Sunday , 16 August 2026

FK Orenburg vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
4 1
Full Time
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 11:00 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK SochiRFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PFK Sochi H 4–1 W
18 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–0 W
11 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–8 L
03 Sep FK Khimki H 3–1 W
28 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–5 L
21 Aug FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct FK Orenburg A 1–4 L
18 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–1 D
09 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–1 W
03 Sep FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
26 Aug FK Khimki H 4–1 W
20 Aug FK Rostov A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg PFK Sochi
#12 Position #16
29 Points 22
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
29 Scored 29
44 Conceded 60
-15 GD -31
0.97 PPG 0.73
23% Win % 20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FK Orenburg get us underway at Gazovik Stadium.
  • 3' The Russia Timur Ayupov breaks the deadlock on 3 minutes. 1-0!
  • 8' PFK Sochi come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 13' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 18' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FK Orenburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 21' Goal! Cesar Florentin scores his 8 goal in 170 matches.
  • 26' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Vladislav Sarveli.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Georgii Melkadze on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. PFK Sochi will be frustrated.
  • 29' It’s a booking for FK Orenburg player. Mateo Stamatov gets a Yellow card.
  • 31' FK Orenburg receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' PFK Sochi are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' PFK Sochi fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 43' Poor challenge from Moussa Sissako. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Red card.
  • 44' Vladimir Sychevoi adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 46' PFK Sochi manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Dordevic is hanging Georgii Melkadze on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' The PFK Sochi manager makes a substitution. Joaozinho departs to be replaced by Igor Yurganov.
  • 51' A moment of madness from Danila Khotulev on 51 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FK Orenburg will be frustrated.
  • 53' Jimmy Marin adds to his 0 season tally! FK Orenburg lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FK Orenburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Ivan Basic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Cesar Florentin at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' Aleksey Kenyaykin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FK Orenburg so far.
  • 69' GOAL! Timofey Shipunov scores on 69.
  • 71' Kirill Kaplenko is ready to make an impact after coming on for Timur Ayupov at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' The 35-year-old Ibragim Tsallagov has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 79' The PFK Sochi manager makes a substitution. Timofey Shipunov departs to be replaced by Kirill Kravtsov.
  • 82' Time for substitution for PFK Sochi. Ibragim Tsallagov is replaced by Amir Batyrev.
  • 87' FK Orenburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 87.
  • Another three points for FK Orenburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg56% Draw22% PFK Sochi22%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
78%
Draw or PFK Sochi
44%
FK Orenburg or PFK Sochi
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg43% Draw38% PFK Sochi19%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
26%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.