Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Thu 9 Oct 2025 · 00:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Marques 23' Y
Walter 23' Y
Y 27' Martinelli
Y 41' Juan Freytes
Y 69' Agustin Canobbio
Neto Moura 83' Y
Y 89' Santiago Moreno

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

2
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-09 Mirassol FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
21 Sep EC Juventude H 2–0 W
17 Sep Botafogo FR A 3–3 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Fluminense FC
#19 Position #3
16 Points 31
17 Played 18
4 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 4 / 5
18 Scored 28
24 Conceded 23
-6 GD +5
0.94 PPG 1.72
24% Win % 50%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Mirassol FC are 19th (16 pts). Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Igor Formiga 3 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Mirassol FC have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Alesson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Mirassol FC so far.
  • 10' Mirassol FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Denilson Alves scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' Mirassol FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Fluminense FC backline.
  • 20' Brazil international Walter has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 23' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 23.
  • 27' Martinelli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Guilherme Marques makes it 1-0.
  • 41' Juan Freytes was booked on 41.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Keno is replaced by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Martinelli makes it 1-1.
  • 61' Cristian Renato has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 62' Fluminense FC ring the changes. John Kennedy has done his job and it is now time for German Cano to step up.
  • 65' Mirassol FC ring the changes. Cristian Renato has done his job and it is now time for Renato Marques to step up.
  • 69' Agustin Canobbio catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 69.
  • 72' Fluminense FC make a change. Agustin Canobbio trudges off to be replaced by Santiago Moreno on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Mirassol FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 78' Mirassol FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Carlos Eduardo is hanging Alesson on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' A moment of madness from Neto Moura on 83 minutes earns him a card. Mirassol FC will be frustrated.
  • 85' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Facundo Bernal.
  • 86' The Brazil Negueba breaks the deadlock on 86 minutes. 2-1!
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Santiago Moreno is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 89.
  • With this win, Mirassol FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC44% Draw27% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC30% Draw46% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.