Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Real Salt Lake 14 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Toronto FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Jun | St. Louis City | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Jul | St. Louis City | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Jun | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Jun | D.C. United SC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Jun | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #18 |
| 14 | Points | 26 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 2 / 4 |
| 22 | Scored | 26 |
| 28 | Conceded | 19 |
| -6 | GD | +7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.86 |
| 29% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Real Salt Lake this season
Real Salt Lake this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). Real Salt Lake are 18th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Salt Lake
0-15
4/3
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Providence Park that hosts another battle between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Real Salt Lake started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' The travelling Real Salt Lake supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' The referee shows Real Salt Lake player a card on 45.
- 50' Real Salt Lake are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 52' Pablo Ruiz has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
- 55' A tactical swap from Portland Timbers — Ariel Lassiter on, Omir Fernandez off on 55 minutes.
- 60' Rafael Cabral needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 65' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. Portland Timbers seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 67' Bode Davis has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
- 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Felipe Mora.
- 71' The whistle greets Felipe Mora as he departs to be replaced by Gage Guerra.
- 73' A change in the Real Salt Lake ranks — Pablo Ruiz exits the field as Emeka Eneli enters on 73.
- 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dominik Marczuk, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 80' A change in the Real Salt Lake ranks — Justen Glad exits the field as Philip Quinton enters on 80.
- 83' A goal from the Portugal international Diogo Goncalves! He fires home on 83 to make it 0-1!
- 86' It is a substitution in Portland Timbers team. David Ayala is replaced by Cristhian Paredes on 86 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Cabral on 90.
- 90' Dominik Marczuk gets the nod from Real Salt Lake. He replaces Diego Luna and will look to change the dynamic.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Real Salt Lake take all three points.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 13
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↓ Ariel Lassiter 55'
- 16
-
9
Felipe Mora ↓ Gage Guerra 71'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 86'
- 10
- 30
- 20
-
29
Juan Mosquera ↓ Eric Miller 71'
- 27
Bench
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 86'
- 41
-
15
Eric Miller ↑ 71'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↑ 55'
- 19
- 80
- 23
-
88
Gage Guerra ↑ 71'
Coach
Phil Neville
Real Salt Lake Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
Diogo Goncalves ↓ Jesus Barea 90'
-
7
Pablo Ruiz ↓ Emeka Eneli 73'
-
15
Justen Glad ↓ Philip Quinton 80'
- 29
- 4
- 19
-
8
Diego Luna ↓ Dominik Marczuk 90'
- 1
-
9
Willy Agada ↓ Ariath Piol 73'
- 92
- 72
Bench
- 77
-
98
Alexandros Katranis ↑ 73'
- 31
-
26
Philip Quinton ↑ 80'
-
14
Emeka Eneli ↑ 73'
- 81
-
23
Ariath Piol ↑ 73'
-
11
Dominik Marczuk ↑ 90'
-
36
Jesus Barea ↑ 90'
Coach
Pablo Mastroeni
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Blanco | 7 |
| Felipe Mora | 5 |
| Damir Kreilach | 5 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 4 |
| Diego Chara | 3 |
| Yimmi Chara | 3 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Bode Davis | 2 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
2025-07-17
Portland Timbers
0–1
Real Salt Lake
L
2025-07-13
St. Louis City
2–1
Portland Timbers
L
2025-07-06
Portland Timbers
2–1
New England Revolution
W
2025-06-28
Toronto FC
3–0
Portland Timbers
L
2025-06-14
Portland Timbers
1–1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
2025-06-08
Portland Timbers
2–1
St. Louis City
W
Real Salt Lake Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
Real Salt Lake xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake 72% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Real Salt Lake win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
61%
Draw or Real Salt Lake
67%
Portland Timbers or Real Salt Lake
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | Real Salt Lake covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 20% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Real Salt Lake keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

