Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
12 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | UD Las Palmas | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Jan | Valencia CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sevilla FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Dec | CF Pachuca | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Dec | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg has kicked off!
- 5' Uruguay international Federico Valverde has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 23' Brilliant from the ! Rodrygo makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 23.
- 28' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 33' Real Madrid CF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 34' What a moment for Rodrygo! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Real Madrid CF winning 100% of all matches.
- 42' Poor challenge from Vinicius Junior. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 48' Kylian Mbappe makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Real Madrid CF are in front.
- 53' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 55' The Brazil Vinicius Junior breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 4-0!
- 60' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 63' Fresh legs for FC Red Bull Salzburg! Mamady Diambou comes on to replace Moussa Kounfolo Yeo.
- 64' A change in the Real Madrid CF ranks — Dani Ceballos exits the field as Arda Guler enters on 64.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Red Bull Salzburg that had 225 games and scored 139 goals.
- 71' Brahim Diaz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kylian Mbappe on 71 minute.
- 76' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Vinicius Junior makes it 5-0.
- 78' Antonio Rudiger makes way for Jacobo Ramon at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
- 82' The crowd applauds Nicolas Capaldo as he leaves the pitch. Takumu Kawamura steps in for FC Red Bull Salzburg.
- 85' Brilliant from the ! Mads Bidstrup makes it 5-1 with a superb finish on 85.
- 88' FC Red Bull Salzburg ring the changes. Adam Daghim has done his job and it is now time for Petar Ratkov to step up.
- FC Red Bull Salzburg will have plenty to reflect on. Real Madrid CF were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↓ Jacobo Ramon 78'
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 23
- 10
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Arda Guler 64'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ David Alaba 64'
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 64'
- 13
- 18
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 64'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 71'
- 20
- 26
-
31
Jacobo Ramon ↑ 78'
- 36
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 7
- 70
- 18
-
28
Adam Daghim ↓ Petar Ratkov 88'
- 45
- 6
- 49
- 30
- 4
Bench
-
16
Takumu Kawamura ↑ 82'
- 24
-
91
Kamil Piatkowski ↑ 63'
-
15
Mamady Diambou ↑ 63'
- 39
- 8
- 10
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 82'
-
21
Petar Ratkov ↑ 88'
- 92
- 36
Coach
Thomas Letsch
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Mads Bidstrup | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Red Bull Salzburg Form
2025-01-22
Real Madrid CF
5–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-12-10
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
L
2024-11-26
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–0
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-11-06
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1–3
FC Red Bull Salzburg
W
2024-10-23
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L
2024-10-01
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–4
Stade Brestois 29
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
33%
Real Madrid CF or FC Red Bull Salzburg
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Red Bull Salzburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.