Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 64,074 HT 45' · FT 45'
Amine Gouiri 73' 1–0
Mason Greenwood 77' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs FC Nantes — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
  • Assistant 1 Mikael Berchebru
  • Assistant 2 Cedric Favre
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W
22 Feb AJ Auxerre A 0–3 L
15 Feb AS Saint-Étienne H 5–1 W
09 Feb Angers SCO A 2–0 W
02 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 3–2 W
26 Jan OGC Nice A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Olympique de Marseille A 0–2 L
23 Feb Racing Club de Lens H 3–1 W
15 Feb AS Monaco FC A 1–7 L
07 Feb Stade Brestois 29 H 0–2 L
02 Feb Stade de Reims A 2–1 W
26 Jan Olympique Lyonnais H 1–1 D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.06 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 FC Nantes xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille64% Draw22% FC Nantes14%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Nantes
36%
Olympique de Marseille or FC Nantes
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille45% Draw42% FC Nantes13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.5%
0 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push FC Nantes covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 20% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
FC Nantes keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.