Saturday , 14 November 2026

Le Havre AC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 16:15 UTC Stade Oceane 17,239 HT 45' · FT 45'
Issa Soumare 51' 1–1
1–2 56' Vincent Sierro pen
1–3 63' Aron Donnum
1–4 78' Frank Magri

Overview

Match Preview

Le Havre AC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Oceane.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Toulouse FC H 1–4 L
16 Feb OGC Nice H 1–3 L
08 Feb Lille OSC A 2–1 W
02 Feb Angers SCO A 1–1 D
26 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 0–1 L
19 Jan Stade de Reims A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Le Havre AC A 4–1 W
15 Feb Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–1 L
09 Feb AJ Auxerre A 2–2 D
02 Feb OGC Nice H 1–1 D
26 Jan Montpellier HSC H 1–2 L
18 Jan Olympique Lyonnais A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Le Havre AC Toulouse FC
#18 Position #12
2 Points 13
10 Played 10
0 / 2 / 8 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
9 Scored 15
22 Conceded 14
-13 GD +1
0.20 PPG 1.30
0% Win % 30%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
Le Havre AC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Le Havre AC are 18th (2 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Le Havre AC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/6
61-75
3/3
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Le Havre AC
Josh Maja 4 G
Rayan Fofana 2 G 1 A
Mbwana Samatta 2 G
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.95 Le Havre AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Toulouse FC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Le Havre AC20% Draw23% Toulouse FC57%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Le Havre AC or Draw
43%
Draw or Toulouse FC
80%
Le Havre AC or Toulouse FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Le Havre AC12% Draw38% Toulouse FC50%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 3
7.8%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 4
4.6%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Le Havre AC

Handicap Le Havre AC covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 8% 87%
-0.5 13% — 87%
+0.5 32% — 68%
+1 32% 22% 46%
+1.5 54% — 46%
+2 54% 20% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

Le Havre AC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.