Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 15:05 UTC Orange Velodrome 63,477 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep FC Nantes A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
18 Aug FC Metz A 2–2 D
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L
12 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–0 D
03 Sep Clermont Foot 63 H 2–2 D
27 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
19 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
13 Aug FC Nantes A 2–1 W
03 Jun AS Monaco FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#4 Position #12
18 Points 13
10 Played 10
6 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
22 Scored 15
14 Conceded 14
+8 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.30
60% Win % 30%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.06 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille57% Draw23% Toulouse FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
80%
Draw or Toulouse FC
43%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille42% Draw41% Toulouse FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 22% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.