Sunday , 16 August 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Borussia Dortmund, Club World Cup 2025 QUARTER FINALS

Sat 5 Jul 2025 · 20:00 UTC MetLife Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Borussia DortmundClub World Cup at MetLife Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ramon Abatti Abel
15 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Borussia Dortmund H 3–2 W
01 Jul Juventus FC H 1–0 W
27 Jun FC Red Bull Salzburg A 3–0 W
22 Jun CF Pachuca H 3–1 W
18 Jun Al Hilal H 1–1 D
24 May Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Jul Real Madrid CF A 2–3 L
02 Jul CF Monterrey H 2–1 W
25 Jun Ulsan HD FC H 1–0 W
21 Jun Mamelodi Sundowns FC A 4–3 W
17 Jun Fluminense FC A 0–0 D
17 May Holstein Kiel H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Borussia Dortmund
#29 Position #21
7 Points 7
3 Played 3
2 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 0
7 Scored 5
2 Conceded 3
+5 GD +2
2.33 PPG 2.33
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
40% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 21st (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/
46-60
/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Gonzalo Garcia 4 G 1 A
Arda Guler 2 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Real Madrid CF is hosting Borussia Dortmund for another epic battle.
  • 5' Real Madrid CF are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's shape.
  • 10' Gonzalo Garcia doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 15' Fran Garcia needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 20' Against the run of play, Fran Garcia has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 25' Real Madrid CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' Niklas Sule has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 19 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 37' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Pascal Gross gets a card.
  • 42' The 20-year-old Julien Duranville has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Pascal Gross by Felix Kalu Nmecha on 46 minute.
  • 51' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' It is a cagey affair so far. Real Madrid CF in their trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact .
  • 63' That looks like a foul for a card for Yan Couto.
  • 63' Julien Duranville has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Brandt on 63 minute.
  • 67' Another change for Real Madrid CF made on 67 minute. Trent Alexander-Arnold leaves to be changed by Dani Ceballos.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Waldemar Anton suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcel Sabitzer, as he is very good at scoring at MetLife Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' The Borussia Dortmund bench stirs into life. Julien Duranville is withdrawn and Carney Chukwuemeka gets his opportunity.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Aurelien Tchouameni as he leaves the pitch. Raul steps in for Real Madrid CF.
  • 86' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Gonzalo Garcia is withdrawn and Rodrygo gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Dean Huijsen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • It finishes all square. Real Madrid CF and Borussia Dortmund share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.11 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Real Madrid CF to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF61% Draw22% Borussia Dortmund17%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
83%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
39%
Real Madrid CF or Borussia Dortmund
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF44% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund15%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
36%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.