FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov, RFPL 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov — RFPL at Stadion Gazovik.
- FK Orenburg 30 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- FK Rostov 30 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | FK Rostov | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Oct | FK Fakel Voronezh | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Sep | FK Nizhny Novgorod | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | FK Orenburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Oct | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Oct | RFK Akhmat Grozny | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Oct | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Sep | FK Ural | H | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Sep | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| FK Orenburg | FK Rostov | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #10 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 8 / 15 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 13 |
| 29 | Scored | 25 |
| 44 | Conceded | 32 |
| -15 | GD | -7 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.10 |
| 23% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
FK Orenburg this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FK Rostov this season
FK Rostov this season
FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). FK Rostov are 10th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FK Orenburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FK Rostov
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FK Orenburg vs FK Rostov — let the football do the talking.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. David Deogracia might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Russia international Yaroslav Mikhailov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' FK Orenburg is showing some good football. However, FK Orenburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 20' It’s high time David Deogracia made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 32' FK Orenburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Ilya Vakhania has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Vladimir Obukhov.
- 50' FK Orenburg receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
- 55' The home supporters are growing impatient. FK Orenburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' Nikolay Komlichenko gets the nod from FK Rostov. He replaces Aleksey Ionov and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' It looks like no one’s ball. FK Orenburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 67' Time for substitution for FK Orenburg. Vladimir Obukhov is replaced by Feyttullah Gurluk.
- 71' FK Orenburg is taking the lead after the goal scored by Dmitry Vorobyev on 71.
- 76' Controversy at the stadium! Jimmy Marin argues furiously but the card stands.
- 77' A moment of madness from Khoren Bairamyan on 77 minutes earns him a card. FK Rostov will be frustrated.
- 77' FK Rostov make a change. Evgeniy Chernov trudges off to be replaced by Andrey Langovich on 77 minutes.
- 79' Ivan Basic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jimmy Marin at the 79 minute mark.
- 81' It is a substitution in FK Rostov team. Khoren Bairamyan is replaced by Ivan Komarov on 81 minute.
- 83' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Brian Mansilla has done his job and it is now time for Justin Cuero to step up.
- 84' FK Orenburg ring the changes. Cesar Florentin has done his job and it is now time for Yaroslav Mikhailov to step up.
- 89' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 89.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Brian Mansilla is booked for FK Orenburg — card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FK Orenburg Lineups
Starting XI
-
80
Jimmy Marin ↓ Ivan Basic 79'
- 21
- 99
- 5
-
10
Dmitry Vorobyev ↓ Yuriy Kovalev 79'
- 13
- 22
- 6
- 23
- 3
-
9
Brian Mansilla ↓ Justin Cuero 83'
Bench
- 2
- 90
- 38
-
8
Ivan Basic ↑ 79'
- 4
-
–
Yaroslav Mikhailov ↑ 84'
-
17
Yuriy Kovalev ↑ 79'
-
7
Feyttullah Gurluk ↑ 67'
- 81
- –
-
–
Justin Cuero ↑ 83'
Coach
David Deogracia
FK Rostov Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
- 15
- 30
- 55
- 69
- 28
- 9
- 88
- 5
-
19
Khoren Bairamyan ↓ Ivan Komarov 81'
- 40
Bench
- 1
- 23
-
7
Roman Akbashev ↑ 57'
-
27
Nikolay Komlichenko ↑ 57'
- 18
-
62
Ivan Komarov ↑ 81'
-
87
Andrey Langovich ↑ 77'
- 58
- 67
- 60
- –
Coach
Valeriy Karpin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikolay Komlichenko | 5 |
| Ronaldo | 2 |
| Brian Mansilla | 2 |
| Maksim Osipenko | 2 |
| Dmitry Vorobyev | 1 |
| Eldor Shomurodov | 1 |
| Jordhy Thompson | 1 |
| Dmitri Vorobyov | 1 |
Head to Head
FK Orenburg Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
FK Rostov xG
I would bet for:
FK Orenburg or FK Rostov 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
FK Orenburg or Draw
66%
Draw or FK Rostov
64%
FK Orenburg or FK Rostov
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
7.4%
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg
| Handicap | FK Orenburg covers | Push | FK Rostov covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 19% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FK Rostov keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

