FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

2 – 1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Sat 22 Apr 2023 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Sergio Santos 34' 1–0

Brandon Vazquez 58' 2–0

2–1 60' Dairon Asprilla

Y 20' Larrys Mabiala

Y 30' Dairon Asprilla

Obinna Nwobodo 32' Y

Y 72' Diego Chara

Yerson Mosquera 84' Y

Y 90' Zac McGraw

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 4 games · Avg 3.3 goals Portland Timbers

Last 5 meetings

2023-04-22 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Portland Timbers 2020-07-29 Portland Timbers 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-03-17 FC Cincinnati 3–0 Portland Timbers

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	Portland Timbers	H	2–1	W
16 Apr	St. Louis City	A	1–5	L
08 Apr	Philadelphia Union	H	1–0	W
01 Apr	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–0	W
26 Mar	Nashville SC	A	1–0	W
19 Mar	Chicago Fire FC	A	3–3	D

Portland Timbers

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
22 Apr	FC Cincinnati	A	1–2	L
16 Apr	Seattle Sounders FC	H	4–1	W
09 Apr	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	FC Dallas	A	1–1	D
25 Mar	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	0–0	D
18 Mar	Atlanta United FC	A	1–5	L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Portland Timbers
#9	Position	#26
33	Points	32
26	Played	27
8 / 9 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 5 / 13
55	Scored	48
64	Conceded	51
-9	GD	-3
1.27	PPG	1.19
31%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

4% Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Portland Timbers

0-15

4/9

16-30

7/9

31-45

5/8

46-60

5/4

61-75

7/–

76+

10/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Portland Timbers

Kevin Kelsy	9 G	2 A
Kristoffer Velde	8 G	5 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. FC Cincinnati host Portland Timbers — let the battle begin!
5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cristhian Paredes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
10' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
15' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a 3-4-1-2 today, looking to exploit space against Portland Timbers's 4-4-2 shape.
20' Controversy at the stadium! Larrys Mabiala argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
25' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Portland Timbers backline.
30' Portland Timbers player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
32' FC Cincinnati receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 32.
34' A stunning finish from Sergio Santos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
39' The travelling Portland Timbers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
44' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
49' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Portland Timbers are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
54' Alvaro Barreal has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 3 goals to his name this season.
58' What a strike from Brandon Vazquez! The score is 2-0.
60' What a moment for Dairon Asprilla! That strike on 60 puts his side firmly in control.
62' A change in the Portland Timbers ranks — David Ayala exits the field as Cristhian Paredes enters on 62.
63' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Sergio Santos by Dominique Badji on 63 minute.
68' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Portland Timbers are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
72' Portland Timbers player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
73' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Franck Boli by Nathan Fogaca on 73 minute.
77' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Raymon Gaddis exits the field as Alvas Powell enters on 77.
82' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
84' Yerson Mosquera is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
85' The crowd applauds Dairon Asprilla as he leaves the pitch. Jaroslaw Niezgoda steps in for Portland Timbers.
89' FC Cincinnati make a change. Luciano Acosta trudges off to be replaced by Malik Pinto on 89 minutes.
90' A moment of madness from Zac McGraw on 90 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Portland Timbers will be frustrated.
FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Portland Timbers Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

20
Evander
21
Diego Chara
33
Larrys Mabiala
27
Dairon Asprilla ↓ Jaroslaw Niezgoda 85'
31
Aljaz Ivacic
7
Franck Boli ↓ Nathan Fogaca 73'
24
David Ayala ↓ Cristhian Paredes 62'
18
Zac McGraw
30
Santiago Moreno
14
Justin Rasmussen ↓ Eric Miller 62'
29
Juan Mosquera

Bench

Coach Giovanni Savarese

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kevin Kelsy	2
Mathieu Deplagne	2
Allan Cruz	1
Jaroslaw Niezgoda	1
Jurgen Locadia	1
Dairon Asprilla	1
Brandon Vazquez	1
Sergio Santos	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.38 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.62 Portland Timbers xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati56% Draw21% Portland Timbers23%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	56%	44%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

77%

Draw or Portland Timbers

44%

FC Cincinnati or Portland Timbers

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati41% Draw37% Portland Timbers22%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

7.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

5.6%

2 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

4.1%

1 – 0

4 – 1

3.8%

2 – 3

3.5%

4 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Portland Timbers covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	16%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	19%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	13%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FC Cincinnati vs Portland Timbers, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Portland Timbers Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

Portland Timbers Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Clean Sheet