Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Los Angeles FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–1 | W |
| 05 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #25 |
| 46 | Points | 44 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 11 / 11 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 56 |
| 61 | Conceded | 58 |
| +1 | GD | -2 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.29 |
| 38% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/5
46-60
8/5
61-75
9/5
76+
11/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Providence Park as Portland Timbers face off against Minnesota United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Portland Timbers in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Minnesota United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Carlos Harvey has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Ariel Lassiter is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Portland Timbers tonight.
- 39' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Romero.
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Ariel Lassiter.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Carlos Harvey.
- 46' Another substitution for Minnesota United FC to replace Nicolas Romero by Michael Boxall on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Portland Timbers must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' The crowd applauds Ariel Lassiter as he leaves the pitch. Gage Guerra steps in for Portland Timbers.
- 61' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Anthony Markanich on, Bongokuhle Hlongwane off on 61 minutes.
- 65' That is a card for Minnesota United FC. Joaquin Pereyra will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Minnesota United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 71' Kelvin Yeboah is replacing Joaquin Pereyra for the Minnesota United FC side.
- 74' Diego Chara has so much to prove this time. He replaces David Ayala on 74 minute.
- 75' Owen Gene is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joseph Rosales at the 75 minute mark.
- 77' Anthony Markanich puts Minnesota United FC on the lead.
- 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Omir Fernandez. He replaces Cristhian Paredes on 86 minute.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
- 16
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Gage Guerra 56'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Kevin Kelsy 74'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Diego Chara 74'
- 30
- 20
- 29
- 27
- 23
Bench
-
21
Diego Chara ↑ 74'
- 41
- 15
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 86'
- 4
- 18
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↑ 74'
- 80
-
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 56'
Coach
Phil Neville
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
26
Joaquin Pereyra ↓ Kelvin Yeboah 71'
- 24
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↓ Wil Trapp 46'
- 97
-
5
Nicolas Romero ↓ Michael Boxall 46'
-
8
Joseph Rosales ↓ Owen Gene 75'
- 21
- 14
- 23
- 28
Bench
-
20
Wil Trapp ↑ 46'
-
15
Michael Boxall ↑ 46'
- 27
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↑ 71'
-
30
Owen Gene ↑ 75'
-
13
Anthony Markanich ↑ 61'
- 1
- 90
- 98
Coach
Eric Ramsay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 4 |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 4 |
| Robin Lod | 3 |
| Vincent Janssen | 3 |
| Luis Amarilla | 3 |
| Anthony Markanich | 2 |
| Romario Ibarra | 2 |
| Marcus Caldeira | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2025-07-13
St. Louis City
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2025-07-06
Portland Timbers
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-06-28
Toronto FC
3–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
Minnesota United FC Form
2025-07-20
Portland Timbers
1–1
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-07-17
Minnesota United FC
0–1
Los Angeles FC
L
2025-07-13
Minnesota United FC
4–1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
2025-07-05
FC Dallas
1–2
Minnesota United FC
W
2025-06-28
New York Red Bulls
2–2
Minnesota United FC
D
2025-06-26
Minnesota United FC
3–1
Houston Dynamo
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.69
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.68
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
63%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
63%
Portland Timbers or Minnesota United FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 2
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.