Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Artur Guimaraes 17' 1–0
1–1 62' Luciano Juba
Ferreira 73' 2–1
2–2 90+7' Erick

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
14 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 9.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May São Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC EC Bahia
#10 Position #6
44 Points 53
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 14 / 11 / 9
39 Scored 50
39 Conceded 45
+0 GD +5
1.29 PPG 1.56
35% Win % 41%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
32% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 2 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 4 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between São Paulo FC and EC Bahia.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Artur Guimaraes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
  • 17' A goal from the Brazil international Artur Guimaraes! He fires home on 17 to make it 0-1!
  • 22' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' EC Bahia come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering São Paulo FC that had 384 games and scored 418 goals.
  • 37' Jean Lucas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for EC Bahia so far.
  • 41' The referee calls foul for Nicolas Acevedo. He receives a card.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Damian Bobadilla. He receives a card.
  • 50' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 60' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' Against the run of play, Luciano Juba has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 67' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 72' The 27-year-old Nicolas Acevedo has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 73' Goal! Ferreira scores his 25 goal in 339 matches.
  • 78' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Erick scoring 1 goals.
  • 81' Enzo Diaz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 86' A quiet spell here at Morumbi. EC Bahia seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Mateo Sanabria gets a card.
  • The points are shared — São Paulo FC 2-2 EC Bahia. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC49% Draw26% EC Bahia25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
51%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC35% Draw45% EC Bahia20%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.