Le Havre AC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Le Havre AC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Oceane.
- Le Havre AC 10 games · 2 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Francois Letexier
- Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
- Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season
🟨 4.1/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Toulouse FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Feb | OGC Nice | H | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Feb | Lille OSC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Angers SCO | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | Stade Brestois 29 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jan | Stade de Reims | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb | Le Havre AC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Feb | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Feb | AJ Auxerre | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Feb | OGC Nice | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jan | Montpellier HSC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Olympique Lyonnais | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Le Havre AC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #12 |
| 2 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 0 / 2 / 8 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 9 | Scored | 15 |
| 22 | Conceded | 14 |
| -13 | GD | +1 |
| 0.20 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 0% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
Le Havre AC this season
Le Havre AC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Le Havre AC are 18th (2 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Le Havre AC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/6
61-75
3/3
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Le Havre AC
| Josh Maja | 4 G | |
| Rayan Fofana | 2 G | 1 A |
| Mbwana Samatta | 2 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Le Havre AC launch into their encounter with Toulouse FC.
- 5' The 23-year-old Rafik Messali has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 9' GOAL! Zakaria Aboukhlal scores on 9. Assisted by Shavy Warren Babicka
- 14' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 430 games and scored 419 goals.
- 19' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 19 minutes.
- 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Le Havre AC and Toulouse FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' Le Havre AC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 39' Noah Edjouma is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toulouse FC tonight.
- 44' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 49' The travelling Toulouse FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 51' What composure from Issa Soumare! The Senegal international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 56' What composure from Vincent Sierro! The Switzerland international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Junior Mwanga.
- 63' Aron Donnum adds to his 1 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 63' Another change for Toulouse FC made on 63 minute. Shavy Warren Babicka leaves to be changed by Rafik Messali.
- 65' The Le Havre AC bench stirs into life. Antoine Joujou is withdrawn and Andre Ayew gets his opportunity.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Noah Edjouma. He replaces Zakaria Aboukhlal on 70 minute.
- 73' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 73.
- 76' Time for substitution for Le Havre AC. Fode Ballo-Toure is replaced by Yanis Zouaoui.
- 78' What a strike from Frank Magri! The score is 1-4.
- 83' The whistle greets Gabriel Suazo as he departs to be replaced by Warren Kamanzi.
- 85' Ilyes Housni has so much to prove this time. He replaces Josue Casimir on 85 minute.
- 90' Toulouse FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Le Havre AC 1-4 Toulouse FC.
Lineups
Le Havre AC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1
- 97
- 4
- 7
- 45
-
10
Josue Casimir ↓ Ilyes Housni 85'
- 8
- 99
- 23
-
21
Antoine Joujou ↓ Andre Ayew 65'
- 6
Bench
-
28
Andre Ayew ↑ 65'
-
94
Abdoulaye Toure ↑ 65'
- 30
- 32
- 19
- 25
-
46
Ilyes Housni ↑ 85'
-
34
Mahamadou Diawara ↑ 65'
-
18
Yanis Zouaoui ↑ 76'
Coach
Didier Digard
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Jaydee Canvot 63'
-
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Miha Zajc 83'
- 23
- 3
- 7
- 4
- 9
- 16
-
17
Gabriel Suazo ↓ Warren Kamanzi 83'
- 15
- 80
Bench
-
21
Miha Zajc ↑ 83'
-
12
Warren Kamanzi ↑ 83'
- 37
-
31
Noah Edjouma ↑ 70'
-
22
Rafik Messali ↑ 63'
- 39
-
29
Jaydee Canvot ↑ 63'
- 6
- 16
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rhys Healey | 2 |
| Casper Tengstedt | 2 |
| Mohamed Bayo | 2 |
| Ado Onaiwu | 2 |
| Issa Soumare | 1 |
| Branco van den Boomen | 1 |
| Stijn Spierings | 1 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 1 |
Head to Head
Le Havre AC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.95
Le Havre AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.38
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Toulouse FC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Le Havre AC or Draw
43%
Draw or Toulouse FC
80%
Le Havre AC or Toulouse FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 3
7.8%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 0
5%
0 – 4
4.6%
1 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Le Havre AC
| Handicap | Le Havre AC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 20% | 26% |
| +2.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
Clean Sheet
Le Havre AC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

