Saturday , 14 November 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Javier Alberola Rojas
6 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Real Madrid CF H 5–2 W
24 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
17 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
13 Sep Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
30 Aug Deportivo Alavés A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 2–5 L
23 Sep Levante UD A 4–1 W
20 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–0 W
16 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
13 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
30 Aug RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#3 Position #2
28 Points 30
12 Played 12
9 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 2
23 Scored 31
10 Conceded 10
+13 GD +21
2.33 PPG 2.50
75% Win % 83%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atlético de Madrid are 3rd (28 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
5/2
61-75
3/3
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
3/–
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
4/2
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Alex Baena 5 G 3 A
Alejandro Grimaldo 4 G 2 A
Giuliano Simeone 4 G 2 A
Jonathan David 3 G 2 A
Kang-in Lee 2 G 1 A
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 13 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 4 G 3 A
Arda Guler 3 G 4 A
Yan Diomande 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.08 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF 77% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid45% Draw23% Real Madrid CF32%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
68%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
55%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid34% Draw38% Real Madrid CF28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
7.8%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap Club Atlético de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 18% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.