Thursday , 2 July 2026

FK Orenburg vs PFK Sochi, RFPL 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2022-23
4 1
Full Time
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 11:00 UTC Gazovik Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs PFK SochiRFPL at Gazovik Stadium.

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct PFK Sochi H 4–1 W
18 Sep FK Nizhny Novgorod A 2–0 W
11 Sep FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg A 0–8 L
03 Sep FK Khimki H 3–1 W
28 Aug FK Lokomotiv Moskva A 1–5 L
21 Aug FK Krasnodar A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct FK Orenburg A 1–4 L
18 Sep FK Fakel Voronezh H 1–1 D
09 Sep FK Dinamo Moskva H 2–1 W
03 Sep FK Krasnodar A 1–2 L
26 Aug FK Khimki H 4–1 W
20 Aug FK Rostov A 2–2 D

Season Stats

FK Orenburg PFK Sochi
#12 Position #16
29 Points 22
30 Played 30
7 / 8 / 15 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 20
29 Scored 29
44 Conceded 60
-15 GD -31
0.97 PPG 0.73
23% Win % 20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
FK Orenburg this season
13% Clean Sheets
PFK Sochi this season

FK Orenburg are 12th (29 pts). PFK Sochi are 16th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FK Orenburg
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PFK Sochi
0-15
2/1
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Gazovik Stadium. FK Orenburg are looking to make home advantage count against PFK Sochi.
  • 3' Timur Ayupov puts FK Orenburg on the lead.
  • 8' Vladimir Sychevoi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 342 appearances.
  • 13' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FK Orenburg and PFK Sochi are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 18' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 21' Cesar Florentin doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 26' Vladislav Sarveli was booked on 26.
  • 27' Georgii Melkadze picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 29' Mateo Stamatov was booked on 29.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Vladimir Sychevoi.
  • 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Licka might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 41' Timofei Margasov needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Moussa Sissako on 43 minutes.
  • 44' A goal from the international Vladimir Sychevoi! He fires home on 44 to make it 3-0!
  • 46' PFK Sochi manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Luka Dordevic is hanging Georgii Melkadze on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' A tactical swap from PFK SochiIgor Yurganov on, Joaozinho off on 47 minutes.
  • 51' Danila Khotulev was booked on 51.
  • 53' GOAL! Jimmy Marin fires home to make it 4-0!
  • 58' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ibragim Tsallagov, as he is very good at scoring at Gazovik Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 62' Cesar Florentin makes way for Ivan Basic at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from FK Orenburg.
  • 67' Over 67 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 69' What a moment for Timofey Shipunov! That strike on 69 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 71' Kirill Kaplenko gets the nod from FK Orenburg. He replaces Timur Ayupov and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' PFK Sochi come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 79' PFK Sochi manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kirill Kravtsov is hanging Timofey Shipunov on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' It is a substitution in PFK Sochi team. Ibragim Tsallagov is replaced by Amir Batyrev on 82 minute.
  • 87' FK Orenburg are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against PFK Sochi's shape.
  • Another three points for FK Orenburg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.33 FK Orenburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 PFK Sochi xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg56% Draw22% PFK Sochi22%
Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw
78%
Draw or PFK Sochi
44%
FK Orenburg or PFK Sochi
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FK Orenburg43% Draw38% PFK Sochi19%
Actual: FK Orenburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
3.8%
4 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap FK Orenburg covers Push PFK Sochi covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet
26%
PFK Sochi keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.