Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #29 |
| 32 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 12 |
| 48 | Scored | 40 |
| 51 | Conceded | 49 |
| -3 | GD | -9 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 33% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Minnesota United FC are 29th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/7
16-30
4/9
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/5
61-75
7/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 14 G | 2 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Minnesota United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' Nicolas Romero needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Jefferson Diaz has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Tani Oluwaseyi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 35' With 3 assists to his name this season, Joseph Rosales is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 39' That is a card for Minnesota United FC. Nicolas Romero will be fuming at that decision.
- 43' Ariel Lassiter picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' Poor challenge from Carlos Harvey. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Nicolas Romero has done his job and it is now time for Michael Boxall to step up.
- 51' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 56' Ariel Lassiter makes way for Gage Guerra at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Portland Timbers.
- 61' Anthony Markanich gets the nod from Minnesota United FC. He replaces Bongokuhle Hlongwane and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' Minnesota United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 70' Minnesota United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 71' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Kelvin Yeboah on, Joaquin Pereyra off on 71 minutes.
- 74' The whistle greets David Ayala as he departs to be replaced by Diego Chara.
- 75' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Owen Gene on, Joseph Rosales off on 75 minutes.
- 77' Minnesota United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Anthony Markanich on 77.
- 82' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 86' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Omir Fernandez on, Cristhian Paredes off on 86 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Gage Guerra 56'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 74'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Diego Chara 74'
- 30
- 20
- 29
- 27
- 23
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 74'
- 41
- 15
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 86'
- 4
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 74'
- 80
-
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 56'
Coach
Phil Neville
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↓ Kelvin Yeboah 71'
- 24
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↓ Wil Trapp 46'
- 97
-
5
Nicolas Romero ↓ Michael Boxall 46'
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↓ Owen Gene 75'
- 21
- 14
- 23
- 28
Bench
-
20
Wil Trapp ↑ 46'
-
15
Michael Boxall ↑ 46'
- 27
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↑ 71'
-
30
Owen Gene ↑ 75'
-
13
Anthony Markanich ↑ 61'
- 1
- 90
- 98
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Vincent Janssen | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Anthony Markanich | 2 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
| Marcus Caldeira | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2025-07-13
St. Louis City
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2025-07-06
Portland Timbers
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-06-28
Toronto FC
3–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Minnesota United FC
0–1
Los Angeles FC
L
2025-07-13
Minnesota United FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-07-05
FC Dallas
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-06-28
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.74
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
65%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
62%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.