Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Den Dreef.
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- KV Mechelen 11 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jasper Vergoote
6 games this season
🟨 5.2/game
⚽ 14.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | KAA Gent | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | RSC Anderlecht | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Lommel SK | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | KRC Genk | 11 | 15 |
| 8 | Royal Standard de Liège | 11 | 15 |
| 9 | KVC Westerlo | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp FC | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SK Beveren | 11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 9 |
| 17 | UR La Louviere Centre | 11 | 7 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 11 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | KV Mechelen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | KAA Gent | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jan | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | KRC Genk | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Dec | Beerschot VA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Cercle Brugge KSV | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jan | RSC Anderlecht | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Jan | KRC Genk | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Cercle Brugge KSV | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Royal Standard de Liège | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | KVC Westerlo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 12 | Points | 12 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 3 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 5 |
| 12 | Scored | 13 |
| 17 | Conceded | 20 |
| -5 | GD | -7 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.09 |
| 27% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven this season
Oud-Heverlee Leuven this season
18%
Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
KV Mechelen this season
Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 10th (12 pts). KV Mechelen are 11th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/2
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
| Davis Opoku | 3 G | 2 A |
| Wouter George | 2 G | 3 A |
| Oscar Gil Regano | 1 G |
KV Mechelen
| Myron van Brederode | 4 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Den Dreef as Oud-Heverlee Leuven face off against KV Mechelen in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 1' The referee has no hesitation. Ezechiel Banzuzi is booked for Oud-Heverlee Leuven — card on 1.
- 6' What composure from Stefan Mitrovic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 16' The travelling KV Mechelen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 21' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 26' The home supporters are growing impatient. Oud-Heverlee Leuven must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Oud-Heverlee Leuven and KV Mechelen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Ahmed Touba.
- 36' Oud-Heverlee Leuven receives a card for a hard tackle on 36.
- 40' Fredrik Hammar picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 44' Oud-Heverlee Leuven player sees a card in front of him.
- 49' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 51' KV Mechelen make a change. Bill Antonio trudges off to be replaced by Geoffry Hairemans on 51 minutes.
- 56' Rob Schoofs catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 56.
- 61' KV Mechelen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 62' Time for substitution for KV Mechelen. Ahmed Touba is replaced by Patrick Pflucke.
- 65' Another substitution for Oud-Heverlee Leuven to replace Konan N'Dri by Wouter George on 65 minute.
- 70' Bilal Bafdili is ready to make an impact after coming on for Keano Vanrafelghem at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 77' Another change for Oud-Heverlee Leuven made on 77 minute. Stefan Mitrovic leaves to be changed by Youssef Maziz.
- 79' Petter Dahl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafik Belghali at the 79 minute mark.
- 81' Manuel Osifo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thibault Vlietinck on 81 minute.
- 86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 89' The referee calls foul for Kerim Mrabti. He receives a card.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Tobe Leysen argues furiously but the card stands.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Oud-Heverlee Leuven take all three points.
Lineups
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 8
- 14
- 5
- 4
- 1
-
23
Stefan Mitrovic ↓ Youssef Maziz 77'
- 30
-
11
Konan N'Dri ↓ Wouter George 65'
- 9
- 6
Bench
- 16
-
28
Ewoud Pletinckx ↑ 65'
- 21
-
10
Youssef Maziz ↑ 77'
-
55
Wouter George ↑ 65'
- 61
-
25
Manuel Osifo ↑ 81'
- 40
- 34
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 19
- 16
-
33
Fredrik Hammar ↓ Nikola Storm 62'
- 4
-
6
Ahmed Touba ↓ Patrick Pflucke 62'
- 3
- 38
-
17
Rafik Belghali ↓ Petter Dahl 79'
- 27
Bench
- 14
-
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↑ 51'
- 21
-
77
Patrick Pflucke ↑ 62'
-
11
Nikola Storm ↑ 62'
-
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 70'
- 32
-
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 79'
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mousa Ta'mari | 2 |
| Mathieu Maertens | 2 |
| Kerim Mrabti | 2 |
| Nathaniel Opoku | 2 |
| Casper De Norre | 2 |
| Rob Schoofs | 1 |
| Nikola Storm | 1 |
| Bilal Bafdili | 1 |
Head to Head
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form
2025-01-31
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0
KV Mechelen
W
2025-01-26
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0–0
KAA Gent
D
2025-01-19
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
2025-01-11
KRC Genk
2–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
2024-12-27
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2–0
Beerschot VA
W
2024-12-22
Cercle Brugge KSV
1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9
KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw
79%
Draw or KV Mechelen
47%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven
| Handicap | Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers | Push | KV Mechelen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 24% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.