Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 22 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,692 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrygo 23' 1–0
Rodrygo 34' 2–0
Kylian Mbappe 48' 3–0
Vinicius Junior 55' 4–0
Vinicius Junior 77' 5–0
5–1 85' Mads Bidstrup

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg — Champions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
10 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 5–1 W
19 Jan UD Las Palmas H 4–1 W
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Real Madrid CF A 1–5 L
10 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
26 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–5 L
06 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–1 W
23 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
01 Oct Stade Brestois 29 H 0–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 1 G
Federico Valverde 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Real Madrid CF launch into their encounter with FC Red Bull Salzburg.
  • 5' Nene Dorgeles has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 10' Aleksa Terzic, a Serbia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 20' Federico Valverde is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Madrid CF so far.
  • 23' Assisted by Jude Bellingham with the perfectly-timed delivery and Rodrygo makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. Carlo Ancelotti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' Real Madrid CF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Rodrygo makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 39' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kylian Mbappe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 42' Controversy at the stadium! Vinicius Junior argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 47' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Red Bull Salzburg backline.
  • 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kylian Mbappe makes it 3-0.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 55' Goal! Vinicius Junior scores his 119 goal in 553 matches.
  • 60' Antonio Rudiger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Red Bull Salzburg tonight.
  • 63' The whistle greets Moussa Kounfolo Yeo as he departs to be replaced by Mamady Diambou.
  • 64' Arda Guler has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 64 minute.
  • 69' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Kylian Mbappe is replaced by Brahim Diaz on 71 minute.
  • 76' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Real Madrid CF that had 553 games and scored 793 goals.
  • 77' A stunning finish from Vinicius Junior — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 78' A tactical swap from Real Madrid CF — Jacobo Ramon on, Antonio Rudiger off on 78 minutes.
  • 82' A tactical swap from FC Red Bull Salzburg — Takumu Kawamura on, Nicolas Capaldo off on 82 minutes.
  • 85' Assisted by Amar Dedic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mads Bidstrup makes no mistake. 5-1!
  • 88' The FC Red Bull Salzburg manager makes a substitution. Adam Daghim departs to be replaced by Petar Ratkov.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF67% Draw19% FC Red Bull Salzburg14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
33%
Real Madrid CF or FC Red Bull Salzburg
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF50% Draw36% FC Red Bull Salzburg14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Red Bull Salzburg covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 19% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 20% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.