FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Columbus Crew SC 34 games · 47 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 05 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Jul | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Atlanta United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #7 |
| 46 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 5 / 15 |
| 67 | Scored | 59 |
| 75 | Conceded | 52 |
| -8 | GD | +7 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
61%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Columbus Crew SC this season
Columbus Crew SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Columbus Crew SC are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Columbus Crew SC
0-15
4/8
16-30
12/7
31-45
7/7
46-60
10/2
61-75
7/5
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Columbus Crew SC
| Diego Rossi | 6 G | 1 A |
| Wessam Abou Ali | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
- 1' The Czech Republic Pavel Bucha breaks the deadlock on 1 minutes. 1-0!
- 5' The deadlock is broken! Evander gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Dylan Chambost is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Columbus Crew SC so far.
- 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Brian Anunga on 18.
- 23' Columbus Crew SC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gonzalo Tapia scoring 1 goals.
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Columbus Crew SC winning 100% of all matches.
- 38' Taha Habroune needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
- 43' What composure from Diego Rossi! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 45' Pavel Bucha picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 48' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Max Arfsten makes it 2-2.
- 53' The referee shows Columbus Crew SC player a card on 53.
- 58' The crowd applauds Dylan Chambost as he leaves the pitch. Amar Sejdic steps in for Columbus Crew SC.
- 59' Goal! Miles Robinson scores his 8 goal in 303 matches.
- 61' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Brian Anunga is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 68' Daniel Gazdag catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 73' Matt Miazga, a USA , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 78' It’s a booking for Columbus Crew SC player. Jacen Russell-Rowe gets a card.
- 78' Another change for Columbus Crew SC made on 78 minute. Jacen Russell-Rowe leaves to be changed by Taha Habroune.
- 82' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — DeAndre Yedlin exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 82.
- 86' A moment of madness from Miles Robinson on 86 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 87' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Lukas Engel is withdrawn and Brad Smith gets his opportunity.
- 90' Columbus Crew SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- 90' Another change for Columbus Crew SC made on 90 minute. Max Arfsten leaves to be changed by Tristan Brown.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-4 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 82'
- 21
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Teenage Hadebe 82'
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Kenji Mboma 82'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 87'
Bench
- 11
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 82'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 87'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 82'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 61'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 82'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Columbus Crew SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
7
Dylan Chambost ↓ Amar Sejdic 58'
- 10
- 6
- 8
- 28
- 25
- 19
-
27
Max Arfsten ↓ Tristan Brown 90'
- 11
- 21
Bench
- 20
- 24
-
14
Amar Sejdic ↑ 58'
- 13
-
16
Taha Habroune ↑ 78'
- 29
-
44
Tristan Brown ↑ 90'
- 48
Coach
Wilfried Nancy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gyasi Zardes | 7 |
| Lucas Zelarayan | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Pedro Santos | 3 |
| Miguel Berry | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
| Isaac Atanga | 2 |
| Taha Habroune | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Columbus Crew SC Form
2025-07-13
FC Cincinnati
2–4
Columbus Crew SC
W
2025-07-06
Seattle Sounders FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-06-29
Columbus Crew SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-06-25
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2025-06-14
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2025-05-31
Internacional CF Miami
5–1
Columbus Crew SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.91
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.25
Columbus Crew SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew SC 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Columbus Crew SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.16
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
58%
Draw or Columbus Crew SC
66%
FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
0 – 1
3.1%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Columbus Crew SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 18% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Columbus Crew SC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

