Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 MLS IS BACK ROUND OF 16
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.
- Portland Timbers 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Andrew Bigelow
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee Ramy Touchan
- Referee R. Mendoza
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Jul | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jul | Los Angeles Galaxy | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | Nashville SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul | Portland Timbers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Jul | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Mar | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #28 | Position | #7 |
| 14 | Points | 20 |
| 14 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 22 | Scored | 36 |
| 28 | Conceded | 37 |
| -6 | GD | -1 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 29% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 28th (14 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
2/5
16-30
3/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Cincinnati kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Argentina international Sebastian Blanco has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 18' Sebastian Blanco picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 23' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 28' Portland Timbers currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 29' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jorge Villafana.
- 30' FC Cincinnati player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kendall Waston, as he is very good at scoring at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 40' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Jurgen Locadia has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' Portland Timbers is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Joe Gyau.
- 51' It’s high time Jaap Stam made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 56' Portland Timbers are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 58' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 58 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Siem de Jong.
- 59' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Allan Cruz comes on to replace Adrien Regattin.
- 61' The France Mathieu Deplagne breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 0-1!
- 64' Portland Timbers ring the changes. Yimmi Chara has done his job and it is now time for Jaroslaw Niezgoda to step up.
- 67' A stunning finish from Jaroslaw Niezgoda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 72' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Caleb Stanko is replaced by Jurgen Locadia on 72 minute.
- 77' Portland Timbers are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 81' Brilliant from the ! Jurgen Locadia makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 81.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 88' Portland Timbers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andy Polo is hanging Eryk Williamson on the field on 88 minute.
- 89' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 89 minute. Joe Gyau leaves to be changed by Kekuta Manneh.
- 90' Poor challenge from Fatai Alashe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 90' Portland Timbers make a change. Jeremy Ebobisse trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Mora on 90 minutes.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Yimmi Chara ↓ Jaroslaw Niezgoda 64'
- 4
- 21
- 8
- 33
- 12
- 10
-
30
Eryk Williamson ↓ Andy Polo 88'
-
17
Jeremy Ebobisse ↓ Felipe Mora 90'
- 15
- 13
Bench
-
7
Andy Polo ↑ 88'
- 19
- 1
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 32
- 40
- 44
-
11
Jaroslaw Niezgoda ↑ 64'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 90'
- 28
Coach
Giovanni Savarese
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Jurgen Locadia 72'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Siem de Jong 58'
-
36
Joe Gyau ↓ Kekuta Manneh 89'
- 22
- 6
- 2
-
9
Adrien Regattin ↓ Allan Cruz 59'
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Fatai Alashe 59'
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 72'
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 58'
- 14
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 59'
- 19
- 4
-
27
Fatai Alashe ↑ 59'
- 12
-
31
Kekuta Manneh ↑ 89'
- 26
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Jaroslaw Niezgoda | 1 |
| Jurgen Locadia | 1 |
| Dairon Asprilla | 1 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati 77% + Over 2.5 goals 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
60%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
63%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.4%
2 – 3
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
4%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 16% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 18% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 13% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

