Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund — Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium.
- Real Madrid CF 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)
- Borussia Dortmund 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Ramon Abatti Abel
15 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 7.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | Al Ahly SC | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders FC | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Auckland City FC | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | CR Flamengo | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Chelsea FC | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Esperance de Tunis | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Internazionale Milano | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | CF Monterrey | 3 | 5 |
| 19 | CA River Plate | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Fluminense FC | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Ulsan HD FC | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Manchester City FC | 3 | 9 |
| 26 | Juventus FC | 3 | 6 |
| 27 | Al Ain FC | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | Wydad AC | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Real Madrid CF | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Al Hilal | 3 | 5 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 4 |
| 32 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–2 | W |
| 01 Jul | Juventus FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Jun | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | CF Pachuca | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | Al Hilal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Jul | CF Monterrey | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Ulsan HD FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Jun | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 17 Jun | Fluminense FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 17 May | Holstein Kiel | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Real Madrid CF | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #29 | Position | #21 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 2 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 0 |
| 7 | Scored | 5 |
| 2 | Conceded | 3 |
| +5 | GD | +2 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 21st (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Gonzalo Garcia | 4 G | 1 A |
| Arda Guler | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at MetLife Stadium as Real Madrid CF face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Real Madrid CF are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Brilliant from the forward! Gonzalo Garcia makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Real Madrid CF and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' GOAL! Fran Garcia scores on 20. Assisted by Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 25' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 35' Real Madrid CF are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 37' Pascal Gross catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
- 42' Real Madrid CF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 46' Time for substitution for Borussia Dortmund. Pascal Gross is replaced by Felix Kalu Nmecha.
- 51' Borussia Dortmund have won 813 goals from 527 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 56' Federico Valverde has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 61' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 63' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Yan Couto gets a card.
- 63' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Julian Brandt trudges off to be replaced by Julien Duranville on 63 minutes.
- 67' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Trent Alexander-Arnold is replaced by Dani Ceballos on 67 minute.
- 72' Borussia Dortmund are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 77' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sehrou Guirassy suffering a number of foals already.
- 81' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Julien Duranville by Carney Chukwuemeka on 81 minute.
- 85' Raul is replacing Aurelien Tchouameni for the Real Madrid CF side.
- 86' It is a substitution in Real Madrid CF team. Gonzalo Garcia is replaced by Rodrygo on 86 minute.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dean Huijsen.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Real Madrid CF to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 22
-
14
Aurelien Tchouameni ↓ Raul 85'
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Luka Modric 67'
- 1
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Kylian Mbappe 67'
- 15
- 20
- 24
-
30
Gonzalo Garcia ↓ Rodrygo 86'
Bench
- 21
-
9
Kylian Mbappe ↑ 67'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 67'
- 17
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 67'
- 2
- 3
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 86'
- 50
- 31
- 36
-
35
Raul ↑ 85'
- 29
- 44
Coach
Xabi Alonso
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
Starting XI
- 13
- 5
-
25
Niklas Sule ↓ Yan Couto 46'
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
- 26
- 27
- 24
Bench
- 33
-
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha ↑ 46'
- 46
-
14
Maximilian Beier ↑ 46'
- 7
-
2
Yan Couto ↑ 46'
- 17
- 31
-
16
Julien Duranville ↑ 63'
- 39
- 37
- 47
- 41
- 40
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 4 |
| Dani Carvajal | 1 |
| Donyell Malen | 1 |
| Jamie Bynoe-Gittens | 1 |
| Antonio Rudiger | 1 |
| Lucas Vazquez | 1 |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 1 |
| Maximilian Beier | 1 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid CF Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.11
Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
39%
Real Madrid CF or Borussia Dortmund
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF
| Handicap | Real Madrid CF covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 22% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

