Sunday , 16 August 2026

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Thu 9 Oct 2025 · 00:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Marques 23' Y
Walter 23' Y
Y 27' Martinelli
Y 41' Juan Freytes
Y 69' Agustin Canobbio
Neto Moura 83' Y
Y 89' Santiago Moreno

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 23 48
2 CR Flamengo 21 42
3 CA Paranaense 23 41
4 Fluminense FC 23 38
5 EC Bahia 22 33
6 Cruzeiro EC 22 33
7 RB Bragantino 22 32
8 SC Corinthians Paulista 22 32
9 Coritiba FBC 23 31
10 Botafogo FR 21 30
11 CA Mineiro 21 29
12 Sao Paulo FC 22 27
13 EC Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio FBPA 21 25
15 SC Internacional 22 23
16 Mirassol FC 21 23
17 Santos FC 21 22
18 CR Vasco da Gama 21 22
19 Clube do Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense AF 21 10

Head-to-Head

2
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-09 Mirassol FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
21 Sep EC Juventude H 2–0 W
17 Sep Botafogo FR A 3–3 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Fluminense FC
#16 Position #4
23 Points 38
21 Played 23
6 / 5 / 10 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
24 Scored 34
30 Conceded 28
-6 GD +6
1.10 PPG 1.65
29% Win % 43%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Mirassol FC are 16th (23 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 4 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Campos Maia as Mirassol FC face off against Fluminense FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Mirassol FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Denilson Alves scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Mirassol FC in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 20' Mirassol FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 23' It’s gonna be a card for Guilherme Marques.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Martinelli on 27 minutes earns him a card. Fluminense FC will be frustrated.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hercules made 266 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 36' Brilliant from the ! Guilherme Marques makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 36.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Juan Freytes on 41.
  • 46' Keno makes way for Yeferson Soteldo at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 51' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 56' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 62' The supporters are chanting for German Cano. He replaces John Kennedy on 62 minute.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Renato Marques on, Cristian Renato off on 65 minutes.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Agustin Canobbio gets a card.
  • 72' A tactical swap from Fluminense FC — Santiago Moreno on, Agustin Canobbio off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Mirassol FC. Alesson is replaced by Carlos Eduardo.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Neto Moura on 83.
  • 85' Facundo Bernal gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Hercules and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Brilliant from the ! Negueba makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 86.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Santiago Moreno is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 89.
  • With this win, Mirassol FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC44% Draw26% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC30% Draw45% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.