SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg, 2. Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Magdeburg — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Magdeburg 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gansloweit (Germany)
- Assistant 1 Felix Weller (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Tobias Severins (Germany)
11 games this season
🟨 0.3/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | H | 4–3 | W |
| 05 Apr | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | SG Dynamo Dresden | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Arminia Bielefeld | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | SC Preussen Munster | A | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Mar | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #14 |
| 62 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 3 / 19 |
| 59 | Scored | 52 |
| 45 | Conceded | 58 |
| +14 | GD | -6 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 53% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Magdeburg this season
1. FC Magdeburg this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Magdeburg are 14th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Magdeburg
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. 1. FC Magdeburg kicks off things out of here…
- 4' It’s a booking for SC Paderborn 07 player. Raphael Obermair gets a card.
- 9' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 9.
- 11' The referee shows 1. FC Magdeburg player a card on 11.
- 16' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 19' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 19.
- 24' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' GOAL! Lubambo Musonda scores on 25. Assisted by Mateusz Zukowski
- 29' Filip Bilbija puts SC Paderborn 07 on the lead.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' What a strike from Mateusz Zukowski! The score is 2-2.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' Philipp Hercher has so much to prove this time. He replaces Richmond Tachie on 46 minute.
- 47' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 45.
- 52' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FC Magdeburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 57' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 59' What an equalizer from Laurin Ulrich!
- 64' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
- 69' Felix Gotze has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 71' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Ruben Muller is replaced by Steffen Tigges.
- 72' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Raphael Obermair is replaced by Jonah Sticker.
- 77' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 77.
- 78' Goal! Filip Bilbija scores his 24 goal in 169 matches.
- 79' The whistle greets Silas Gnaka as he departs to be replaced by Dariusz Stalmach.
- 84' The whistle greets Herbert Bockhorn as he departs to be replaced by Rayan Ghrieb.
- 89' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ruben Muller, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 90' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Filip Bilbija by Sven Michel on 90 minute.
- The final score is 4-3.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 20
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 90'
-
30
Stefano Marino ↓ Kennedy Okpala 84'
- 4
- 41
- 17
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↓ Sebastian Klaas 46'
- 14
- 25
-
2
Ruben Muller ↓ Steffen Tigges 71'
Bench
- 8
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 90'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 46'
-
27
Steffen Tigges ↑ 71'
- 9
-
3
Jonah Sticker ↑ 72'
-
10
Kennedy Okpala ↑ 84'
Coach
Ralf Kettemann
1. FC Magdeburg Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 23
- 5
-
7
Herbert Bockhorn ↓ Rayan Ghrieb 84'
-
25
Silas Gnaka ↓ Dariusz Stalmach 79'
- 19
- 22
- 18
- 21
- 8
- 16
Bench
-
27
Philipp Hercher ↑ 46'
- 13
- 24
-
17
Alexander Nollenberger ↑ 79'
-
29
Rayan Ghrieb ↑ 84'
- 40
- 10
-
11
Alexander Ahl-Holmstrom ↑ 84'
-
6
Dariusz Stalmach ↑ 79'
Coach
Petrik Sander
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Raphael Obermair | 1 |
| Martijn Kaars | 1 |
| Felix Gotze | 1 |
| Calvin Brackelmann | 1 |
| Lubambo Musonda | 1 |
| Mateusz Zukowski | 1 |
| Laurin Ulrich | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2026-04-12
SC Paderborn 07
4–3
1. FC Magdeburg
W
2026-04-05
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
0–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2026-03-21
SC Paderborn 07
2–1
SG Dynamo Dresden
W
2026-03-14
Arminia Bielefeld
2–2
SC Paderborn 07
D
2026-03-07
SC Paderborn 07
1–1
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2026-02-28
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
1. FC Magdeburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.27
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
1. FC Magdeburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.8
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Magdeburg
43%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Magdeburg
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Magdeburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 16% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 20% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
1. FC Magdeburg keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

