Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Jupiler Pro League · 2024-25

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

1 – 0

Full Time

KV Mechelen

Fri 31 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Den Dreef HT 45' · FT 45'

Ezechiel Banzuzi 1' Y

Y 35' Ahmed Touba

Birger Verstraete 36' Y

Y 40' Fredrik Hammar

Ezechiel Banzuzi 44' YR

Y 56' Rob Schoofs

Y 89' Kerim Mrabti

Tobe Leysen 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Den Dreef.

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
KV Mechelen 30 games · 45 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jasper Vergoote

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	30	66
2	Club Brugge KV	30	63
3	K. Sint-Truidense VV	30	57
4	KAA Gent	30	45
5	KV Mechelen	30	45
6	RSC Anderlecht	30	44
7	KRC Genk	30	42
8	Royal Standard de Liege	30	40
9	KVC Westerlo	30	39
10	Royal Antwerp FC	30	35
11	Sporting du Pays de Charleroi	30	34
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	34
13	SV Zulte-Waregem	30	32
14	UR La Louviere Centre	30	31
15	Cercle Brugge KSV	30	31
16	FC Verbroedering Dender EH	30	19

Head-to-Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 games · Avg 2.7 goals KV Mechelen

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-31 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen 2024-10-05 KV Mechelen 5–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2024-03-17 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen 2023-09-23 KV Mechelen 1–2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2023-04-08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4–1 KV Mechelen

Recent Form

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	KV Mechelen	H	1–0	W
26 Jan	KAA Gent	H	0–0	D
19 Jan	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	KRC Genk	A	0–2	L
27 Dec	Beerschot VA	H	2–0	W
22 Dec	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	0–1	L

KV Mechelen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	RSC Anderlecht	A	1–4	L
18 Jan	KRC Genk	H	1–2	L
12 Jan	Cercle Brugge KSV	A	0–1	L
26 Dec	Royal Standard de Liege	H	0–0	D
20 Dec	KVC Westerlo	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Oud-Heverlee Leuven		KV Mechelen
#12	Position	#5
34	Points	45
30	Played	30
9 / 7 / 14	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 9
32	Scored	39
43	Conceded	37
-11	GD	+2
1.13	PPG	1.50
30%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts). KV Mechelen are 5th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Oud-Heverlee Leuven and KV Mechelen is underway.
1' That is a card for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Ezechiel Banzuzi will be fuming at that decision.
6' What composure from Stefan Mitrovic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 1-0.
11' Tobe Leysen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
16' KV Mechelen have won 299 goals from 223 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
21' KV Mechelen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
26' Ortwin De Wolf has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 30 appearances.
31' Both keepers have barely been tested. Oud-Heverlee Leuven and KV Mechelen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
35' The referee calls foul for Ahmed Touba. He receives a card.
36' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Birger Verstraete on 36 minutes.
40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Fredrik Hammar on 40 minutes.
44' A moment of madness from Ezechiel Banzuzi on 44 minutes earns him a card. Oud-Heverlee Leuven will be frustrated.
49' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
51' KV Mechelen make a change. Bill Antonio trudges off to be replaced by Geoffry Hairemans on 51 minutes.
56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Rob Schoofs.
61' Oud-Heverlee Leuven is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
62' KV Mechelen ring the changes. Ahmed Touba has done his job and it is now time for Patrick Pflucke to step up.
65' The whistle greets Konan N'Dri as he departs to be replaced by Wouter George.
70' A tactical swap from KV Mechelen — Bilal Bafdili on, Keano Vanrafelghem off on 70 minutes.
75' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
77' Another change for Oud-Heverlee Leuven made on 77 minute. Stefan Mitrovic leaves to be changed by Youssef Maziz.
79' The whistle greets Rafik Belghali as he departs to be replaced by Petter Dahl.
81' A tactical swap from Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Manuel Osifo on, Thibault Vlietinck off on 81 minutes.
86' KV Mechelen are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
89' Kerim Mrabti catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Tobe Leysen argues furiously but the card stands.
It finishes all square. Oud-Heverlee Leuven and KV Mechelen share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups

Starting XI

77
Thibault Vlietinck ↓ Manuel Osifo 81'
8
Siebe Schrijvers
14
Federico Ricca
5
Takuma Ominami
4
Birger Verstraete
1
Tobe Leysen
23
Stefan Mitrovic ↓ Youssef Maziz 77'
30
Takahiro Akimoto
11
Konan N'Dri ↓ Wouter George 65'
9
Lequincio Zeefuik ↓ Ewoud Pletinckx 65'
6
Ezechiel Banzuzi

Bench

KV Mechelen Lineups

Starting XI

20
Lion Lauberbach
1
Ortwin De Wolf
19
Kerim Mrabti
16
Rob Schoofs
33
Fredrik Hammar ↓ Nikola Storm 62'
4
Toon Raemaekers
6
Ahmed Touba ↓ Patrick Pflucke 62'
3
Jose Marsa
38
Bill Antonio ↓ Geoffry Hairemans 51'
17
Rafik Belghali ↓ Petter Dahl 79'
27
Keano Vanrafelghem ↓ Bilal Bafdili 70'

Bench

14
Benito Raman
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↑ 51'
21
Stephen Welsh
77
Patrick Pflucke ↑ 62'
11
Nikola Storm ↑ 62'
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 70'
32
Aziz Ouattara
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 79'
22
Nacho Miras

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mousa Ta'mari	2
Mathieu Maertens	2
Kerim Mrabti	2
Nathaniel Opoku	2
Casper De Norre	2
Rob Schoofs	1
Nikola Storm	1
Bilal Bafdili	1

Head to Head

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form

2025-01-31 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen W 2025-01-26 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0–0 KAA Gent D 2025-01-19 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2025-01-11 KRC Genk 2–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L 2024-12-27 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2–0 Beerschot VA W 2024-12-22 Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven L

KV Mechelen Form

2025-01-31 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1–0 KV Mechelen L 2025-01-26 RSC Anderlecht 4–1 KV Mechelen L 2025-01-18 KV Mechelen 1–2 KRC Genk L 2025-01-12 Cercle Brugge KSV 1–0 KV Mechelen L 2024-12-26 KV Mechelen 0–0 Royal Standard de Liege D 2024-12-20 KVC Westerlo 1–1 KV Mechelen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.34 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 KV Mechelen xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Oud-Heverlee Leuven48% Draw28% KV Mechelen24%

Actual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw

75%

Draw or KV Mechelen

52%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Oud-Heverlee Leuven30% Draw50% KV Mechelen20%

Actual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.8%

0 – 0

11.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

8.5%

2 – 1

8.3%

2 – 0

8.1%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Handicap	Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers	Push	KV Mechelen covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	22%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.