Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 15:05 UTC Orange Velodrome 63,477 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Toulouse FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep FC Nantes A 1–1 D
26 Aug Stade Brestois 29 H 2–0 W
18 Aug FC Metz A 2–2 D
15 Aug Panathinaikos AO H 3–5 L
12 Aug Stade de Reims H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Olympique de Marseille A 0–0 D
03 Sep Clermont Foot 63 H 2–2 D
27 Aug RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L
19 Aug Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
13 Aug FC Nantes A 2–1 W
03 Jun AS Monaco FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Toulouse FC
#7 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Olympique de Marseille host Toulouse FC — let the battle begin!
  • 4' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Niklas Schmidt gets a Yellow card.
  • 9' Both keepers have barely been tested. Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 14' Mamady Bangre has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 420 appearances.
  • 19' Logan Costa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
  • 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Renan Lodi made 373 appearances and scored 8 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' Toulouse FC have won 404 goals from 420 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 34' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 39' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 44' Vincent Sierro is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mikkel Desler.
  • 50' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 56' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Leonardo Balerdi departs to be replaced by Bamo Meite.
  • 59' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Aron Donnum is withdrawn and Zakaria Aboukhlal gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Joaquin Correa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 64.
  • 66' Joaquin Correa makes way for Amine Harit at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Olympique de Marseille.
  • 71' Over 71 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 72' Mamady Bangre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Denis Genreau at the 72 minute mark.
  • 77' Controversy at the stadium! Frank Magri argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Guillaume Restes on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 84 minute. Frank Magri leaves to be changed by Warren Kamanzi.
  • 89' Amine Harit was booked on 89.
  • 90' Toulouse FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Olympique de Marseille 0-0 Toulouse FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.86 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille46% Draw37% Toulouse FC17%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
82%
Draw or Toulouse FC
54%
Olympique de Marseille or Toulouse FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille25% Draw66% Toulouse FC9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
22.3%
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 2
2.2%
0 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.4%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.6%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 27% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
66%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.