New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York Red Bulls

2 – 2

Full Time

Minnesota United FC

Sat 28 Jun 2025 · 23:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Emil Forsberg 44' Y

Y 67' Alec Smir

Y 84' Nicolas Romero

Overview

Match Preview

New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Red Bull Arena.

New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Minnesota United FC 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

New York Red Bulls 5 games · Avg 2.6 goals Minnesota United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC 2023-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2022-03-13 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Minnesota United FC 2019-04-06 New York Red Bulls 1–2 Minnesota United FC 2018-03-24 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Minnesota United FC

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jun	Minnesota United FC	H	2–2	D
25 Jun	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
15 Jun	Austin FC	A	1–2	L
31 May	Atlanta United FC	H	2–0	W
28 May	Charlotte FC	H	4–2	W
24 May	D.C. United SC	A	2–0	W

Minnesota United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jun	New York Red Bulls	A	2–2	D
26 Jun	Houston Dynamo	H	3–1	W
15 Jun	San Diego FC	H	2–4	L
01 Jun	Seattle Sounders FC	A	3–2	W
29 May	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–0	D
25 May	Austin FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

New York Red Bulls		Minnesota United FC
#5	Position	#23
22	Points	22
15	Played	15
6 / 4 / 5	W / D / L	6 / 4 / 5
25	Scored	18
32	Conceded	22
-7	GD	-4
1.47	PPG	1.47
40%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

33% Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season

New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts). Minnesota United FC are 23rd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York Red Bulls

0-15

5/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/5

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/2

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Minnesota United FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/–

46-60

2/2

61-75

1/–

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena that hosts another battle between New York Red Bulls and Minnesota United FC.
5' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Omar Valencia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
11' What a strike from Emil Forsberg! The score is 1-0.
16' Devin Padelford has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
20' Time for substitution for Minnesota United FC. Wessel Speel is replaced by Alec Smir.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kyle Duncan suffering a number of foals already.
30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
32' What a strike from Kelvin Yeboah! The score is 1-1.
37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York Red Bulls needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
44' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Emil Forsberg gets a card.
45' Sensational shot from Anthony Markanich. Minnesota United FC is back in the lead.
50' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
55' Minnesota United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
58' The whistle greets Serge Ngoma as he departs to be replaced by Wikelmann Carmona.
63' It looks like no one’s ball. Minnesota United FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
67' It’s gonna be a card for Alec Smir.
68' D.J. Taylor is replacing Bongokuhle Hlongwane for the Minnesota United FC side.
69' Another change for Minnesota United FC made on 69 minute. Kelvin Yeboah leaves to be changed by Sang-bin Jeong.
74' It’s high time Sandro Schwarz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
78' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 78 minute. Peter Stroud leaves to be changed by Wiktor Bogacz.
83' Minnesota United FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
84' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolas Romero.
89' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Minnesota United FC that had 282 games and scored 414 goals.
90' GOAL! Maxim Choupo-Moting scores on 90. Assisted by Kyle Duncan
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

New York Red Bulls Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

42
Alexander Hack ↑ 78'
26
Tim Parker
44
Raheem Edwards
1
AJ Marcucci
19
Wikelmann Carmona ↑ 58'
48
Ronald Donkor ↑ 58'
16
Julian Hall ↑ 78'
22
Dennis Gjengaar
7
Wiktor Bogacz ↑ 78'

Coach Sandro Schwarz

Minnesota United FC Lineups

Starting XI

17
Robin Lod
26
Joaquin Pereyra
20
Wil Trapp
15
Michael Boxall
24
Julian Gressel ↓ Owen Gene 69'
5
Nicolas Romero
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Sang-bin Jeong 69'
13
Anthony Markanich ↓ Devin Padelford 78'
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane ↓ D.J. Taylor 68'
28
Jefferson Diaz
96
Wessel Speel ↓ Alec Smir 20'

Bench

27
D.J. Taylor ↑ 68'
30
Owen Gene ↑ 69'
1
Alec Smir ↑ 20'
7
Sang-bin Jeong ↑ 69'
2
Devin Padelford ↑ 78'
90
Loic Mesanvi
19
Samuel Shashoua
22
Ho-yeon Jeong
98
Darius Randell

Coach Eric Ramsay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Bradley Wright-Phillips	2
Anthony Markanich	1
Alex Muyl	1
Maxim Choupo-Moting	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Alex Muyl	1
Romario Ibarra	1

Head to Head

New York Red Bulls Form

2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-06-15 Austin FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC W 2025-05-28 New York Red Bulls 4–2 Charlotte FC W 2025-05-24 D.C. United SC 0–2 New York Red Bulls W

Minnesota United FC Form

2025-06-28 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Minnesota United FC D 2025-06-26 Minnesota United FC 3–1 Houston Dynamo W 2025-06-15 Minnesota United FC 2–4 San Diego FC L 2025-06-01 Seattle Sounders FC 2–3 Minnesota United FC W 2025-05-29 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 0–0 Minnesota United FC D 2025-05-25 Minnesota United FC 1–1 Austin FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.77 New York Red Bulls xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.5 Minnesota United FC xG

I would bet for: New York Red Bulls or Minnesota United FC 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls43% Draw26% Minnesota United FC31%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

New York Red Bulls or Draw

69%

Draw or Minnesota United FC

57%

New York Red Bulls or Minnesota United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York Red Bulls33% Draw42% Minnesota United FC25%

Actual: Minnesota United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

Actual

1 – 0

2 – 0

0 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

5.1%

0 – 1

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — New York Red Bulls

Handicap	New York Red Bulls covers	Push	Minnesota United FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	13%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	20%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.