Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan HT 45' · FT 45'
David Alaba og 74' 1–0
1–1 78' Dani Carvajal

Overview

Match Preview

Sevilla FC vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.

Match Details

  • Referee Ricardo de Burgos
  • Assistant 1 Iker De Francisco Grijalba (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jon Nunez Fernandez (Spain)
5 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D
07 Oct Rayo Vallecano de Madrid H 2–2 D
03 Oct PSV A 2–2 D
29 Sep FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
26 Sep UD Almeria H 5–1 W
23 Sep CA Osasuna A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Sevilla FC A 1–1 D
07 Oct CA Osasuna H 4–0 W
03 Oct SSC Napoli A 3–2 W
30 Sep Girona FC A 3–0 W
27 Sep UD Las Palmas H 2–0 W
24 Sep Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Sevilla FC Real Madrid CF
#15 Position #2
43 Points 86
38 Played 38
12 / 7 / 19 W / D / L 27 / 5 / 6
46 Scored 77
60 Conceded 35
-14 GD +42
1.13 PPG 2.26
32% Win % 71%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sevilla FC are 15th (43 pts). Real Madrid CF are 2nd (86 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Sevilla FC welcome Real Madrid CF for this crunch clash at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan.
  • 4' Federico Valverde has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 4 minutes.
  • 9' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kepa Arrizabalaga suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' Boubakary Soumare is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
  • 24' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Diego Alonso will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 29' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 34' A quiet spell here at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan. Sevilla FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 39' Sevilla FC have won 515 goals from 418 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' Sevilla FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 54' The 38-year-old Ivan Rakitic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 59' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' Belgium international Dodi Lukebakio has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Federico Valverde makes way for Luka Modric at the 67 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
  • 72' Nemanja Gudelj has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 505 appearances.
  • 74' What an equalizer from Youssef En-Nesyri!
  • 76' It’s a booking for Sevilla FC player. Sergio Ramos gets a Yellow card.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Dani Carvajal makes it 1-2.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jesus Navas on 78 minutes.
  • 83' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 86' Vinicius Junior catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 86.
  • 87' Sevilla FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 87' The Sevilla FC bench stirs into life. Vinicius Junior is withdrawn and Erik Lamela gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Brahim Diaz is replacing Ferland Mendy for the Real Madrid CF side.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Eduardo Camavinga on 90 minutes.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.3 Sevilla FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sevilla FC25% Draw25% Real Madrid CF50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Sevilla FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
75%
Sevilla FC or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sevilla FC19% Draw40% Real Madrid CF41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Sevilla FC

Handicap Sevilla FC covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 21% 34%
+1.5 66% 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Sevilla FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.