Sunday , 15 November 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Lechi Sadulaev 55' 1–0
Egas Cacintura 60' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Cheban (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Maksim Gavrilin
  • Assistant 2 Denis Petrov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–2 L
26 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 1–2 L
22 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–2 L
18 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Rostov H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
Lechi Sadulaev 3 G 3 A
Egas Cacintura 3 G 2 A
Georgi Melkadze 3 G
Andres Alarcon 2 G
Erald Maksuti 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RFK Akhmat Grozny welcome FK Nizhny Novgorod for this crunch clash at Akhmat Arena.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. RFK Akhmat Grozny is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' RFK Akhmat Grozny are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FK Nizhny Novgorod backline.
  • 15' Renaldo Cephas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RFK Akhmat Grozny so far.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' RFK Akhmat Grozny currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stanislav Cherchesov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' A moment of madness from Georgi Melkadze on 34 minutes earns him a card. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be frustrated.
  • 39' RFK Akhmat Grozny is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 44' That looks like a foul for a card for Lechi Sadulaev.
  • 49' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 55' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lechi Sadulaev makes it 1-0.
  • 60' What composure from Egas Cacintura! The Angola international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 65' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Nizhny Novgorod are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ismael on 78 minutes.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 88' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • With this win, RFK Akhmat Grozny is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny52% Draw27% FK Nizhny Novgorod21%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
48%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Nizhny Novgorod
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny34% Draw48% FK Nizhny Novgorod18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.