SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Magdeburg 34 games · 39 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gansloweit (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Felix Weller (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Tobias Severins (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preußen Münster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #14 |
| 62 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 3 / 19 |
| 59 | Scored | 52 |
| 45 | Conceded | 58 |
| +14 | GD | -6 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Magdeburg this season
1. FC Magdeburg this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Magdeburg are 14th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Magdeburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Magdeburg.
- 4' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Raphael Obermair.
- 9' Mattes Hansen was booked on 9.
- 11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mateusz Zukowski on 11 minutes.
- 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Magdeburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 19' What composure from Filip Bilbija! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 24' Germany international Mattes Hansen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Assisted by Mateusz Zukowski with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lubambo Musonda makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 29' Brilliant from the right winger! Filip Bilbija makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 29.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Mateusz Zukowski makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and 1. FC Magdeburg are in front.
- 42' 1. FC Magdeburg come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Time for substitution for 1. FC Magdeburg. Richmond Tachie is replaced by Philipp Hercher.
- 47' Filip Bilbija is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the right winger.
- 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rayan Ghrieb made 178 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' What an equalizer from Laurin Ulrich!
- 64' Marcus Mathisen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 71 minute. Ruben Muller leaves to be changed by Steffen Tigges.
- 72' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 72 minute. Raphael Obermair leaves to be changed by Jonah Sticker.
- 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 78' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 78.
- 79' A tactical swap from 1. FC Magdeburg — Dariusz Stalmach on, Silas Gnaka off on 79 minutes.
- 84' Herbert Bockhorn makes way for Rayan Ghrieb at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Magdeburg.
- 89' Mika Baur is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
- 90' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Filip Bilbija trudges off to be replaced by Sven Michel on 90 minutes.
- 1. FC Magdeburg will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 90'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Kennedy Okpala 84'
- 4
- 41
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
- 14
- 25
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Steffen Tigges 71'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 90'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 46'
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 71'
- 9
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 72'
-
10
Kennedy Okpala ↑ 84'
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
1. FC Magdeburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 5
-
7
Herbert Bockhorn ↓ Rayan Ghrieb 84'
-
25
Silas Gnaka ↓ Dariusz Stalmach 79'
- 19
- 22
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 16
Bench
-
27
Philipp Hercher ↑ 46'
- 13
- 24
-
17
Alexander Nollenberger ↑ 79'
-
29
Rayan Ghrieb ↑ 84'
- 40
- 10
-
11
Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom ↑ 84'
-
6
Dariusz Stalmach ↑ 79'
Coach
Petrik Sander
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Mateusz Zukowski | 1 |
| Laurin Ulrich | 1 |
| Luc Castaignos | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
| Philipp Hercher | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Martijn Kaars | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
1. FC Magdeburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
43%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Magdeburg
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Magdeburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
1. FC Magdeburg keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

