Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Mirassol FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Thu 9 Oct 2025 · 00:00 UTC Campos Maia HT 45' · FT 45'
Guilherme Marques 23' Y
Walter 23' Y
Y 27' Martinelli
Y 41' Juan Freytes
Y 69' Agustin Canobbio
Neto Moura 83' Y
Y 89' Santiago Moreno

Overview

Match Preview

Mirassol FC vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Campos Maia.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

2
1
Mirassol FC 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-09 Mirassol FC 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–3 L
01 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
28 Sep CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
21 Sep EC Juventude H 2–0 W
17 Sep Botafogo FR A 3–3 D
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Oct Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
04 Oct CA Mineiro H 3–0 W
01 Oct SC Recife A 2–2 D
28 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
20 Sep EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Mirassol FC Fluminense FC
#15 Position #4
32 Points 48
28 Played 28
8 / 8 / 12 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
33 Scored 44
42 Conceded 36
-9 GD +8
1.14 PPG 1.71
29% Win % 46%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Mirassol FC are 15th (32 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/8
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 6 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Mirassol FC and Fluminense FC has kicked off!
  • 5' John Kennedy is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 10' Yeferson Soteldo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 25 goals in his last 290 appearances.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Hercules is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fluminense FC so far.
  • 23' Guilherme Marques is having his name booked by the referee on 23.
  • 27' Martinelli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' Brazil international Samuel Xavier has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 36' Mirassol FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Guilherme Marques on 36.
  • 41' It’s a booking for Fluminense FC player. Juan Freytes gets a card.
  • 46' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Keno is withdrawn and Yeferson Soteldo gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Martinelli has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 56 minutes.
  • 61' Facundo Bernal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. John Kennedy is replaced by German Cano.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Renato Marques on, Cristian Renato off on 65 minutes.
  • 69' The referee has no hesitation. Agustin Canobbio is booked for Fluminense FC — card on 69.
  • 72' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Agustin Canobbio by Santiago Moreno on 72 minute.
  • 77' Mirassol FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 78' Mirassol FC make a change. Alesson trudges off to be replaced by Carlos Eduardo on 78 minutes.
  • 83' Poor challenge from Neto Moura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 85' Hercules makes way for Facundo Bernal at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 86' GOAL! Negueba fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 89' Santiago Moreno catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • The points are shared — Mirassol FC 2-1 Fluminense FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Mirassol FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ivan Baitello

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.57 Mirassol FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC 74% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mirassol FC44% Draw26% Fluminense FC30%
Actual: Mirassol FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Mirassol FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fluminense FC
56%
Mirassol FC or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mirassol FC30% Draw45% Fluminense FC25%
Actual: Mirassol FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Mirassol FC

Handicap Mirassol FC covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 20% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.