Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- Portland Timbers 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Andrew Bigelow
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee Ramy Touchan
- Referee R. Mendoza
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #8 |
| 46 | Points | 46 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 13 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 12 / 10 / 12 |
| 62 | Scored | 67 |
| 61 | Conceded | 75 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.35 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
9%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 22nd (46 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
7/10
16-30
8/10
31-45
9/9
46-60
6/5
61-75
10/4
76+
12/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kristoffer Velde | 12 G | 6 A |
| Ariel Lassiter | 9 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Portland Timbers to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' A quiet spell here at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Portland Timbers is showing some good football. However, Portland Timbers are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 18' Portland Timbers receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 18.
- 23' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giovanni Savarese will be considering his options from the bench.
- 28' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Jorge Villafana is booked for Portland Timbers — Yellow card on 29.
- 30' Andrew Gutman was booked on 30.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 45' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Joe Gyau gets a Yellow card.
- 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 56' Larrys Mabiala has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 306 appearances.
- 58' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Yuya Kubo by Siem de Jong on 58 minute.
- 59' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Adrien Regattin departs to be replaced by Allan Cruz.
- 61' Mathieu Deplagne makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
- 64' The Portland Timbers manager makes a substitution. Yimmi Chara departs to be replaced by Jaroslaw Niezgoda.
- 67' What composure from Jaroslaw Niezgoda! The Poland international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 72' Jurgen Locadia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caleb Stanko on 72 minute.
- 77' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 81' Jurgen Locadia puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Frankie Amaya, as he is very good at scoring at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 88' Fresh legs for Portland Timbers! Andy Polo comes on to replace Eryk Williamson.
- 89' Kekuta Manneh is replacing Joe Gyau for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for FC Cincinnati. Fatai Alashe will be fuming at that decision.
- 90' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — Jeremy Ebobisse exits the field as Felipe Mora enters on 90.
- The points are shared — Portland Timbers 1-1 FC Cincinnati. Honours even.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Jaroslaw Niezgoda 64'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 12
- 10
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↓ Andy Polo 88'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Felipe Mora 90'
- 15
- 13
Bench
-
7
Andy Polo ↑ 88'
- 19
- 1
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 32
- 40
- 44
-
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↑ 64'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 90'
- 28
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Jurgen Locadia 72'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 58'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Kekuta Manneh 89'
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↓ Allan Cruz 59'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 59'
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 72'
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 58'
- 14
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 59'
- 19
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 59'
- 12
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 89'
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
| Allan Cruz | 1 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 1 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
58%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 12% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 18% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 17% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

