Watford FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Watford FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Oxford United FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship .

Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Lewis Smith

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Watford FC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Oxford United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Watford FC 2–1 Oxford United FC 2025-03-15 Oxford United FC 1–0 Watford FC 2024-11-08 Watford FC 1–0 Oxford United FC

Recent Form

Watford FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Oxford United FC	H	2–1	W
01 Oct	Portsmouth FC	A	2–2	D
27 Sep	Hull City AFC	H	2–1	W
22 Sep	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
13 Sep	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Southampton FC	H	2–2	D

Oxford United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Watford FC	A	1–2	L
01 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	0–0	D
27 Sep	Sheffield United FC	H	0–1	L
21 Sep	Bristol City FC	A	3–1	W
13 Sep	Leicester City FC	H	2–2	D
30 Aug	Coventry City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Watford FC		Oxford United FC
#16	Position	#22
57	Points	47
46	Played	46
14 / 15 / 17	W / D / L	11 / 14 / 21
53	Scored	45
65	Conceded	59
-12	GD	-14
1.24	PPG	1.02
30%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Oxford United FC are 22nd (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Watford FC and Oxford United FC.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mark Harris	1
Myles Peart-Harris	1
Vakoun Issouf Bayo	1
Siriki Dembele	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.28 Watford FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.02 Oxford United FC xG

I would bet for: Watford FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Watford FC45% Draw29% Oxford United FC26%

Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	67%	33%
± 2.5	40%	60%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Oxford United FC

55%

Watford FC or Oxford United FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Watford FC28% Draw51% Oxford United FC21%

Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

12.3%

1 – 0

11.7%

0 – 1

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

3.5%

3 – 0

3.3%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap	Watford FC covers	Push	Oxford United FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	22%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.