FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Columbus Crew SC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 05 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | Orlando City SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | New England Revolution | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 May | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | FC Cincinnati | A | 4–2 | W |
| 06 Jul | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | Atlanta United FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 29 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 8 / 5 / 14 |
| 55 | Scored | 39 |
| 64 | Conceded | 43 |
| -9 | GD | -4 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 31% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Columbus Crew SC this season
Columbus Crew SC this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Columbus Crew SC are 12th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Columbus Crew SC
0-15
3/6
16-30
4/4
31-45
6/6
46-60
6/2
61-75
3/4
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Columbus Crew SC
| Diego Rossi | 6 G | 1 A |
| Wessam Abou Ali | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
- 1' Pavel Bucha doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 5' A goal from the Brazil international Evander! He fires home on 5 to make it 2-0!
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 252 games and scored 363 goals.
- 15' Roman Celentano, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 18' Brian Anunga is having his name booked by the referee on 18.
- 23' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 28' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 38' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' GOAL! Diego Rossi scores on 43. Assisted by Ibrahim Aliyu
- 45' Pavel Bucha catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 48' Against the run of play, Max Arfsten has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' Columbus Crew SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 53.
- 58' A tactical swap from Columbus Crew SC — Amar Sejdic on, Dylan Chambost off on 58 minutes.
- 59' Miles Robinson puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 61' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Brian Anunga by Gerardo Valenzuela on 61 minute.
- 66' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' Daniel Gazdag catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
- 73' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 78' Columbus Crew SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
- 78' Columbus Crew SC ring the changes. Jacen Russell-Rowe has done his job and it is now time for Taha Habroune to step up.
- 82' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. DeAndre Yedlin is withdrawn and Alvas Powell gets his opportunity.
- 86' Miles Robinson was booked on 86.
- 87' Brad Smith is replacing Lukas Engel for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 90' Poor challenge from Taha Habroune. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Tristan Brown has so much to prove this time. He replaces Max Arfsten on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Columbus Crew SC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 82'
- 21
-
85
Kei Kamara ↓ Teenage Hadebe 82'
- 12
- 20
- 9
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Kenji Mboma 82'
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Brad Smith 87'
Bench
- 11
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 82'
-
14
Brad Smith ↑ 87'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 82'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 61'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 82'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Columbus Crew SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
7
Dylan Chambost ↓ Amar Sejdic 58'
- 10
- 6
- 8
- 28
- 25
- 19
-
27
Max Arfsten ↓ Tristan Brown 90'
- 11
- 21
Bench
- 20
- 24
-
14
Amar Sejdic ↑ 58'
- 13
-
16
Taha Habroune ↑ 78'
- 29
-
44
Tristan Brown ↑ 90'
- 48
Coach
Wilfried Nancy
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gyasi Zardes | 7 |
| Lucas Zelarayan | 5 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Miguel Berry | 3 |
| Pedro Santos | 3 |
| Isaac Atanga | 2 |
| Max Arfsten | 2 |
| Diego Rossi | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Columbus Crew SC Form
2025-07-13
FC Cincinnati
2–4
Columbus Crew SC
W
2025-07-06
Seattle Sounders FC
1–1
Columbus Crew SC
D
2025-06-29
Columbus Crew SC
1–0
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-06-25
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2025-06-14
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
W
2025-05-31
Internacional CF Miami
5–1
Columbus Crew SC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.05
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
Columbus Crew SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Columbus Crew SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
61%
Draw or Columbus Crew SC
63%
FC Cincinnati or Columbus Crew SC
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–4 not predicted2 – 4Actual
1 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 3
5%
1 – 3
5%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Columbus Crew SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Columbus Crew SC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

