%

Draw or EC Vitoria

31%

SE Palmeiras or EC Vitoria

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras55% Draw36% EC Vitoria9%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

11.3%

3 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 0

8.4%

3 – 1

7.6%

1 – 1

7.5%

4 – 0

6.2%

4 – 1

0 – 0

4.5%

2 – 2

3.4%

5 – 0

3.3%

3 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	EC Vitoria covers
-2.5	33%	—	67%
-2	33%	21%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	21%	25%
-0.5	75%	—	25%
+0.5	92%	—	8%
+1	92%	6%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

45% ✓

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.