Saturday , 14 November 2026

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 9 Oct 2025 · 00:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Head-to-Head

2
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Fluminense FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
21 Sep EC Juventude H 2–0 W
17 Sep Botafogo FR A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Fluminense FC
#14 Position #4
40 Points 57
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 16 / 9 / 9
39 Scored 55
48 Conceded 42
-9 GD +13
1.18 PPG 1.68
29% Win % 47%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
24% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Mirassol FC are 14th (40 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 6 A
Jefferson Savarino 7 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 6 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 6 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Mirassol FC and Fluminense FC is underway.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Mirassol FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' The 24-year-old John Kennedy has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 23' It’s a booking for Mirassol FC player. Guilherme Marques gets a card.
  • 27' Martinelli is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Mirassol FC have won 91 goals from 72 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 36' Guilherme Marques does the damage! The net is bulging and Mirassol FC surge ahead!
  • 41' Juan Freytes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
  • 46' Yeferson Soteldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keno on 46 minute.
  • 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mirassol FC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 56' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The whistle greets John Kennedy as he departs to be replaced by German Cano.
  • 65' The crowd applauds Cristian Renato as he leaves the pitch. Renato Marques steps in for Mirassol FC.
  • 69' Agustin Canobbio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
  • 72' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Moreno is hanging Agustin Canobbio on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Fabio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 78' Alesson makes way for Carlos Eduardo at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
  • 83' Neto Moura is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 85' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Hercules departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
  • 86' A goal from the Brazil international Negueba! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-1!
  • 89' Poor challenge from Santiago Moreno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • Another three points for Mirassol FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC44% Draw26% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC30% Draw45% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.