Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 20:00 UTC MetLife Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund — Club World Cup at MetLife Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ramon Abatti Abel
15 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Borussia Dortmund H 3–2 W
01 Jul Juventus FC H 1–0 W
27 Jun FC Red Bull Salzburg A 3–0 W
22 Jun CF Pachuca H 3–1 W
18 Jun Al Hilal H 1–1 D
24 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
02 Jul CF Monterrey H 2–1 W
25 Jun Ulsan HD FC H 1–0 W
21 Jun Mamelodi Sundowns FC A 4–3 W
17 Jun Fluminense FC A 0–0 D
17 May Holstein Kiel H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Borussia Dortmund
#29 Position #21
7 Points 7
3 Played 3
2 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 0
7 Scored 5
2 Conceded 3
+5 GD +2
2.33 PPG 2.33
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
40% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 21st (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Gonzalo Garcia 4 G 1 A
Arda Guler 2 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.11 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw22% Borussia Dortmund17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
39%
Real Madrid CF or Borussia Dortmund
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF44% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.