Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Wed 16 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Montreal Impact FC H 2–1 W
12 Jul New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
06 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
29 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 0–1 L
26 Jun Chicago Fire FC A 1–0 W
14 Jun Charlotte FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Philadelphia Union A 1–2 L
12 Jul Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
05 Jul Internacional CF Miami H 1–4 L
28 Jun New York City FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun FC Cincinnati H 1–3 L
15 Jun Houston Dynamo A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Montreal Impact FC
#6 Position #15
39 Points 24
27 Played 27
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 6 / 6 / 15
54 Scored 34
44 Conceded 54
+10 GD -20
1.44 PPG 0.89
41% Win % 22%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
78% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
22% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 15th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
4/5
61-75
2/7
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
Montreal Impact FC
Prince-Osei Owusu 15 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.42 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union61% Draw20% Montreal Impact FC19%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
82%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
39%
Philadelphia Union or Montreal Impact FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union46% Draw38% Montreal Impact FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.4%
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 18% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.