Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
- FC Red Bull Salzburg 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Glenn Nyberg
- Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
- Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabağ Ağdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | FC Red Bull Salzburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 Jan | UD Las Palmas | H | 4–1 | W |
| 03 Jan | Valencia CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Sevilla FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 18 Dec | CF Pachuca | H | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | A | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Dec | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Nov | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Nov | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | H | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–4 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Red Bull Salzburg that had 222 games and scored 136 goals.
- 15' France international Kylian Mbappe has been a key figure this campaign — 13 goals and 5 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 23' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 285 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 33' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. FC Red Bull Salzburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 34' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 2-0.
- 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 42' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 42.
- 47' FC Red Bull Salzburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 48' GOAL! Kylian Mbappe fires home to make it 3-0!
- 53' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Red Bull Salzburg backline.
- 55' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 4-0!
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Red Bull Salzburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Mamady Diambou. He replaces Moussa Kounfolo Yeo on 63 minute.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Arda Guler. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 64 minute.
- 69' Hendry Blank needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 71' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Brahim Diaz comes on to replace Kylian Mbappe.
- 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 77' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 5-0!
- 78' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Antonio Rudiger is replaced by Jacobo Ramon.
- 82' Takumu Kawamura is replacing Nicolas Capaldo for the FC Red Bull Salzburg side.
- 85' Magnificent from Mads Bidstrup! That is 1 goals in 344 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 88' Petar Ratkov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Daghim at the 88 minute mark.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↓ Jacobo Ramon 78'
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↓ Brahim Diaz 71'
- 23
- 10
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↓ Arda Guler 64'
- 8
- 7
- 1
- 11
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ David Alaba 64'
- 35
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 71'
- 14
-
4
David Alaba ↑ 64'
- 13
- 18
-
15
Arda Guler ↑ 64'
-
16
Endrick ↑ 71'
- 20
- 26
-
31
Jacobo Ramon ↑ 78'
- 36
Coach
Carlo Ancelotti
FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1
- 3
- 7
- 70
- 18
-
28
Adam Daghim ↓ Petar Ratkov 88'
- 45
- 6
- 49
- 30
- 4
Bench
-
16
Takumu Kawamura ↑ 82'
- 24
-
91
Kamil Piatkowski ↑ 63'
-
15
Mamady Diambou ↑ 63'
- 39
- 8
- 10
-
27
Lucas Gourna-Douath ↑ 82'
-
21
Petar Ratkov ↑ 88'
- 92
- 36
Coach
Thomas Letsch
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 1 |
| Mads Bidstrup | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
FC Red Bull Salzburg Form
2025-01-22
Real Madrid CF
5–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-12-10
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
L
2024-11-26
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–0
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-11-06
Feyenoord Rotterdam
1–3
FC Red Bull Salzburg
W
2024-10-23
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L
2024-10-01
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–4
Stade Brestois 29
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
33%
Real Madrid CF or FC Red Bull Salzburg
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | FC Red Bull Salzburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

