Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Portland Timbers vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Providence Park.
- Portland Timbers 27 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | FC Dallas | A | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Jul | St. Louis City | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | H | 3–0 | W |
| 13 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–4 | L |
Season Stats
| Portland Timbers | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #26 | Position | #9 |
| 32 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 5 / 13 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 48 | Scored | 55 |
| 51 | Conceded | 64 |
| -3 | GD | -9 |
| 1.19 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 33% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
4%
Clean Sheets
Portland Timbers this season
Portland Timbers this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Portland Timbers are 26th (32 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Portland Timbers
0-15
4/9
16-30
7/9
31-45
5/8
46-60
5/4
61-75
7/–
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Portland Timbers
| Kevin Kelsy | 9 G | 2 A |
| Kristoffer Velde | 8 G | 5 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Providence Park as Portland Timbers face off against FC Cincinnati in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' FC Cincinnati come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' Kevin Denkey doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin Kelsy.
- 18' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matt Miazga, as he is very good at scoring at Providence Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 23' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' Goal! Pavel Bucha scores his 13 goal in 167 matches.
- 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Providence Park. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 36' What a moment for Evander! That strike on 36 puts his side firmly in control.
- 38' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Kelsy gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
- 43' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Miles Robinson.
- 50' Portland Timbers have won 483 goals from 299 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' Another substitution for Portland Timbers to replace Julio Ortiz by Cristhian Paredes on 58 minute.
- 60' Portland Timbers player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 68' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Kevin Kelsy makes it 2-3.
- 73' The energy levels are beginning to show. Phil Neville might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 78' The crowd applauds Miles Robinson as he leaves the pitch. Teenage Hadebe steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 82' Dario Zuparic gets the nod from Portland Timbers. He replaces Kamal Miller and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Omir Fernandez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ariel Lassiter on 83 minute.
- 85' Portland Timbers manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Felipe Mora is hanging David Ayala on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. DeAndre Yedlin is replaced by Alvas Powell on 90 minute.
- It finishes all square. Portland Timbers and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 2-3.
Lineups
Portland Timbers Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
4
Kamal Miller ↓ Dario Zuparic 82'
-
7
Ariel Lassiter ↓ Omir Fernandez 83'
-
24
David Ayala ↓ Felipe Mora 85'
- 10
- 11
- 20
- 19
- 29
- 27
-
80
Julio Ortiz ↓ Cristhian Paredes 58'
Bench
- 21
-
17
Cristhian Paredes ↑ 58'
- 41
- 15
-
13
Dario Zuparic ↑ 82'
-
22
Omir Fernandez ↑ 83'
-
9
Felipe Mora ↑ 85'
- 23
- 88
Coach
Phil Neville
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
91
DeAndre Yedlin ↓ Alvas Powell 90'
- 21
- 4
-
12
Miles Robinson ↓ Teenage Hadebe 78'
- 20
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Kei Kamara 58'
- 18
- 29
- 37
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Kenji Mboma 58'
Bench
- 13
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 90'
- 14
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 58'
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↑ 78'
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 90'
-
35
Kenji Mboma ↑ 58'
- 19
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Kelsy | 2 |
| Mathieu Deplagne | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 1 |
| Kevin Denkey | 1 |
| Kendall Waston | 1 |
Head to Head
Portland Timbers Form
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09
Portland Timbers xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.19
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Portland Timbers or Draw
58%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
65%
Portland Timbers or FC Cincinnati
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Portland Timbers
| Handicap | Portland Timbers covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 11% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 16% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Portland Timbers keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

