Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Andrew Bigelow
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee Ramy Touchan
- Referee R. Mendoza
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #9 |
| 32 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 48 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -3 | GD | -9 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 33% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati is underway.
- 5' Przemyslaw Tyton is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 18' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Sebastian Blanco.
- 23' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Joe Gyau has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Portland Timbers that had 295 games and scored 475 goals.
- 29' Jorge Villafana picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 30' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andrew Gutman on 30.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sebastian Blanco made 295 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 46' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Joe Gyau gets a Yellow card.
- 51' Curacao international Jurgen Locadia has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 56' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 58' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Siem de Jong gets his opportunity.
- 59' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Adrien Regattin is replaced by Allan Cruz on 59 minute.
- 61' The France Mathieu Deplagne breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 0-1!
- 64' Jaroslaw Niezgoda is replacing Yimmi Chara for the Portland Timbers side.
- 67' Jaroslaw Niezgoda doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 72' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 72 minute. Caleb Stanko leaves to be changed by Jurgen Locadia.
- 77' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 81' What a strike from Jurgen Locadia! The score is 1-2.
- 86' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 88' Andy Polo gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Eryk Williamson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Joe Gyau is withdrawn and Kekuta Manneh gets his opportunity.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Fatai Alashe. He receives a Yellow card.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Felipe Mora. He replaces Jeremy Ebobisse on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Jaroslaw Niezgoda 64'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 12
- 10
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↓ Andy Polo 88'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Felipe Mora 90'
- 15
- 13
Bench
-
7
Andy Polo ↑ 88'
- 19
- 1
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 32
- 40
- 44
-
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↑ 64'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 90'
- 28
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Jurgen Locadia 72'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 58'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Kekuta Manneh 89'
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↓ Allan Cruz 59'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 59'
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 72'
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 58'
- 14
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 59'
- 19
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 59'
- 12
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 89'
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.07
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
66%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
57%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.3%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

