SC Recife vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Recife vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Ilha do Retiro.
- SC Recife 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Mirassol FC 35 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Oct | CA Mineiro | A | 1–3 | L |
| 05 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct | SC Recife | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | São Paulo FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 3–1 | W |
| 09 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 7 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ilha do Retiro. SC Recife are looking to make home advantage count against Mirassol FC.
- 5' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 8' Reinaldo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 13' Mirassol FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 23' Alesson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 24' SC Recife player sees a card in front of him.
- 28' GOAL! Negueba fires home to make it 0-1!
- 33' Matheusinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
- 38' Assisted by Sergio Oliveira with the perfectly-timed delivery and Derik Lacerda makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Recife side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Chico is replacing Renato Marques for the Mirassol FC side.
- 47' A stunning finish from Guilherme Marques — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sergio Oliveira on 51.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Paulista might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 59' Chrystian Barletta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pedro Augusto on 59 minute.
- 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 67' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Shaylon on, Guilherme Marques off on 67 minutes.
- 69' Another change for SC Recife made on 69 minute. Sergio Oliveira leaves to be changed by Rodrigo Atencio.
- 74' Mirassol FC make a change. Neto Moura trudges off to be replaced by Jose Aldo on 74 minutes.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Hyoran. He replaces Lucas Kal on 75 minute.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Luiz Otavio. He replaces Jemmes on 79 minute.
- 84' The 28-year-old Felipe Jonatan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 89' Ramon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
- 90' Poor challenge from Joao Victor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 1-2 the final result. SC Recife will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
SC Recife Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 40
- 21
- 15
-
36
Luan Candido ↓ Igor Carius 59'
- 27
- 11
- 18
- 17
- 28
- 13
Bench
- 92
-
16
Igor Carius ↑ 59'
-
19
Hyoran ↑ 75'
-
33
Matheus Alexandre ↑ 46'
- 7
- 38
- 22
- 6
-
30
Chrystian Barletta ↑ 59'
-
20
Rodrigo Atencio ↑ 69'
- 54
- 46
Coach
Daniel Paulista
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Neto Moura ↓ Jose Aldo 74'
- 22
-
6
Reinaldo ↓ Felipe Jonatan 46'
- 77
- 34
- 11
- 20
-
78
Renato Marques ↓ Chico 46'
-
12
Guilherme Marques ↓ Shaylon 67'
-
3
Jemmes ↓ Luiz Otavio 79'
- 8
Bench
-
16
Felipe Jonatan ↑ 46'
-
4
Luiz Otavio ↑ 79'
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 67'
- 10
-
21
Jose Aldo ↑ 74'
- 23
- 5
- 96
- 18
-
91
Chico ↑ 46'
- 44
- 99
Coach
Ivan Baitello
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Reinaldo | 1 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Negueba | 1 |
| Guilherme Marques | 1 |
SC Recife Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
SC Recife xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for:
SC Recife or Mirassol FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SC Recife or Draw
61%
Draw or Mirassol FC
68%
SC Recife or Mirassol FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SC Recife
| Handicap | SC Recife covers | Push | Mirassol FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 20% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Recife keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
