Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,074 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Gouiri 73' 1–0
Mason Greenwood 77' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC NantesLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W
02 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
26 Jan OGC Nice A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
23 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–1 W
15 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–7 L
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 0–2 L
02 Feb Stade de Reims A 2–1 W
26 Jan Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille FC Nantes
#7 Position #1
0 Points 24
0 Played 34
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 9 / 20
0 Scored 29
0 Conceded 52
+0 GD -23
PPG 0.71
Win % 15%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). FC Nantes are 1st (24 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.41 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.34 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 77% + Under 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw26% FC Nantes10%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes23% 0% No77%
Avg goals/match: 1.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
90%
Draw or FC Nantes
36%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Nantes
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille40% Draw55% FC Nantes5%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
23.7%
0 – 0
19.6%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 1
3%
4 – 0
2.8%
1 – 2
1.3%
4 – 1
1.1%
2 – 2
1%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 20% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 30% 37%
-0.5 63% 37%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 6% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
71%
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.