Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Recife vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 21:30 UTC Ilha do Retiro HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Recife vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.

Head-to-Head

2
SC Recife 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Mirassol FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Mirassol FC H 1–2 L
19 Oct SC Internacional A 0–2 L
15 Oct Ceará SC H 1–1 D
08 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–3 L
05 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
01 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct SC Recife A 2–1 W
19 Oct São Paulo FC H 3–0 W
15 Oct SC Internacional H 3–1 W
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife are looking to make home advantage count against Mirassol FC.
  • 5' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 8' Reinaldo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 13' Mirassol FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' Alesson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 24' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
  • 28' GOAL! Negueba fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 33' Matheusinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 38' Assisted by Sergio Oliveira with the perfectly-timed delivery and Derik Lacerda makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 46' Chico is replacing Renato Marques for the Mirassol FC side.
  • 47' A stunning finish from Guilherme Marques — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Oliveira on 51.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Paulista might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 59' Chrystian Barletta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Augusto on 59 minute.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Shaylon on, Guilherme Marques off on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Another change for SC Recife made on 69 minute. Sergio Oliveira leaves to be changed by Rodrigo Atencio.
  • 74' Mirassol FC make a change. Neto Moura trudges off to be replaced by Jose Aldo on 74 minutes.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Hyoran. He replaces Lucas Kal on 75 minute.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Otavio. He replaces Jemmes on 79 minute.
  • 84' The 28-year-old Felipe Jonatan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 89' Ramon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Joao Victor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 1-2 the final result. SC Recife will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: SC Recife or Mirassol FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife32% Draw29% Mirassol FC39%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

SC Recife or Draw
61%
Draw or Mirassol FC
68%
SC Recife or Mirassol FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Recife24% Draw49% Mirassol FC27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — SC Recife

Handicap SC Recife covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 63% — 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Recife keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.