FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Real Madrid CF, Club World Cup 2025 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
FC Red Bull Salzburg vs Real Madrid CF — Club World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field.
- FC Red Bull Salzburg 3 games · 4 pts (2025/25)
- Real Madrid CF 3 games · 7 pts (2025/25)
Match Details
- Referee Dahane Beida (Mauritania)
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 3 | 5 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | FC Porto | 3 | 2 |
| 4 | Al Ahly SC | 3 | 2 |
| 5 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Botafogo FR | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders FC | 3 | 0 |
| 9 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Bayern München | 3 | 6 |
| 11 | CA Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Auckland City FC | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | CR Flamengo | 3 | 7 |
| 14 | Chelsea FC | 3 | 6 |
| 15 | Esperance de Tunis | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | FC Internazionale Milano | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | CF Monterrey | 3 | 5 |
| 19 | CA River Plate | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 3 | 0 |
| 21 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Fluminense FC | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Ulsan HD FC | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Manchester City FC | 3 | 9 |
| 26 | Juventus FC | 3 | 6 |
| 27 | Al Ain FC | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | Wydad AC | 3 | 0 |
| 29 | Real Madrid CF | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Al Hilal | 3 | 5 |
| 31 | FC Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 4 |
| 32 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | Real Madrid CF | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Jun | Al Hilal | H | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jun | CF Pachuca | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Jan | Real Madrid CF | A | 1–5 | L |
| 10 Dec | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun | FC Red Bull Salzburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Jun | CF Pachuca | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jun | Al Hilal | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 May | Real Sociedad de Fútbol | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | Sevilla FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | RCD Mallorca | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Red Bull Salzburg | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #31 | Position | #29 |
| 4 | Points | 7 |
| 3 | Played | 3 |
| 1 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 0 |
| 2 | Scored | 7 |
| 4 | Conceded | 2 |
| -2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
FC Red Bull Salzburg this season
FC Red Bull Salzburg this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
FC Red Bull Salzburg are 31st (4 pts). Real Madrid CF are 29th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Real Madrid CF
| Gonzalo Garcia | 4 G | 1 A |
| Arda Guler | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Red Bull Salzburg host Real Madrid CF — let the battle begin!
- 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Red Bull Salzburg and Real Madrid CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' FC Red Bull Salzburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' It looks surprising FC Red Bull Salzburg does not make any changes. Jude Bellingham has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 30' FC Red Bull Salzburg have won 137 goals from 223 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Vinicius Junior adds to his 6 season tally! Real Madrid CF lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Maurits Kjaergaard. He replaces Mamady Diambou on 46 minute.
- 48' The deadlock is broken! Federico Valverde gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 53' FC Red Bull Salzburg currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 58' A quiet spell here at Lincoln Financial Field. FC Red Bull Salzburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 63' FC Red Bull Salzburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Real Madrid CF's shape.
- 66' Luka Modric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arda Guler on 66 minute.
- 71' Kouakou Gadou has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 73' Yorbe Vertessen is replacing Soumaila Diabate for the FC Red Bull Salzburg side.
- 74' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Dani Ceballos comes on to replace Federico Valverde.
- 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Stefan Lainer is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Real Madrid CF.
- 82' Jude Bellingham makes way for Brahim Diaz at the 82 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
- 84' Gonzalo Garcia is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the forward.
- 89' Fresh legs for FC Red Bull Salzburg! Karim Onisiwo comes on to replace Edmund Baidoo.
- 0-3 the final result. FC Red Bull Salzburg will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
FC Red Bull Salzburg Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 22
- 15
-
45
Nene Dorgeles ↓ Samson Baidoo 89'
- 30
- 5
- 13
-
21
Petar Ratkov ↓ Adam Daghim 46'
- 23
-
20
Edmund Baidoo ↓ Karim Onisiwo 89'
- 52
Bench
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 89'
-
11
Yorbe Vertessen ↑ 73'
-
14
Maurits Kjaergaard ↑ 46'
-
28
Adam Daghim ↑ 46'
-
6
Samson Baidoo ↑ 89'
- 41
- 8
- 92
- 36
- 44
- 37
- 43
Coach
Thomas Letsch
Real Madrid CF Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
-
22
Antonio Rudiger ↓ Jacobo Ramon 66'
- 14
- 8
-
7
Vinicius Junior ↓ Rodrygo 66'
- 1
-
5
Jude Bellingham ↓ Brahim Diaz 82'
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Luka Modric 66'
- 20
- 24
- 30
Bench
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↑ 82'
- 13
-
10
Luka Modric ↑ 66'
- 17
-
19
Dani Ceballos ↑ 74'
-
11
Rodrygo ↑ 66'
- 50
- 26
-
31
Jacobo Ramon ↑ 66'
- 36
- 29
- 44
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius Junior | 3 |
| Rodrygo | 2 |
| Federico Valverde | 1 |
| Gonzalo Garcia | 1 |
| Mads Bidstrup | 1 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Red Bull Salzburg Form
2025-06-27
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2025-06-22
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–0
Al Hilal
D
2025-06-18
CF Pachuca
1–2
FC Red Bull Salzburg
W
2025-01-29
FC Red Bull Salzburg
1–4
Club Atlético de Madrid
L
2025-01-22
Real Madrid CF
5–1
FC Red Bull Salzburg
L
2024-12-10
FC Red Bull Salzburg
0–3
Paris Saint-Germain FC
L
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.41
FC Red Bull Salzburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.44
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Real Madrid CF to win 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
FC Red Bull Salzburg or Draw
28%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
89%
FC Red Bull Salzburg or Real Madrid CF
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
17.1%
0 – 1
14.2%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 4
8.2%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.6%
0 – 5
4.1%
1 – 4
3.5%
1 – 0
1.9%
1 – 5
1.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Red Bull Salzburg
| Handicap | FC Red Bull Salzburg covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 0% | — | 100% |
| -2 | 0% | 1% | 99% |
| -1.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -1 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -0.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| +0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +1 | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| +1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +2 | 41% | 24% | 36% |
| +2.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
Clean Sheet
FC Red Bull Salzburg keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
67%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

