Saturday , 26 September 2026

Club Atlético de Madrid vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Real Madrid CF H 5–2 W
24 Sep Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 3–2 W
21 Sep RCD Mallorca A 1–1 D
17 Sep Liverpool FC A 2–3 L
13 Sep Villarreal CF H 2–0 W
30 Aug Deportivo Alavés A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Club Atlético de Madrid A 2–5 L
23 Sep Levante UD A 4–1 W
20 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona H 2–0 W
16 Sep Olympique de Marseille H 2–1 W
13 Sep Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 2–1 W
30 Aug RCD Mallorca H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Club Atlético de Madrid Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #4
16 Points 15
7 Played 7
5 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 2
16 Scored 18
7 Conceded 8
+9 GD +10
2.29 PPG 2.14
71% Win % 71%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Club Atlético de Madrid this season
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Club Atlético de Madrid are 2nd (16 pts). Real Madrid CF are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Club Atlético de Madrid
Alex Baena 4 G 1 A
Jonathan David 3 G 1 A
Giuliano Simeone 2 G 2 A
Alejandro Grimaldo 2 G 1 A
Kang-in Lee 2 G 1 A
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Club Atlético de Madrid Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.43 Club Atlético de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Club Atlético de Madrid48% Draw22% Real Madrid CF30%
Actual: Club Atlético de Madrid win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

Club Atlético de Madrid or Draw
71%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
52%
Club Atlético de Madrid or Real Madrid CF
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Club Atlético de Madrid38% Draw36% Real Madrid CF26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.1%
1 – 3
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Club Atlético de Madrid

Handicap Club Atlético de Madrid covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 18% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 14% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Club Atlético de Madrid keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.