SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FC Magdeburg 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gansloweit (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Felix Weller (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Tobias Severins (Germany)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | FC Energie Cottbus | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 13 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 15 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | SC Preußen Münster | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Magdeburg this season
1. FC Magdeburg this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FC Magdeburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Magdeburg.
- 4' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Raphael Obermair.
- 9' Mattes Hansen was booked on 9.
- 11' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Mateusz Zukowski on 11 minutes.
- 16' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Magdeburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 19' What composure from Filip Bilbija! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 24' Germany international Mattes Hansen has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Assisted by Mateusz Zukowski with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lubambo Musonda makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 29' Brilliant from the right winger! Filip Bilbija makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 29.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Mateusz Zukowski makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and 1. FC Magdeburg are in front.
- 42' 1. FC Magdeburg come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 46' Time for substitution for 1. FC Magdeburg. Richmond Tachie is replaced by Philipp Hercher.
- 47' Filip Bilbija is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the right winger.
- 52' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rayan Ghrieb made 178 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 57' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 59' What an equalizer from Laurin Ulrich!
- 64' Marcus Mathisen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 71' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 71 minute. Ruben Muller leaves to be changed by Steffen Tigges.
- 72' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 72 minute. Raphael Obermair leaves to be changed by Jonah Sticker.
- 77' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 78' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 78.
- 79' A tactical swap from 1. FC Magdeburg — Dariusz Stalmach on, Silas Gnaka off on 79 minutes.
- 84' Herbert Bockhorn makes way for Rayan Ghrieb at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Magdeburg.
- 89' Mika Baur is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
- 90' SC Paderborn 07 make a change. Filip Bilbija trudges off to be replaced by Sven Michel on 90 minutes.
- 1. FC Magdeburg will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 90'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Kennedy Okpala 84'
- 4
- 41
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
- 14
- 25
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Steffen Tigges 71'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 90'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 46'
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 71'
- 9
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 72'
-
10
Kennedy Okpala ↑ 84'
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
1. FC Magdeburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 5
-
7
Herbert Bockhorn ↓ Rayan Ghrieb 84'
-
25
Silas Gnaka ↓ Dariusz Stalmach 79'
- 19
- 22
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 16
Bench
-
27
Philipp Hercher ↑ 46'
- 13
- 24
-
17
Alexander Nollenberger ↑ 79'
-
29
Rayan Ghrieb ↑ 84'
- 40
- 10
-
11
Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom ↑ 84'
-
6
Dariusz Stalmach ↑ 79'
Coach
Petrik Sander
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Lubambo Musonda | 1 |
| Mateusz Zukowski | 1 |
| Laurin Ulrich | 1 |
| Luc Castaignos | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
| Philipp Hercher | 1 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
1. FC Magdeburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39
1. FC Magdeburg xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
49%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Magdeburg
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Magdeburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
1. FC Magdeburg keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

