Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 3 May 2026 · 19:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Artur Guimaraes 17' 1–0
1–1 62' Luciano Juba
Ferreira 73' 2–1
2–2 90+7' Erick

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Morumbi.

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
  • Assistant 1 Douglas Pagung (Brazil)
  • Assistant 2 Pedro Amorim de Freitas (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May EC Bahia H 2–2 D
26 Apr Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
18 Apr CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
11 Apr EC Vitoria A 0–2 L
04 Apr Cruzeiro EC H 4–1 W
01 Apr SC Internacional A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May São Paulo FC A 2–2 D
25 Apr Santos FC H 2–2 D
19 Apr CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
11 Apr Mirassol FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
01 Apr CA Paranaense H 3–0 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC EC Bahia
#11 Position #5
36 Points 46
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 10 / 6
32 Scored 43
30 Conceded 35
+2 GD +8
1.33 PPG 1.64
37% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sao Paulo FC welcome EC Bahia for this crunch clash at Morumbi.
  • 5' Willian Jose is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for EC Bahia tonight.
  • 10' Sao Paulo FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against EC Bahia's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 17' What a moment for Artur Guimaraes! That strike on 17 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sao Paulo FC that had 380 games and scored 414 goals.
  • 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 37' Erick has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Nicolas Acevedo on 41 minutes earns him a card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Damian Bobadilla on 45 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Wendell suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 62' What a strike from Luciano Juba! The score is 1-1.
  • 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 72' EC Bahia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 73' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ferreira makes it 2-1.
  • 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sao Paulo FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 81' Enzo Diaz was booked on 81.
  • 86' Rafael Monteiro has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 482 appearances.
  • 90' Mateo Sanabria catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sao Paulo FC 2-2 EC Bahia.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 EC Bahia xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC48% Draw26% EC Bahia26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
74%
Draw or EC Bahia
52%
São Paulo FC or EC Bahia
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC34% Draw45% EC Bahia21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.5%
2 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push EC Bahia covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.