EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Vitoria vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Barradao.
- EC Vitoria 28 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Anderson Daronco
- Assistant 1 Rafael da Silva Alves
- Assistant 2 Joverton Wesley de Souza Lima (Brazil)
7 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 9.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | São Paulo FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | Chapecoense AF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Mar | Gremio FBPA | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Mar | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | EC Vitoria | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | Cruzeiro EC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Apr | SC Internacional | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Mar | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Mar | CA Mineiro | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Mar | RB Bragantino | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| EC Vitoria | São Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #11 |
| 33 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 28 | Scored | 32 |
| 42 | Conceded | 30 |
| -14 | GD | +2 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 32% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 8 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 4 G | 2 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! EC Vitória welcome São Paulo FC for this crunch clash at Barradao.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 15' Gonzalo Tapia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 20' EC Vitória currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 380 games and scored 414 goals.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Goal! Caca scores his 12 goal in 260 matches.
- 37' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 37.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' Both keepers have barely been tested. EC Vitória and São Paulo FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 52' Erick is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for São Paulo FC tonight.
- 54' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Ramon is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 54.
- 57' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Cedric is hanging Cauly on the field on 57 minute.
- 62' EC Vitória has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 66' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace Andre Silva by Gonzalo Tapia on 66 minute.
- 71' A tactical swap from EC Vitoria — Carlos Rene on, Renato Kayzer off on 71 minutes.
- 75' Poor challenge from Diego Tarzia. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 76' Perivan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 76.
- 78' The crowd applauds Danielzinho as he leaves the pitch. Lucca Marques steps in for Sao Paulo FC.
- 83' GOAL! Ramon scores on 83. Assisted by Gabriel Baralhas
- 87' Gabriel Baralhas was booked on 87.
- 88' EC Vitoria manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ronald is hanging Gabriel Baralhas on the field on 88 minute.
- 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Rafael Toloi on 89 minutes.
- São Paulo FC will have plenty to reflect on. EC Vitória were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 79
- 13
- 44
- 1
- 6
- 45
- 10
- 95
Bench
- 22
- 17
- 11
- 5
- 31
- 8
- 12
- 18
- 88
- 28
- 20
- 91
Coach
Jair Ventura
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 37
- 80
- 2
- 8
- 28
- 13
-
17
Andre Silva ↓ Gonzalo Tapia 66'
- 11
- 19
- 23
-
94
Danielzinho ↓ Lucca Marques 78'
Bench
- 33
-
21
Cedric ↑ 57'
-
18
Wendell ↑ 66'
- 31
- 30
- 4
- 56
- 54
- 46
-
14
Gonzalo Tapia ↑ 66'
-
45
Lucca Marques ↑ 78'
-
34
Perivan ↑ 57'
Coach
Roger Machado
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 1 |
| Willian Oliveira | 1 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | 1 |
| Alerrandro | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Vitoria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
EC Vitoria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Vitoria or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Vitoria win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
EC Vitoria or Draw
72%
Draw or São Paulo FC
58%
EC Vitoria or São Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Vitoria win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — EC Vitoria
| Handicap | EC Vitoria covers | Push | São Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 18% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

