Thursday , 2 July 2026

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 11:30 UTC Loftus Road 16,977 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Josh Cullen
0–2 20' Zian Flemming
0–3 28' Zian Flemming
0–4 62' Jeremy Sarmiento
0–5 90+2' Jeremy Sarmiento

Overview

Match Preview

Queens Park Rangers FC vs Burnley FCChampionship at Loftus Road.

Match Details

  • Referee James Linington
  • Assistant 1 James Wilson
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Burnley FC H 0–5 L
21 Apr Swansea City AFC H 1–2 L
18 Apr Preston North End FC A 2–1 W
12 Apr Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
09 Apr Oxford United FC A 3–1 W
05 Apr Cardiff City FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
21 Apr Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Loftus Road. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Marti Cifuentes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 8' Burnley FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 8.
  • 9' Burnley FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Josh Cullen on 9.
  • 14' It looks surprising Queens Park Rangers FC does not make any changes. Josh Laurent has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' Burnley FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 20.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Pires suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' GOAL! Zian Flemming scores on 28. Assisted by Josh Brownhill
  • 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Burnley FC that had 342 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Josh Cullen.
  • 46' The whistle greets Karamoko Dembele as he departs to be replaced by Michael Frey.
  • 50' Ronnie Edwards is having his name booked by the referee on 50.
  • 55' Hannibal Mejbri needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 59' Jeremy Sarmiento is replacing Hannibal Mejbri for the Burnley FC side.
  • 62' Goal! Jeremy Sarmiento scores his 10 goal in 336 matches.
  • 64' Queens Park Rangers FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' Burnley FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 69.
  • 74' Queens Park Rangers FC is showing some good football. However, Queens Park Rangers FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' The whistle greets Jaidon Anthony as he departs to be replaced by Josh Laurent.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Morgan Fox. He replaces Ronnie Edwards on 80 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Harrison Ashby on 82.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Burnley FC. Zian Flemming is replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Queens Park Rangers FC. Harrison Ashby is replaced by Lucas Andersen.
  • 89' Queens Park Rangers FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 89.
  • With this win, Burnley FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.9 Queens Park Rangers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Queens Park Rangers FC22% Draw26% Burnley FC52%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Queens Park Rangers FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Burnley FC
78%
Queens Park Rangers FC or Burnley FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Queens Park Rangers FC15% Draw45% Burnley FC40%
Actual: Burnley FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
11.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 3
6.3%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Queens Park Rangers FC

Handicap Queens Park Rangers FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 18% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Queens Park Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.