Sunday , 16 August 2026

Oxford United FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Derby County FC H 1–0 W
04 Oct Watford FC A 1–2 L
01 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
27 Sep Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Bristol City FC A 3–1 W
13 Sep Leicester City FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
04 Oct Southampton FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
13 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Oxford United FC Derby County FC
#4 Position #23
47 Points 0
46 Played 0
11 / 14 / 21 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
59 Conceded 0
-14 GD +0
1.02 PPG
24% Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Oxford United FC are 4th (47 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Oxford United FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.51 Oxford United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.4 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 93% + Under — clean sheet likely 84%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC36% Draw44% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes16% 0% No84%
Avg goals/match: 0.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 57%
43%
± 1.5 25%
75%
± 2.5 7%
93%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 0%
100%

Double Chance

Oxford United FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
64%
Oxford United FC or Derby County FC
56%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Oxford United FC14% Draw75% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
42.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
14.1%
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
2.7%
2 – 1
2.5%
1 – 2
1.9%
3 – 0
0.8%
2 – 2
0.7%
3 – 1
0.4%
0 – 3
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Oxford United FC

Handicap Oxford United FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 21% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 16% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
67%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.