Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Jul | St. Louis City | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #27 |
| 32 | Points | 32 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 9 / 5 / 13 |
| 48 | Scored | 40 |
| 51 | Conceded | 44 |
| -3 | GD | -4 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.19 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). Real Salt Lake are 27th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
5/6
16-30
4/5
31-45
5/5
46-60
5/6
61-75
5/7
76+
6/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
Real Salt Lake
| Sergi Solans | 11 G | 3 A |
| Zavier Gozo | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Providence Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Real Salt Lake looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Juan Sanabria scoring 1 goals.
- 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Real Salt Lake winning 50% of all matches.
- 15' Portland Timbers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Santiago Moreno is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Real Salt Lake so far.
- 25' Real Salt Lake fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 30' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Real Salt Lake backline.
- 35' Real Salt Lake is showing some good football. However, Real Salt Lake are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bode Davis is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Portland Timbers.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Brayan Vera.
- 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 52' A meaty challenge results in booking for Pablo Ruiz on 52.
- 55' The whistle greets Omir Fernandez as he departs to be replaced by Ariel Lassiter.
- 60' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Emeka Eneli suffering a number of foals already.
- 67' The referee has no hesitation. Bode Davis is booked for Real Salt Lake — card on 67.
- 69' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Felipe Mora on 69 minutes.
- 71' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Felipe Mora exits the field as Gage Guerra enters on 71.
- 73' Pablo Ruiz makes way for Emeka Eneli at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Salt Lake.
- 78' Alexandros Katranis has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 80' Real Salt Lake ring the changes. Justen Glad has done his job and it is now time for Philip Quinton to step up.
- 83' A stunning finish from Diogo Goncalves — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 86' Cristhian Paredes gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces David Ayala and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Rafael Cabral.
- 90' Fresh legs for Real Salt Lake! Dominik Marczuk comes on to replace Diego Luna.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 13
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↓ Ariel Lassiter 55'
- 16
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Gage Guerra 71'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 86'
- 10
- 30
- 20
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Eric Miller 71'
- 27
Bench
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 86'
- 41
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 71'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 55'
- 19
- 80
- 23
-
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 71'
Coach
Phil Neville
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Diogo Goncalves ↓ Jesus Barea 90'
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↓ Emeka Eneli 73'
-
15
Justen Glad ↓ Philip Quinton 80'
- 29
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Dominik Marczuk 90'
- 1
-
9
Willy Agada ↓ Ariath Piol 73'
- 92
- 72
Bench
- 77
-
98
Alexandros Katranis ↑ 73'
- 31
-
26
Philip Quinton ↑ 80'
-
14
Emeka Eneli ↑ 73'
- 81
-
23
Ariath Piol ↑ 73'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 90'
-
36
Jesus Barea ↑ 90'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Felipe Mora | 7 |
| Sebastian Blanco | 7 |
| Damir Kreilach | 5 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 4 |
| Diego Chara | 3 |
| Yimmi Chara | 3 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Rubio Rubin | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-07-17
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2025-07-13
St. Louis City
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2025-07-06
Portland Timbers
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-06-28
Toronto FC
3–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
W
Real Salt Lake Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.65
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
69%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
59%
Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

