Saturday , 25 July 2026

Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull Salzburg, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 22 Jan 2025 · 20:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu 73,692 HT 45' · FT 45'
Rodrygo 23' 1–0
Rodrygo 34' 2–0
Kylian Mbappe 48' 3–0
Vinicius Junior 55' 4–0
Vinicius Junior 77' 5–0
5–1 85' Mads Bidstrup

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs FC Red Bull SalzburgChampions League at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Glenn Nyberg
  • Assistant 1 Mahbod Beigi
  • Assistant 2 Andreas Soderqvist (Sweden)
16 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 5–1 W
19 Jan UD Las Palmas H 4–1 W
03 Jan Valencia CF A 2–1 W
22 Dec Sevilla FC H 4–2 W
18 Dec CF Pachuca H 3–0 W
14 Dec Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Jan Real Madrid CF A 1–5 L
10 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
26 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–5 L
06 Nov Feyenoord Rotterdam A 3–1 W
23 Oct GNK Dinamo Zagreb H 0–2 L
01 Oct Stade Brestois 29 H 0–4 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/2
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 15 G 1 A
Vinicius Junior 5 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Santiago Bernabeu will turn into a battlefield for Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Red Bull Salzburg that had 222 games and scored 136 goals.
  • 15' France international Kylian Mbappe has been a key figure this campaign — 13 goals and 5 assists in the Array this season.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 23' Magnificent from Rodrygo! That is 79 goals in 285 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 28' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Real Madrid CF and FC Red Bull Salzburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 33' A quiet spell here at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu. FC Red Bull Salzburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 34' What a strike from Rodrygo! The score is 2-0.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' The referee shows Real Madrid CF player a card on 42.
  • 47' FC Red Bull Salzburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 48' GOAL! Kylian Mbappe fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 53' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Red Bull Salzburg backline.
  • 55' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Red Bull Salzburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Mamady Diambou. He replaces Moussa Kounfolo Yeo on 63 minute.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Arda Guler. He replaces Dani Ceballos on 64 minute.
  • 69' Hendry Blank needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Brahim Diaz comes on to replace Kylian Mbappe.
  • 76' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Real Madrid CF side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 77' GOAL! Vinicius Junior fires home to make it 5-0!
  • 78' Time for substitution for Real Madrid CF. Antonio Rudiger is replaced by Jacobo Ramon.
  • 82' Takumu Kawamura is replacing Nicolas Capaldo for the FC Red Bull Salzburg side.
  • 85' Magnificent from Mads Bidstrup! That is 1 goals in 344 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 88' Petar Ratkov is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adam Daghim at the 88 minute mark.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.61 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Real Madrid CF to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF67% Draw19% FC Red Bull Salzburg14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Red Bull Salzburg
33%
Real Madrid CF or FC Red Bull Salzburg
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF50% Draw36% FC Red Bull Salzburg14%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.4%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push FC Red Bull Salzburg covers
-2.5 27% 73%
-2 27% 19% 53%
-1.5 47% 53%
-1 47% 20% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
32%
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
8%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.