Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Portland Timbers

1 – 1

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Sun 20 Jul 2025 · 02:30 UTC Providence Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 39' Nicolas Romero

Ariel Lassiter 43' Y

Y 45' Carlos Harvey

Y 65' Joaquin Pereyra

Overview

Match Preview

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.

Portland Timbers 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Portland Timbers 16 games · Avg 3.0 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-20 Portland Timbers 1–1 Minnesota United FC 2024-06-30 Portland Timbers 3–2 Minnesota United FC 2024-05-19 Minnesota United FC 2–1 Portland Timbers 2023-07-02 Minnesota United FC 4–1 Portland Timbers 2023-05-21 Portland Timbers 0–1 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	Minnesota United FC	H	1–1	D
17 Jul	Real Salt Lake	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	St. Louis City	A	1–2	L
06 Jul	New England Revolution	H	2–1	W
28 Jun	Toronto FC	A	0–3	L
14 Jun	San Jose Earthquakes	H	1–1	D

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Jul	Portland Timbers	A	1–1	D
17 Jul	Los Angeles FC	H	0–1	L
13 Jul	San Jose Earthquakes	H	4–1	W
05 Jul	FC Dallas	A	2–1	W
28 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
26 Jun	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

Portland Timbers		Minnesota United FC
#23	Position	#25
24	Points	24
18	Played	18
7 / 3 / 8	W / D / L	6 / 6 / 6
33	Scored	20
33	Conceded	25
+0	GD	-5
1.33	PPG	1.33
39%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

6% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

32% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

Portland Timbers are 23rd (24 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Portland Timbers

0-15

2/5

16-30

4/5

31-45

4/4

46-60

3/2

61-75

5/–

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

2/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

2/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy

8 G

2 A

Minnesota United FC

Kelvin Yeboah

8 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Providence Park will turn into a battlefield for Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC.
5' Portland Timbers is showing some good football. However, Portland Timbers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolas Romero made 162 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Minnesota United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
20' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portland Timbers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
30' It’s high time Eric Ramsay made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
35' Minnesota United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
39' Nicolas Romero has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 39.
43' Poor challenge from Ariel Lassiter. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Carlos Harvey on 45.
46' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Nicolas Romero has done his job and it is now time for Michael Boxall to step up.
51' Portland Timbers are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
56' Gage Guerra is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ariel Lassiter at the 56 minute mark.
61' Another change for Minnesota United FC made on 61 minute. Bongokuhle Hlongwane leaves to be changed by Anthony Markanich.
65' That looks like a foul for a card for Joaquin Pereyra.
70' Minnesota United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
71' The crowd applauds Joaquin Pereyra as he leaves the pitch. Kelvin Yeboah steps in for Minnesota United FC.
74' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. David Ayala departs to be replaced by Diego Chara.
75' Owen Gene has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joseph Rosales on 75 minute.
77' A stunning finish from Anthony Markanich — that came from absolutely nowhere!
82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
86' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Cristhian Paredes is withdrawn and Omir Fernandez gets his opportunity.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

17
Cristhian Paredes ↓ Omir Fernandez 86'
13
Dario Zuparic
16
Maxime Crepeau
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Gage Guerra 56'
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 74'
24
David Ayala ↓ Diego Chara 74'
30
Santiago Moreno
20
Finn Surman
29
Juan Mosquera
27
Jimer Fory
23
Ian Smith

Bench

21
Diego Chara ↑ 74'
41
James Pantemis
15
Eric Miller
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 86'
4
Kamal Miller
18
Zac McGraw
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 74'
80
Julio Ortiz
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 56'

Coach Phil Neville

Minnesota United FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Robin Lod
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↓ Kelvin Yeboah 71'
24
Julian Gressel
67
Carlos Harvey ↓ Wil Trapp 46'
97
Dayne St. Clair
5
Nicolas Romero ↓ Michael Boxall 46'
8
Joseph Rosales ↓ Owen Gene 75'
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↓ Anthony Markanich 61'
14
Tani Oluwaseyi
23
Morris Duggan
28
Jefferson Diaz

Bench

20
Wil Trapp ↑ 46'
15
Michael Boxall ↑ 46'
27
D.J. Taylor
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↑ 71'
30
Owen Gene ↑ 75'
13
Anthony Markanich ↑ 61'
1
Alec Smir
90
Loic Mesanvi
98
Darius Randell

Coach Eric Ramsay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sebastian Blanco	4
Bongokuhle Hlongwane	4
Robin Lod	3
Luis Amarilla	3
Alvas Powell	2
Diego Valeri	2
Romario Ibarra	2
Alvas Powell	2

Head to Head

Portland Timbers Form

2025-07-20 Portland Timbers 1–1 Minnesota United FC D 2025-07-17 Portland Timbers 0–1 Real Salt Lake L 2025-07-13 St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers L 2025-07-06 Portland Timbers 2–1 New England Revolution W 2025-06-28 Toronto FC 3–0 Portland Timbers L 2025-06-14 Portland Timbers 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes D

Minnesota United FC Form

2025-07-20 Portland Timbers 1–1 Minnesota United FC D 2025-07-17 Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC L 2025-07-13 Minnesota United FC 4–1 San Jose Earthquakes W 2025-07-05 FC Dallas 1–2 Minnesota United FC W 2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-26 Minnesota United FC 3–1 Houston Dynamo W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.5 Portland Timbers xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Portland Timbers37% Draw28% Minnesota United FC35%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Portland Timbers or Draw

65%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

63%

Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Portland Timbers29% Draw45% Minnesota United FC26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

1 – 0

7.2%

0 – 0

7.2%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

3.7%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers

Handicap	Portland Timbers covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.