Wednesday , 11 November 2026

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 19:30 UTC Barradao 17,891 HT 45' · FT 45'
Caca 35' 1–0
Ramon 83' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.

Match Details

  • Referee Anderson Daronco
  • Assistant 1 Rafael da Silva Alves
  • Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr São Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
01 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
19 Mar Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
14 Mar CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
22 Mar SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
18 Mar CA Mineiro A 0–1 L
15 Mar RB Bragantino A 2–1 W

Season Stats

EC Vitoria São Paulo FC
#16 Position #10
38 Points 44
34 Played 34
10 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
35 Scored 39
51 Conceded 39
-16 GD +0
1.12 PPG 1.29
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

EC Vitoria are 16th (38 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Vitoria
0-15
3/2
16-30
6/2
31-45
4/10
46-60
2/3
61-75
7/8
76+
4/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 5 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Barradao that hosts another battle between EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC.
  • 5' EC Vitoria are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Vitoria in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Sao Paulo FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' EC Vitoria currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Roger Machado might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Jonathan Calleri scoring 2 goals.
  • 35' A stunning finish from Caca — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 37' Marcos Antonio has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 37.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Vitoria and Sao Paulo FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 47' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 52' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' A moment of madness from Lucas Ramon on 54 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 57' Cedric gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Cauly and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 66' Gonzalo Tapia gets the nod from Sao Paulo FC. He replaces Andre Silva and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Carlos Rene. He replaces Renato Kayzer on 71 minute.
  • 75' That looks like a foul for a card for Diego Tarzia.
  • 76' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Perivan.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Danielzinho is replaced by Lucca Marques.
  • 83' Brilliant from the ! Ramon makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 83.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriel Baralhas.
  • 88' Ronald gets the nod from EC Vitoria. He replaces Gabriel Baralhas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Toloi on 89.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for EC Vitoria players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: EC Vitoria or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Vitoria43% Draw30% São Paulo FC27%
Actual: EC Vitoria win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

EC Vitoria or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
57%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Vitoria27% Draw52% São Paulo FC21%
Actual: EC Vitoria win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
12.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria

Handicap EC Vitoria covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 22% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
38% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.