Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

4 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Omir Fernandez

Jacob Glesnes 29' 1–1

Damion Lowe 57' 2–1

Julian Carranza 58' 3–1

Daniel Gazdag 76' 4–1

Y 6' Sean Nealis

Y 24' Andres Reyes

Damion Lowe 37' Y

YR 44' Sean Nealis

Jack McGlynn 45' Y

Alejandro Bedoya 80' Y

Tai Baribo 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2022-05-14 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	4–1	W
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W
09 Jul	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–3	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
30 Aug	New England Revolution	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–2	L
20 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#10
39	Points	33
27	Played	26
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
54	Scored	34
44	Conceded	48
+10	GD	-14
1.44	PPG	1.27
41%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

23% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

6/4

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/6

46-60

5/8

61-75

2/6

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	10 G	2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	7 G

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — let the football do the talking.
5' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. New York Red Bulls seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
6' The referee has no hesitation. Sean Nealis is booked for New York Red Bulls — card on 6.
11' GOAL! Omir Fernandez scores on 11. Assisted by Andres Reyes
16' Luquinhas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York Red Bulls tonight.
21' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
24' New York Red Bulls player sees a card in front of him.
29' Jacob Glesnes does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
34' Damion Lowe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 27 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
37' Poor challenge from Damion Lowe. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
42' Over 42 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
44' Sean Nealis was booked on 44.
45' Philadelphia Union player sees a card in front of him.
46' Elias Manoel makes way for Kyle Duncan at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York Red Bulls.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Cameron Harper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
56' Daniel Gazdag has been relatively quiet despite scoring 66 goals in his last 95 appearances.
57' A stunning finish from Damion Lowe — that came from absolutely nowhere!
58' The deadlock is broken! Julian Carranza gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
63' Elias Manoel needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
68' Hassan Ndam has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
69' The supporters are chanting for Hassan Ndam. He replaces Andres Reyes on 69 minute.
70' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Omir Fernandez departs to be replaced by Peter Stroud.
72' Tai Baribo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Uhre at the 72 minute mark.
76' Daniel Gazdag does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
77' Jeremy Rafanello is replacing Daniel Gazdag for the Philadelphia Union side.
80' Alejandro Bedoya is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
83' Jorge Hurtado is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Barlow at the 83 minute mark.
85' Tai Baribo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
85' Quinn Sullivan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Julian Carranza at the 85 minute mark.
90' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
Philadelphia Union celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

16
Dru Yearwood
18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 46'
98
Hassan Ndam ↑ 69'
12
Dylan Nealis
19
Wikelmann Carmona
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 70'
9
Jorge Hurtado ↑ 83'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Tom Barlow	2
Sergio Santos	2
Omir Fernandez	2
Kaku	2
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-09 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 Philadelphia Union L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-26 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2023-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–0 D.C. United SC W 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.63 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union69% Draw18% New York Red Bulls13%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

87%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

31%

Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union52% Draw36% New York Red Bulls12%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.1%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 1

7.8%

3 – 0

7.7%

3 – 1

7.7%

1 – 0

6.6%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 0

3.8%

1 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	30%	—	70%
-2	30%	20%	50%
-1.5	50%	—	50%
-1	50%	21%	30%
-0.5	70%	—	30%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.