Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

4 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Omir Fernandez

Jacob Glesnes 29' 1–1

Damion Lowe 57' 2–1

Julian Carranza 58' 3–1

Daniel Gazdag 76' 4–1

Y 6' Sean Nealis

Y 24' Andres Reyes

Damion Lowe 37' Y

YR 44' Sean Nealis

Jack McGlynn 45' Y

Alejandro Bedoya 80' Y

Tai Baribo 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 19 games · Avg 2.3 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2022-05-14 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	4–1	W
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W
09 Jul	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–3	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
30 Aug	New England Revolution	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–2	L
20 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York Red Bulls
#13	Position	#8
16	Points	25
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 4 / 7
25	Scored	29
33	Conceded	39
-8	GD	-10
0.89	PPG	1.39
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

37% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

26% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

16% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

1/5

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	9 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Philadelphia Union get us underway at Subaru Park.
5' Daniel Edelman has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
6' It’s a booking for New York Red Bulls player. Sean Nealis gets a card.
11' Brilliant from the ! Omir Fernandez makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
21' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
24' Andres Reyes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 24.
29' What composure from Jacob Glesnes! The Norway international strokes it home. 1-1.
34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Damion Lowe on 37 minutes.
42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
44' Poor challenge from Sean Nealis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
45' Jack McGlynn catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
46' Kyle Duncan gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Elias Manoel and will look to change the dynamic.
51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gerhard Struber will be considering his options from the bench.
56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering New York Red Bulls that had 286 games and scored 422 goals.
57' What a strike from Damion Lowe! The score is 2-1.
58' What a moment for Julian Carranza! That strike on 58 puts his side firmly in control.
63' England international Jack Elliott has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
68' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
69' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Andres Reyes has done his job and it is now time for Hassan Ndam to step up.
70' Peter Stroud gets the nod from New York Red Bulls. He replaces Omir Fernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
72' Tai Baribo is replacing Mikkel Uhre for the Philadelphia Union side.
76' GOAL! Daniel Gazdag fires home to make it 4-1!
77' Jeremy Rafanello is replacing Daniel Gazdag for the Philadelphia Union side.
80' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Alejandro Bedoya gets a card.
83' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Tom Barlow has done his job and it is now time for Jorge Hurtado to step up.
85' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tai Baribo on 85 minutes.
85' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Julian Carranza departs to be replaced by Quinn Sullivan.
90' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

16
Dru Yearwood
18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 46'
98
Hassan Ndam ↑ 69'
12
Dylan Nealis
19
Wikelmann Carmona
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 70'
9
Jorge Hurtado ↑ 83'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Ilsinho	2
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2
Omir Fernandez	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-09 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 Philadelphia Union L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-26 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2023-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–0 D.C. United SC W 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.38 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.26 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union63% Draw20% New York Red Bulls17%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.64

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

83%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

37%

Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls

80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union45% Draw38% New York Red Bulls17%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.1%

1 – 1

8.7%

2 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

7.1%

1 – 0

5.8%

3 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 2

4.5%

4 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3.9%

4 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	18%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	21%	39%
-0.5	61%	—	39%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	11%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.