Thursday , 2 July 2026

KRC Genk vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Jupiler League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Jupiler Pro League · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 17:15 UTC Cegeka Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

KRC Genk vs Oud-Heverlee LeuvenJupiler League at Cegeka Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bert Put

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan Oud-Heverlee Leuven H 2–0 W
26 Dec Royal Antwerp FC A 2–2 D
22 Dec RSC Anderlecht H 2–0 W
15 Dec Club Brugge KV A 0–2 L
07 Dec KV Kortrijk H 3–2 W
01 Dec K. Sint-Truidense VV A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan KRC Genk A 0–2 L
27 Dec Beerschot VA H 2–0 W
22 Dec Cercle Brugge KSV A 0–1 L
14 Dec Sporting du Pays de Charleroi H 1–0 W
07 Dec Royal Standard de Liege A 1–1 D
01 Dec RSC Anderlecht H 0–0 D

Season Stats

KRC Genk Oud-Heverlee Leuven
#7 Position #12
42 Points 34
30 Played 30
11 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 14
46 Scored 32
47 Conceded 43
-1 GD -11
1.40 PPG 1.13
37% Win % 30%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

KRC Genk are 7th (42 pts). Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 12th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Cegeka Arena as KRC Genk face off against Oud-Heverlee Leuven in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Cegeka Arena. Oud-Heverlee Leuven seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 6' KRC Genk player sees a card in front of him.
  • 11' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 16' It looks like no one’s ball. KRC Genk is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 21' KRC Genk make a change. Nikolas Sattlberger trudges off to be replaced by Carlos Cuesta on 21 minutes.
  • 26' The energy levels are beginning to show. Thorsten Fink might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 30' That is a card for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Youssef Maziz will be fuming at that decision.
  • 35' KRC Genk started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Takahiro Akimoto on 40 minutes.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 47' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hasan Kurucay on 47.
  • 48' Brilliant from the ! Jarne Steuckers makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 48.
  • 53' Mike Penders has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Chris Coleman will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 65' Oud-Heverlee Leuven ring the changes. Wouter George has done his job and it is now time for William Balikwisha to step up.
  • 66' Ezechiel Banzuzi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takuma Ominami at the 66 minute mark.
  • 69' Noah Adedeji is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christopher Bonsu Baah at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' The KRC Genk bench stirs into life. Toluwalas Arokodare is withdrawn and Hyun-Gyu Oh gets his opportunity.
  • 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. KRC Genk must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' Takahiro Akimoto makes way for Hamza Mendyl at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Oud-Heverlee Leuven.
  • 83' That looks like a foul for a card for Tobe Leysen.
  • 84' Brilliant from the ! Hyun-Gyu Oh makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 84.
  • 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Carlos Cuesta on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Oud-Heverlee Leuven. Thibault Vlietinck is replaced by Manuel Osifo.
  • 90' The whistle greets Jarne Steuckers as he departs to be replaced by Ken Nkuba.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 KRC Genk xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Oud-Heverlee Leuven xG
I would bet for: KRC Genk to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
KRC Genk57% Draw24% Oud-Heverlee Leuven19%
Actual: KRC Genk win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

KRC Genk or Draw
81%
Draw or Oud-Heverlee Leuven
43%
KRC Genk or Oud-Heverlee Leuven
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
KRC Genk41% Draw43% Oud-Heverlee Leuven16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
6.1%
1 – 2
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.6%
3 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — KRC Genk

Handicap KRC Genk covers Push Oud-Heverlee Leuven covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

KRC Genk keeps clean sheet
37%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.