Thursday , 2 July 2026

Philadelphia Union vs Montreal Impact FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Wed 16 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Montreal Impact FC H 2–1 W
12 Jul New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
06 Jul Nashville SC A 0–1 L
29 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 0–1 L
26 Jun Chicago Fire FC A 1–0 W
14 Jun Charlotte FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Philadelphia Union A 1–2 L
12 Jul Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
05 Jul Internacional CF Miami H 1–4 L
28 Jun New York City FC H 1–0 W
25 Jun FC Cincinnati H 1–3 L
15 Jun Houston Dynamo A 3–1 W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union Montreal Impact FC
#15 Position #12
7 Points 14
15 Played 14
1 / 4 / 10 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 8
18 Scored 22
30 Conceded 31
-12 GD -9
0.47 PPG 1.00
7% Win % 29%

Key Stats

76% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
82% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
36% Clean Sheets
Montreal Impact FC this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). Montreal Impact FC are 12th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Montreal Impact FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/1
61-75
/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Montreal Impact FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union50% Draw23% Montreal Impact FC27%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
73%
Draw or Montreal Impact FC
50%
Philadelphia Union or Montreal Impact FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union34% Draw41% Montreal Impact FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push Montreal Impact FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 19% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
22%
Montreal Impact FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.