Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.
- Mirassol FC 34 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Fluminense FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Oct | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Sep | EC Juventude | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | CA Mineiro | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | SC Recife | A | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Sep | Botafogo FR | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Mirassol FC | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #4 |
| 40 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 39 | Scored | 55 |
| 48 | Conceded | 42 |
| -9 | GD | +13 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 29% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
Mirassol FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Mirassol FC are 14th (40 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/6
16-30
7/2
31-45
7/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Mirassol FC
| Carlos Eduardo | 7 G | |
| Igor Formiga | 4 G | 5 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Mirassol FC and Fluminense FC is underway.
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Mirassol FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 15' A quiet spell here at Campos Maia. Mirassol FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' The 24-year-old John Kennedy has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 23' It’s a booking for Mirassol FC player. Guilherme Marques gets a card.
- 27' Martinelli is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' Mirassol FC have won 91 goals from 72 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 36' Guilherme Marques does the damage! The net is bulging and Mirassol FC surge ahead!
- 41' Juan Freytes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 41.
- 46' Yeferson Soteldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keno on 46 minute.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Mirassol FC and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
- 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 62' The whistle greets John Kennedy as he departs to be replaced by German Cano.
- 65' The crowd applauds Cristian Renato as he leaves the pitch. Renato Marques steps in for Mirassol FC.
- 69' Agustin Canobbio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 69.
- 72' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Moreno is hanging Agustin Canobbio on the field on 72 minute.
- 77' Fabio is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
- 78' Alesson makes way for Carlos Eduardo at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Mirassol FC.
- 83' Neto Moura is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
- 85' The Fluminense FC manager makes a substitution. Hercules departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
- 86' A goal from the Brazil international Negueba! He fires home on 86 to make it 2-1!
- 89' Poor challenge from Santiago Moreno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- Another three points for Mirassol FC.
Lineups
Mirassol FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
25
Neto Moura ↓ Roni 85'
- 27
- 22
- 6
-
77
Alesson ↓ Carlos Eduardo 78'
- 34
- 20
-
12
Guilherme Marques ↓ Negueba 65'
- 3
- 8
- 17
Bench
- 41
- 16
- 4
-
7
Shaylon ↑ 85'
- 10
-
11
Negueba ↑ 65'
- 23
-
5
Roni ↑ 85'
-
96
Carlos Eduardo ↑ 78'
-
78
Renato Marques ↑ 65'
- 18
- 44
Coach
Ivan Baitello
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
- 2
- 3
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Lima 72'
-
11
Keno ↓ Yeferson Soteldo 46'
- 22
-
99
John Kennedy ↓ German Cano 62'
-
35
Hercules ↓ Facundo Bernal 85'
- 8
- 17
Bench
- 98
- 21
- 23
- 94
- 4
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 46'
- 9
-
14
German Cano ↑ 62'
-
45
Lima ↑ 72'
-
30
Santiago Moreno ↑ 72'
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 85'
- 12
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Denilson Alves | 1 |
| Martinelli | 1 |
| Negueba | 1 |
| Guilherme Marques | 1 |
| Daniel Borges | 1 |
Head to Head
Mirassol FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52
Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Mirassol FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Mirassol FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Mirassol FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC
| Handicap | Mirassol FC covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

