Thursday , 1 October 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Lechi Sadulaev 55' 1–0
Egas Cacintura 60' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny Novgorod — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Cheban (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Maksim Gavrilin
  • Assistant 2 Denis Petrov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–2 L
26 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 1–2 L
22 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–2 L
18 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Rostov H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
RFK Akhmat Grozny this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RFK Akhmat Grozny
Egas Cacintura 3 G 1 A
Georgi Melkadze 3 G
Lechi Sadulaev 2 G 3 A
Andres Alarcon 2 G
Erald Maksuti 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. RFK Akhmat Grozny host FK Nizhny Novgorod — let the battle begin!
  • 5' RFK Akhmat Grozny started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' RFK Akhmat Grozny currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' The travelling FK Nizhny Novgorod supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' FK Nizhny Novgorod is showing some good football. However, FK Nizhny Novgorod are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 34' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' RFK Akhmat Grozny player sees a card in front of him.
  • 49' Maksim Shnaptsev is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RFK Akhmat Grozny tonight.
  • 54' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 55' Against the run of play, Lechi Sadulaev has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 60' Egas Cacintura does the damage! The net is bulging and RFK Akhmat Grozny surge ahead!
  • 65' Georgi Sheliya has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 70' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stanislav Cherchesov will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 75' A quiet spell here at Akhmat Arena. FK Nizhny Novgorod seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Ismael.
  • 83' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 88' The home supporters are growing impatient. RFK Akhmat Grozny must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 2-0 the final result. FK Nizhny Novgorod will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.53 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny52% Draw27% FK Nizhny Novgorod21%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
78%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
48%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Nizhny Novgorod
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny34% Draw48% FK Nizhny Novgorod18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.9%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.