Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #23 |
| 14 | Points | 22 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 18 |
| 28 | Conceded | 22 |
| -6 | GD | -4 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 29% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
33%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Providence Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC.
- 5' David Ayala has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 168 appearances.
- 10' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 15' Minnesota United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Portland Timbers seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 287 games and scored 458 goals.
- 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Portland Timbers side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Romero on 39.
- 43' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Carlos Harvey. He receives a card.
- 46' The Minnesota United FC manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Romero departs to be replaced by Michael Boxall.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Phil Neville will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Gage Guerra gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Ariel Lassiter and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Anthony Markanich on, Bongokuhle Hlongwane off on 61 minutes.
- 65' The referee calls foul for Joaquin Pereyra. He receives a card.
- 70' Minnesota United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 71' Minnesota United FC ring the changes. Joaquin Pereyra has done his job and it is now time for Kelvin Yeboah to step up.
- 74' The crowd applauds David Ayala as he leaves the pitch. Diego Chara steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 75' Fresh legs for Minnesota United FC! Owen Gene comes on to replace Joseph Rosales.
- 77' What a moment for Anthony Markanich! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 86' The Portland Timbers bench stirs into life. Cristhian Paredes is withdrawn and Omir Fernandez gets his opportunity.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Gage Guerra 56'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 74'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Diego Chara 74'
- 30
- 20
- 29
- 27
- 23
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 74'
- 41
- 15
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 86'
- 4
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 74'
- 80
-
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 56'
Coach
Phil Neville
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↓ Kelvin Yeboah 71'
- 24
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↓ Wil Trapp 46'
- 97
-
5
Nicolas Romero ↓ Michael Boxall 46'
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↓ Owen Gene 75'
- 21
- 14
- 23
- 28
Bench
-
20
Wil Trapp ↑ 46'
-
15
Michael Boxall ↑ 46'
- 27
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↑ 71'
-
30
Owen Gene ↑ 75'
-
13
Anthony Markanich ↑ 61'
- 1
- 90
- 98
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
| Alvas Powell | 2 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 2 |
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2025-07-13
St. Louis City
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2025-07-06
Portland Timbers
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-06-28
Toronto FC
3–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Minnesota United FC
0–1
Los Angeles FC
L
2025-07-13
Minnesota United FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-07-05
FC Dallas
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-06-28
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
62%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
66%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 19% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.