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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2018-19
Sat 19 Jan 2019 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Christian Dietz

Head-to-Head

7
3
8
RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Borussia Dortmund H 0–1 L
22 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 3–2 W
19 Dec FC Bayern München A 0–1 L
16 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–1 W
13 Dec Rosenborg BK H 1–1 D
08 Dec SC Freiburg A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
21 Dec Borussia Mönchengladbach H 2–1 W
18 Dec TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 1–2 L
15 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W
11 Dec AS Monaco FC A 2–0 W
08 Dec FC Schalke 04 A 2–1 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' Marcel Sabitzer, a Austria , has 49 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Peter Gulacsi, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 19' Axel Witsel is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 24' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Borussia Dortmund needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RB Leipzig that had 513 games and scored 719 goals.
  • 34' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 39' The travelling Borussia Dortmund supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ibrahima Konate on 40 minutes.
  • 45' Christian Pulisic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 50' Diego Demme needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 55' Abdou Diallo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 60' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 65' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Dayot Upamecano. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 72' Borussia Dortmund is showing some good football. However, Borussia Dortmund are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 76' Christian Pulisic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro on 76 minute.
  • 79' A tactical swap from BV Borussia 09 Dortmund — Paco Alcacer on, Maximilian Philipp off on 79 minutes.
  • 81' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Matheus Cunha comes on to replace Diego Demme.
  • 84' Jadon Sancho catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 84.
  • 88' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Konrad Laimer has done his job and it is now time for Jean-Kevin Augustin to step up.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kevin Kampl.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.51 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig21% Draw36% Borussia Dortmund43%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
58%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
79%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig11% Draw63% Borussia Dortmund26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 3
2.9%
2 – 1
2.9%
2 – 0
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 4
0.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 14% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 26% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
40%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.