Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs KV Mechelen — Jupiler League at Den Dreef.
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- KV Mechelen 7 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jasper Vergoote
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | KAA Gent | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Sporting du Pays de Charleroi | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | RSC Anderlecht | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | SV Zulte-Waregem | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Royal Standard de Liège | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | KVC Westerlo | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | KRC Genk | 7 | 9 |
| 10 | SK Beveren | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | K. Sint-Truidense VV | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Lommel SK | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Royal Antwerp FC | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | UR La Louvière Centre | 7 | 4 |
| 15 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 7 | 3 |
| 17 | KV Mechelen | 7 | 3 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | KV Mechelen | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jan | KAA Gent | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jan | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | KRC Genk | A | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Dec | Beerschot VA | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | Cercle Brugge KSV | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jan | RSC Anderlecht | A | 1–4 | L |
| 18 Jan | KRC Genk | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jan | Cercle Brugge KSV | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | Royal Standard de Liège | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Dec | KVC Westerlo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #17 |
| 4 | Points | 3 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 1 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 4 |
| 5 | Scored | 5 |
| 13 | Conceded | 14 |
| -8 | GD | -9 |
| 0.57 | PPG | 0.43 |
| 14% | Win % | 0% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Oud-Heverlee Leuven this season
Oud-Heverlee Leuven this season
14%
Clean Sheets
KV Mechelen this season
KV Mechelen this season
Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 15th (4 pts). KV Mechelen are 17th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
KV Mechelen
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/5
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
| Wouter George | 2 G | 1 A |
| Oscar Gil Regano | 1 G |
KV Mechelen
| Myron van Brederode | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Oud-Heverlee Leuven launch into their encounter with KV Mechelen.
- 1' Ezechiel Banzuzi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 1.
- 6' Stefan Mitrovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
- 11' Bilal Bafdili, a Belgium , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 16' Oud-Heverlee Leuven are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 21' Takuma Ominami has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
- 26' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Oud-Heverlee Leuven and KV Mechelen are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 31' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 35' Ahmed Touba picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 36' The referee shows Oud-Heverlee Leuven player a card on 36.
- 40' Controversy at the stadium! Fredrik Hammar argues furiously but the card stands.
- 44' That looks like a foul for a card for Ezechiel Banzuzi.
- 49' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lequincio Zeefuik suffering a number of foals already.
- 51' Geoffry Hairemans has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bill Antonio on 51 minute.
- 56' It’s gonna be a card for Rob Schoofs.
- 61' Oud-Heverlee Leuven started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 61.
- 62' Ahmed Touba makes way for Patrick Pflucke at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from KV Mechelen.
- 65' Time for substitution for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Konan N'Dri is replaced by Wouter George.
- 70' Keano Vanrafelghem makes way for Bilal Bafdili at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from KV Mechelen.
- 75' Lion Lauberbach is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Oud-Heverlee Leuven so far.
- 77' Fresh legs for Oud-Heverlee Leuven! Youssef Maziz comes on to replace Stefan Mitrovic.
- 79' Time for substitution for KV Mechelen. Rafik Belghali is replaced by Petter Dahl.
- 81' Oud-Heverlee Leuven make a change. Thibault Vlietinck trudges off to be replaced by Manuel Osifo on 81 minutes.
- 86' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nikola Storm is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Oud-Heverlee Leuven.
- 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kerim Mrabti.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Tobe Leysen.
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
- 8
- 14
- 5
- 4
- 1
-
23
Stefan Mitrovic ↓ Youssef Maziz 77'
- 30
-
11
Konan N'Dri ↓ Wouter George 65'
- 9
- 6
Bench
- 16
-
28
Ewoud Pletinckx ↑ 65'
- 21
-
10
Youssef Maziz ↑ 77'
-
55
Wouter George ↑ 65'
- 61
-
25
Manuel Osifo ↑ 81'
- 40
- 34
KV Mechelen Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 19
- 16
-
33
Fredrik Hammar ↓ Nikola Storm 62'
- 4
-
6
Ahmed Touba ↓ Patrick Pflucke 62'
- 3
- 38
-
17
Rafik Belghali ↓ Petter Dahl 79'
- 27
Bench
- 14
-
7
Geoffry Hairemans ↑ 51'
- 21
-
77
Patrick Pflucke ↑ 62'
-
11
Nikola Storm ↑ 62'
-
35
Bilal Bafdili ↑ 70'
- 32
-
10
Petter Dahl ↑ 79'
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Casper De Norre | 2 |
| Mousa Ta'mari | 2 |
| Mathieu Maertens | 2 |
| Kerim Mrabti | 2 |
| Nathaniel Opoku | 2 |
| Nachon Nsingi | 1 |
| Siebe Schrijvers | 1 |
| Lion Lauberbach | 1 |
Head to Head
Oud-Heverlee Leuven Form
2025-01-31
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1–0
KV Mechelen
W
2025-01-26
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0–0
KAA Gent
D
2025-01-19
Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
2025-01-11
KRC Genk
2–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
2024-12-27
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2–0
Beerschot VA
W
2024-12-22
Cercle Brugge KSV
1–0
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
KV Mechelen xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Draw
80%
Draw or KV Mechelen
48%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven or KV Mechelen
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Oud-Heverlee Leuven win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
13.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Oud-Heverlee Leuven
| Handicap | Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers | Push | KV Mechelen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
KV Mechelen keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.