Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | UD Las Palmas | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Jan | Valencia CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sevilla FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Dec | CF Pachuca | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Dec | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Real Madrid CF gets underway.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Red Bull Salzburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' It’s high time Thomas Letsch made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' The travelling FC Red Bull Salzburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 23' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 1-0.
- 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aleksa Terzic, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 33' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 33 minutes.
- 34' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 2-0.
- 39' It looks surprising FC Red Bull Salzburg does not make any changes. Antonio Rudiger has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 42' The referee calls foul for Vinicius Junior. He receives a card.
- 47' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
- 48' Goal! Kylian Mbappe scores his 284 goal in 520 matches.
- 53' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' GOAL! Vinicius Junior scores on 55. Assisted by Luka Modric
- 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 545 games and scored 775 goals.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Mamady Diambou. He replaces Moussa Kounfolo Yeo on 63 minute.
- 64' Arda Guler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 64 minute.
- 69' FC Red Bull Salzburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 71' The Real Madrid CF manager makes a substitution. Kylian Mbappe departs to be replaced by Brahim Diaz.
- 76' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raul suffering a number of foals already.
- 77' Vinicius Junior with the second goal in the match!
- 78' Another substitution for Real Madrid CF to replace Antonio Rudiger by Jacobo Ramon on 78 minute.
- 82' Takumu Kawamura is replacing Nicolas Capaldo for the FC Red Bull Salzburg side.
- 85' GOAL! Mads Bidstrup scores on 85. Assisted by Amar Dedic
- 88' Petar Ratkov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Daghim on 88 minute.
- Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats FC Red Bull Salzburg
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↓ Jacobo Ramon 78'
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 23
- 10
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Arda Guler 64'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ David Alaba 64'
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 64'
- 13
- 18
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 64'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 71'
- 20
- 26
-
31
Jacobo Ramon ↑ 78'
- 36
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 7
- 70
- 18
-
28
Adam Daghim ↓ Petar Ratkov 88'
- 45
- 6
- 49
- 30
- 4
Bench
-
16
Takumu Kawamura ↑ 82'
- 24
-
91
Kamil Piatkowski ↑ 63'
-
15
Mamady Diambou ↑ 63'
- 39
- 8
- 10
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 82'
-
21
Petar Ratkov ↑ 88'
- 92
- 36
Coach
Thomas Letsch
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Mads Bidstrup | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Red Bull Salzburg Form
2025-01-22
Real Madrid CF
5–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-12-10
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
L
2024-11-26
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–0
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-11-06
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1–3
FC Red Bull Salzburg
W
2024-10-23
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L
2024-10-01
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–4
Stade Brestois 29
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
33%
Real Madrid CF or FC Red Bull Salzburg
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Red Bull Salzburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.