Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

Philadelphia Union

4 – 1

Full Time

New York Red Bulls

Sun 3 Sep 2023 · 23:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 11' Omir Fernandez

Jacob Glesnes 29' 1–1

Damion Lowe 57' 2–1

Julian Carranza 58' 3–1

Daniel Gazdag 76' 4–1

Y 6' Sean Nealis

Y 24' Andres Reyes

Damion Lowe 37' Y

YR 44' Sean Nealis

Jack McGlynn 45' Y

Alejandro Bedoya 80' Y

Tai Baribo 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals New York Red Bulls

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls 2023-05-06 New York Red Bulls 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2022-09-03 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union 2022-05-14 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New York Red Bulls 2021-09-29 New York Red Bulls 1–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	New York Red Bulls	H	4–1	W
30 Aug	Toronto FC	A	1–3	L
26 Aug	D.C. United SC	A	3–1	W
15 Jul	New York City FC	H	2–1	W
13 Jul	Nashville SC	A	2–0	W
09 Jul	Los Angeles Galaxy	A	1–3	L

New York Red Bulls

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Sep	Philadelphia Union	A	1–4	L
30 Aug	New England Revolution	A	0–1	L
26 Aug	Internacional CF Miami	H	0–2	L
20 Aug	D.C. United SC	H	1–0	W
16 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–3	L
12 Jul	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		New York Red Bulls
#6	Position	#11
50	Points	42
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16
66	Scored	48
52	Conceded	62
+14	GD	-14
1.47	PPG	1.24
41%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

30% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

24% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

New York Red Bulls

0-15

7/7

16-30

4/3

31-45

8/7

46-60

7/10

61-75

4/6

76+

8/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

New York Red Bulls

Julian Hall	13 G	3 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba	8 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Philadelphia Union have kicked off against New York Red Bulls. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
6' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sean Nealis on 6.
11' New York Red Bulls is taking the lead after the goal scored by Omir Fernandez on 11.
16' Peter Stroud has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
21' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gerhard Struber will be considering his options from the bench.
24' A meaty challenge results in booking for Andres Reyes on 24.
29' The deadlock is broken! Jacob Glesnes gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
34' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
37' A moment of madness from Damion Lowe on 37 minutes earns him a card. Philadelphia Union will be frustrated.
42' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Milan Iloski scoring 2 goals.
44' That looks like a foul for a card for Sean Nealis.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Jack McGlynn is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 45.
46' New York Red Bulls ring the changes. Elias Manoel has done his job and it is now time for Kyle Duncan to step up.
51' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
56' With 0 assists to his name this season, Carlos Coronel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
57' Damion Lowe makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
58' Julian Carranza has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 58 minutes.
63' It’s high time Gerhard Struber made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
68' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
69' The crowd applauds Andres Reyes as he leaves the pitch. Hassan Ndam steps in for New York Red Bulls.
70' Peter Stroud is replacing Omir Fernandez for the New York Red Bulls side.
72' The whistle greets Mikkel Uhre as he departs to be replaced by Tai Baribo.
76' Daniel Gazdag doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
77' Philadelphia Union ring the changes. Daniel Gazdag has done his job and it is now time for Jeremy Rafanello to step up.
80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alejandro Bedoya.
83' Jorge Hurtado is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tom Barlow at the 83 minute mark.
85' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Tai Baribo gets a card.
85' The whistle greets Julian Carranza as he departs to be replaced by Quinn Sullivan.
90' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Philadelphia Union and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
Game over. The scoreline of 4-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

New York Red Bulls Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

16
Dru Yearwood
18
Ryan Meara
6
Kyle Duncan ↑ 46'
98
Hassan Ndam ↑ 69'
12
Dylan Nealis
19
Wikelmann Carmona
5
Peter Stroud ↑ 70'
9
Jorge Hurtado ↑ 83'

Coach Gerhard Struber

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Daniel Gazdag	4
Patryk Klimala	3
Indiana Vassilev	2
Kacper Przybylko	2
Milan Iloski	2
Ilsinho	2
Neil Pierre	2
Tom Barlow	2

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls W 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union L 2023-08-26 D.C. United SC 1–3 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-15 Philadelphia Union 2–1 New York City FC W 2023-07-13 Nashville SC 0–2 Philadelphia Union W 2023-07-09 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 Philadelphia Union L

New York Red Bulls Form

2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls L 2023-08-26 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2023-08-20 New York Red Bulls 1–0 D.C. United SC W 2023-07-16 Real Salt Lake 3–1 New York Red Bulls L 2023-07-12 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.56 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 New York Red Bulls xG

I would bet for: Philadelphia Union to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union69% Draw18% New York Red Bulls13%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

87%

Draw or New York Red Bulls

31%

Philadelphia Union or New York Red Bulls

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union51% Draw36% New York Red Bulls13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

1 – 1

3 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

7.6%

1 – 0

6.9%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

4.8%

2 – 2

4.6%

0 – 0

3 – 2

3.9%

1 – 2

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5	28%	—	72%
-2	28%	20%	52%
-1.5	48%	—	52%
-1	48%	21%	31%
-0.5	69%	—	31%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	8%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.