Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny Novgorod, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Sun 3 May 2026 · 16:30 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Lechi Sadulaev 55' 1–0
Egas Cacintura 60' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Nizhny NovgorodRFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sergey Cheban (Russia)
  • Assistant 1 Maksim Gavrilin
  • Assistant 2 Denis Petrov (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May RFK Akhmat Grozny A 0–2 L
26 Apr FK Spartak Moskva H 1–2 L
22 Apr FK Orenburg A 1–2 L
18 Apr FK Dinamo Moskva H 1–1 D
11 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad A 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Rostov H 0–1 L

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Nizhny Novgorod
#9 Position #15
37 Points 23
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 6 / 5 / 19
35 Scored 26
39 Conceded 50
-4 GD -24
1.23 PPG 0.77
30% Win % 20%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Nizhny Novgorod are 15th (23 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Akhmat Arena as RFK Akhmat Grozny face off against FK Nizhny Novgorod in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Brazil international Ismael has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Nizhny Novgorod are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 15' It’s high time Aleksey Shpilevskiy made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' RFK Akhmat Grozny looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lechi Sadulaev scoring 1 goals.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' Georgi Sheliya has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 34' That is a card for RFK Akhmat Grozny. Georgi Melkadze will be fuming at that decision.
  • 39' The 28-year-old Sven Karic has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' The referee shows RFK Akhmat Grozny player a card on 44.
  • 49' FK Nizhny Novgorod fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 54' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Nizhny Novgorod are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 55' Lechi Sadulaev doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' Goal! Egas Cacintura scores his 6 goal in 125 matches.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luka Ticic, as he is very good at scoring at Akhmat Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 70' Ilya Kirsh, a Russia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 75' RFK Akhmat Grozny currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 78' Ismael picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 83' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' FK Nizhny Novgorod come into this ranked 15 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • Full Time. RFK Akhmat Grozny beats FK Nizhny Novgorod

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84 FK Nizhny Novgorod xG
I would bet for: RFK Akhmat Grozny to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny57% Draw25% FK Nizhny Novgorod18%
Actual: RFK Akhmat Grozny win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
82%
Draw or FK Nizhny Novgorod
43%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Nizhny Novgorod
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny40% Draw46% FK Nizhny Novgorod14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Nizhny Novgorod covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
44%
FK Nizhny Novgorod keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.